#Vardah after landfall is expected to weaken drastically and travel West towards Bangalore ! #iwm
— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 11, 2016
For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia
Sunday, December 11, 2016
December 11, 2016 at 11:32PM
For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia
Vardah - Chennai - "calm before storm"
11pm, #Vardah slowly chugging towards #Chennai.
Now at 200km.
NO weakening seen!
980mb with winds gusting to 138kph.
Sustained winds 100kph ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pPC8Q.gif
#ALERT
GFS suggests that #Vardah will make landfall near or over #Chennai at around 5pm as Severe Cyclone... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPCm2.jpg
#Chennai - can experience 100 kmph winds after 2pm to 7/8pm on Monday with HEAVY to very HEAVY rainfall. Here's the surface wind forecast ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPCuc.jpg
Precipitation forecast suggests HEAVY to very Heavy rain expected during next 24hrs over Chennai, NE Tamilnadu, S Andhra .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPCNE.jpg
#Chennai - 11pm, "calm before storm" .. its calm now! but light rains is slowly pushing into city.
Gradually it'll increase towards morning.
December 11, 2016 at 04:00PM
Chennai - 3:55pm, drizzle now in Polichalur zone. First drops due to #vardah #weather
December 11, 2016 at 03:31PM
#vardah eye is exactly 300km east of #Chennai. First rain band for city is 80km away. Drizzles expected at 6:30pm. #weather
ALERT - Vardah - just 24hrs away from Chennai
#Vardah - 10:30am, is still going strong "Category 1 storm "... Winds gusting to 130 kmph .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPb54.jpg
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPb5B.jpg
Yes, #Vardah is drifting towards #Chennai and NO weakening observed yet, but weakening will be there from Sunday late-evening !
#Chennai - 11am, #vardah seen on RADAR at around 350km East from city... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pPbez.gif
#Vardah landfall will be very near or over Chennai on Monday between 12pm and 4pm ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pPbvq.gif
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPbvB.jpg
#Vardah #ALERT
Its now moving in a shear zone and Less shear near to coast ! Weakening should happen in next 12 hrs OR no weakening at all" ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pPbC8.gif
#Chennai, S-coast Andhra and N-coast Tamilnadu .. light/moderate rain will start from Today evening.
#ALERT
#Chennai, S-Andhra, N-coast TN ... HEAVY rain with high winds expected from early morning of Monday !
#ALERT - From today evening to midnight of Monday.. HEAVY to VERY HEAVY rain forecast for #Chennai, S Andhra, NE-Tamilnadu ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pPbVv.jpg
From morning of 12-Dec to late-evening ... HIGH "damaging" winds expected... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pPbXr.gif
Saturday, December 10, 2016
December 10, 2016 at 11:16PM
RT @navdeepdahiya55:
— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 10, 2016
10:25pm, Its Raining at srinagar after 4 months. #WD . now full fledged winter likely over plains. #iwm
For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia
December 10, 2016 at 09:38PM
#vardah stays fit as severe cyclone. Now 85% chance of landfall near #Chennai as D.Depression on noon, 12-Dec. #weather
Vardah - Severe Cyclone ! Landfall can be South of Nellore !
11:30am, #vardah - Severe Cyclone.. and marching W, WNW ... Precipitation imagery also attached .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOiZQ.jpg
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOj0r.jpg
Severe cyclone #vardah is now "almost" parallel to #chennai latitude !
Present pos : 12.55N, 87.11E , pressure: 987mb ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOjdl.jpg
Factors that are going to affect #vardah 's intensity ..
1. Shear towards Chennai coast is high.
2. Dry air slowly wrapping the system.
GFS, GEM, ECMWF are in sync with near #Chennai landfall as "cyclone" on 12-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOjkH.jpg
NAVGEM, HWRF models suggest a just above Nellore landfall as Cyclone on 12-Dec .
IMD & JTWC also taking this opinion ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOjqI.jpg
#Vardah - landfall can be along Chennai to Kavali, Andhra.... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOjDi.jpg
#vardah - During landfall, intensity of the cyclone will be reduced due to DRY air and shear near coast !
#Vardah - DRY air is slowly wrapping the system.
In next 24 / 36 hrs, it'll try to wrap fully !!
If this happens, it'll lose intensity, rain ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pOjLu.jpg
VARDHA "Severe cyclonic storm" landfall over chennai
Cyclonic storm to severe cyclonic storm VARDAH: The cyclonic storm, VARDAH over southeast Bay of Bengal moved westnorthwestwards in past 06 hrs with a speed of 7 kmph.
The system is very likely to move westnorthwestwards and intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 12 hours. It is very likely to maintain its peak intensity upto evening of 11th December 2016. Thereafter, it is likely to weaken gradually while moving towards Andhra Pradesh coast.
It is very likely to cross Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Machilipatnam around afternoon/evening of 12th December 2016. -IMD
When system starts weakening while nearing coast it would move WSW direction. Then Landfall going to be further south which will between Nellore and chennai or over chennai
Now Both ECMWF and GFS are almost in same statement on landfall track between Nellore to chennai.
Rains for chennai will be from late Sunday an better rains (Moderate to heavy) during Monday to Tuesday. No flooding rains.
Image 1: current view of VARDAH (Infrared)
Image 2, 3, 4 ,5 : GEFS track and GFS and models shows system near chennai coast.
Image 6: Tropical cyclone intensity scale
#Chennai #Nellore
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