Monday, June 15, 2015

Bay yet to pop a LOW, expected around 19-Jun


12:30pm, Monsoon is active along most of W,S-W coast, Odisha and S Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/bj0QA 

Today, a N-S upper, mid-level trough seen from Bengal to S Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/bj0Wc 
Another upper,mid-level circulation seen over S-E Bay over Andamans.
AND
Remnant of Cyclone Ashobaa, N-W Arabian sea http://ow.ly/i/bj11u 

North Bay is yet to pop a monsoon LOW. GFS expects a low-level circulation along Odisha coast on 17-Jun ... http://ow.ly/i/bj15V 
On 17-Jun, GFS expects a twin propeller system for Monsoon.
N Arabian sea circulation and N,N-W Bay circulation ... http://ow.ly/i/bj1cl 

Rainfall forecast for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Monsoon to be ACTIVE all along W, S-W coast India... HEAVY rain from S Gujarat to S-tip Tamilnadu during next 36hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/bj1xX 
In next 36hrs... Heavy scattered rain for W,central,S Maharastra, N-E Andhra, Telegana, S Chatisgarh, Odisha and S,central Bengal.
Some Heavy rain also for N,N-central Karnataka during next 36hrs.
Evening light rain possible for Bangalore.. http://ow.ly/i/bj2Dp 

#Chennai - a scattered moderate rain possible again today after 4pm and before 12 midnight.

June 15, 2015 at 11:02AM

Chennai - 11am, clearing up and getting warm. Rainfall till 8:30am. IWM Polichalur - 6mm Airport - 4.2mm #iwm

June 15, 2015 at 09:37AM

Mumbai gets it's first 100mm mark rainfall of the season. Rainfall till 8.30am today : Vagaries AWS 119mm Colaba 112 Santacruz 59 #iwm

Sunday, June 14, 2015

June 14, 2015 at 10:10PM

10pm, Raining heavily here at Goregaon. Just started. #iwm

June 14, 2015 at 10:01PM

Chennai - 9:55pm, sharp showers now over Polichalur zone. #iwm

2010 to 2015 / 14 JUNE 12 Z / IMAGERY COMPARISION

DUNDEE 140610  12Z

DUNDEE 140611 12Z
DUNDEE 140612 12Z

DUNDEE 140613 12Z
 IN THIS YEAR 2010 : The progress of SWM was more or less identical with 2015. 
DUNDEE 140614 12Z
DUNDEE 140615 12Z
















Instead of comparing  exact date,  pentad or week summary can be useful for comparison.

The progress and strength of SWM  can be compared and current situation can be evolved.












2011 & 2012 were more or less identical.  However the weather summary is missing.
















Yemon and Omen area is  getting rainfall




































2014 & 2015  Omen area clouding is identical.



















 

June 14, 2015 at 02:37PM

1:22pm, Dombivli - windy with moderate rains. In Badlapur as well. #weather

from Instagram

June 14, 2015 at 01:16PM

Near Balehonnur Chickmagalur dist, Karnataka. 12:30pm. #weather

from Instagram

June 14, 2015 at 12:50PM

12:22pm, Bhubaneswar - just before heavy rain. #weather

from Instagram

June 14, 2015 at 12:48PM

Belgaum - 11:31am, light rain continues. #weather

from Instagram