Tuesday, October 18, 2016

October 18, 2016 at 10:57PM


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October 18, 2016 at 10:43PM


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Sunday, October 16, 2016

October 16, 2016 at 02:07PM

Midmorning weather photo from Kodaikanal. #weather

from Instagram

Saturday, October 15, 2016

October 15, 2016 at 11:42AM


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October 15, 2016 at 11:40AM


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Twins Sarika and Haima !!


Present low-level circulation near #Kerala coast is expected to drift South and then weaken further before drifting East on Mondday .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/o0oXa.jpg  ,  https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/o0oYc.jpg 

At present there are 2 storms in W Pacific. Typhoon #Sarika and Tropical storm #HAIMA "twins" .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/o0pc5.gif  .
 https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/o0pcg.gif 

During next 4 to 6 days, Winds and Moisture will be pulled towards these two Typhoons from S,central Bay.
Drying out #India and Delaying NEM ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/o0pmM.jpg

The wind gush thru S,central Andaman seas can bring HEAVY rains for S,central zones of Andaman Islands during next 4 days !

On Today and Sunday, HEAVY scattered T showers expected again for central,S Kerala, W-ghats Kerala & tamilnadu and W,NW,SW,S tamilnadu ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/o0pC7.jpg

N,Central,NW,E-central India can enjoy a Dry day and mild,cool night !
Early wintry feeling !

#Chennai - Can expect...
DRY days.
Partly cloudy from 10am to 1pm.
Mild nights.
No rain till 20/21-Oct 

When can we expect the onset of #NEM for Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai ??
A mini chance on #Diwali , 29-Oct !
OR
We may have a record delay !

Friday, October 14, 2016

October 14, 2016 at 03:36PM

8am, Badlapur, good bye #monsoon and welcome #winter. #weather

from Instagram

End of SW Monsoon, next what ?


Take a look at latest water vapor satellite imagery.. DRY seen over most of #India except S.India. "END of SW #Monsoon 2016" .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXaBz.jpg
Latest analysis also suggests the same "DRY has set in over most of India" and N,NW winds are prevailing ! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXb1J.jpg

Analysis show that elongated circulation is seen from NNE Bay to Central Bay.
And
A weak circulation along N-coast Kerala.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXcaF.jpg 
During next 2 days, the N-coast Kerala circulation is expected to drift SSW and place itself over SE-corner Arabian sea as weak circulation .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXdVD.jpg
Ideally the expected SE-corner Arabian sea circulation is a best scenario for the winds in Bay to become East around this time of year, but, this time TS Sarika in W Pacific is and Will hinder the easterlies flow into SE Bay !

Now coming to TS Sarika in W Pacific .. this is the expected track till 17-Oct.
And
GFS expects another TS or typhoon following this .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/nXeUx.gif 
We can see that now and in 4 days the Winds will gush towards TS/Typhoon Sarika .
GFS expects another Typhoon in making followed by Sarika..https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXfnv.jpg

GFS model suggests that Easterlies will not push into SE Bay till 25-Oct.
N Tamilnadu, #Chennai may have Winter like condition from 18 to 24.
As of now, there's NO chance of North-East Monsoon till 24-Oct !

During next 2 / 3 days.
Heavy afternoon, late-evening T showers for W-ghats Kerala & Tamilnadu, NW,W,SW,S,S-central Tamilnadu.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/nXh7n.jpg

October 13, 2016 at 11:15PM


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Thursday, October 13, 2016

October 13, 2016 at 04:12PM


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