Thursday, July 21, 2016

July 21, 2016 at 01:01PM

Photo from Sagar, Madhya Pradesh, after yesterday afternoon heavy rain. #weather

from Instagram

July 21, 2016 at 12:55PM

Near Gulbarga after heavy rain. Records 127mm till 8:30am today. #weather

from Instagram

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

July 20, 2016 at 09:46PM

Chennai - 6:15pm, sunshine towards sunset after another cloudy day. #weather

from Instagram
#Chennai - Another night of moderate rain expected. Build-up seen over W,SW near Vellore. Today rain expected to move in from WNW after 12am
#Chennai - IWM Polichalur AWS rainfall during past 3 days...
17th = 9.6 mm
18th = 5.7 mm
19th = 7.5 mm


Latest analysis show a weak low,mid-level circulation along N Andhra, S Odisha ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmGjE.jpg
But at 500hpa(upper-level) a weak circulation seen near #Chennai coast and S Andhra coast !.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmGBL.jpg
A weak upper-level circulation also seen along central coast Karnataka .. which will whip-up HEAVY rain along coast for next 36hrs !

Monsoon axis is seen along #Delhi , Kanpur and Patna.
W-coast Offshore trough seen from central-coast Maharastra to S coast Karnataka !

5:30pm, Heavy rain over E-central,E India.. especially Bihar, Jharkhand, N Bengal ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmJRX.jpg
5:30pm, Showers seen along Karnataka coast, N Kerala !

By Friday evening, a LOW is expected along central coast Andhra with a mid-level circulation near S-coast Andhra .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmKmI.jpg
GFS expects this LOW, circulation to drift W-N-W into central,S Andhra on 23,24-Jul !

Monsoon axis is expected to be present in same location during next 2 days... bringing HEAVY rain for Himalayan foot hills, Bihar, N Bengal.. .. and heavy widespread rain also for N,central zones of NE states of India.
Like today, HEAVY widespread rain also expected over Jharkhand, E Madhyapradesh, N,central Chatisgarh during next 2 days !

Due to upcoming circulation along Central coast Andhra... HEAVY rain expected over E Maharastra, S Chatisgarh, Telangana, N Andhra.
Scattered heavy rain will persist for 2 days ALL along Maharastra coast, #Mumbai , #Goa, Karnataka coast, N Kerala ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmNaY.jpg

DRY run for W,SW,central #Gujarat is to continue !
Light/moderate scattered rain for SW,S zones during next 3 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/lmNIy.jpg

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

July 19, 2016 at 03:53PM


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July 19, 2016 at 03:40PM


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Monday, July 18, 2016

Vitiating SWM Rainfall distribution in Coimbatore district

The SWM rainfall distribution in Coimbatore district has always been a disputed one.  As far as I am concerned, inclusion of Valparai taluk and inclusion of heavy rainfall regions in Valparai taluk continues to boost rainfall figures during SWM period. The SWM rainfall for Coimbatore district would be around  189.6mm only; whereas the Rainfall of Valparai taluk for SWM period is around 3800.0mm.  That is nearly 20 times. The NORMAL in SWM rainfall distribution statement for Coimbatore district does not contain heavy rainfall regions in Valparai Taluk.   Valparai is the only taluk situated in the hills of average elevation about 1100 -1800 meter.  But this heavy rainfall statistics is very important and vital indicative of monsoon activity in Kerala and TN.  
By including Valparai taluk's rainfall the new NORMAL  for Coimbatore district can be deduced with the use of existing normals. (Area weighted) Once it is deduced then the question of  'LARGE EXCESS' rainfall in Coimbatore district will NOT occur.
                                                             or
If taluk wise rainfall distribution is considered then the "vitiating distribution" will NOT at all arise.  

July 18, 2016 at 10:54PM

Ahmedabad - 5pm, a T shower is approaching. #weather

from Instagram

July 18, 2016 at 05:08PM

Salem, 5pm, seems to be heavy rain ahead. #weather

from Instagram