Tuesday, October 06, 2015

The UAC in the South East Arabian Sea will descend as a Low by Tuesday night. Initially around 1006/1008 mb.
This will deepen by Wednesday and Thursday, and after tracking along the West coast of India till about 15N, may move towards NW.
Heavy Rainfall in Kerala, Coastal Karnatak and some regions of Goa on Tuesday 6th /Wednesday7th /Thursday8th.
Thunder showers a plenty for Bangalore all through this week.

The SWM has withdrawn in all regions North from Gujarat, M.P. North Chattisgarh and Bihar.
Alongwith this Arabian Sea Low, the Monsoon axis, both ends, will slip South of Maharastra. As it moves Southwards, the SWM starts retreating, and The NEM conditions start strengthening. See 200 stream chart.(Shall put up a note soon on NEM).
Chennai too will be seeing almost daily thunder showers this week.

Pune may get a Shower in some parts till Wednesday.

The UAC over North Bay off Odisha coast has formed, but, due to unfavourable land winds, may not intensify. System as an UAC will track North into Bangladesh by Thursday or Friday.
Kolkata may get the last thunder showers on Wednesday and Thursday.Monsoon could be withdrawn after the system dissolves.

New Delhi remains hot this week, around 36/37c. But we may see the nights getting cooler to around 20c by the weekend.
from www.vagaries.in

Monday, October 05, 2015

RT @rdsouza11: Good rains in bangalore now. Heavy right now! Feels great (9:18pm) #iwm

Taken from Weather of India

October 05, 2015 at 06:28PM

Karaikal - 5pm, after today's T shower. #weather

from Instagram

October 05, 2015 at 03:18PM

Chennai - 3:15pm, Polichalur zone... Midnight T shower 21.3mm Now, after 2:30pm T shower 34.5mm #iwm

October 05, 2015 at 02:43PM

Chennai - 2:30pm, heavy T shower for past 10 min over Polichalur zone. #weather

from Instagram

October 05, 2015 at 02:14PM

Chennai - 2:06pm, heavy T shower seen over central,w zones of city, now drifting SSW. #weather

from Instagram

Sunday, October 04, 2015

Sea surge at Kanyakumari (west)

 (1) The STH in South Indian Ocean (SIO) is with strength with 1028 hPa and located somewhat down south of Kanyakumari.

(2) One of the main causes for sea surge in Kanyakumari  is this STH

(3) This will give activity in western coast from Kanyakumari to Ratnagiri.

(4) This will give a picture that SWM will rapidly withdraw from entire continent within one week or at the most 10 days

 (5) The North is NOT cooled properly.

(6) The strength of Siberian High is on the scanner.

(7) SST, IOD and other lesser known factors also on the scanner for NEM onset and activity

October 04, 2015 at 05:46PM

5:30pm, Very heavy rain on NH4.. Between Shira and Tumkur. Nothing visible on highway. #weather

from Instagram

October 04, 2015 at 05:37PM

5:23pm, Bangalore - heavy rain. #weather

from Instagram

October 04, 2015 at 04:27PM

3:11pm, Huge thunderstorm lashing for past 1 hr in Dharwad. #weather

from Instagram