Tuesday, June 02, 2015
Weather at June 02, 2015 at 11:56PM
4:43pm, cloudy over S of Tumkur. It drizzled at around 6:11pm. #weather
Revised ESSO-IMD (SWM 2015) forecast.
Due to the revised SWM-2015 forecast of ESSO-IMD there is a fall in sensex index in India. EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE ORGANISATION[ESSO]-IMD now re-estimated the country's rainfall at 88% of Long Period Average.
W Bay circulation is now tracked as 94B
Today, the mid,upper-level circulation has drifted North and now over W Bay near to S,central coast Andhra .. http://ow.ly/i/b66aT
This mid,upper-level circulation is now tracked as 94B.
There's no low-level circulation associated with this system.
At low-levels, a LWD is seen from N-central India (N Madhyapradesh) to S-coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b66N6
Present W Bay circulation 94B is expected to Slowly drift W-N-W into N Andhra coast on 4-Jun and continue west .. http://ow.ly/i/b66QP
On, 6-Jun, the Bay circulation is expected to drift into Arabian sea along central coast Karnataka and intensify.. http://ow.ly/i/b66Vs
On 5-Jun, evening, the Monsoon is expected to launch into S,central Kerala coast !
At present a low,mid-level circulation also seen over S Arabian sea and this is activating the cross-equatorial wind and the Somali jet !
Due to 94B, During next 36hrs...
HEAVY T showers expected along S,central,N-E coast of Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b68td
More HEAVY T showers for S,S-central,S-E,S-W Karnataka and Bangalore on today and 3-Jun.
Today, tomorrow - more scattered T showers over N,N-W,w-ghats Tamilnadu.
WD update
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The upper-level WD trough persists along N,N-W India tilting S-W upto S Pakistan ... http://ow.ly/i/b694w
This upper-level WD trough is expected to persist in same zone for next 48hrs.
Due to WD trough...
Scattered T showers for Kashmir, Himachal, S,S-W,central,E Rajasthan.
One or two over Punjab, Haryana and W Uttarpradesh
WEAK PRESENCE OF SWM
The SWM winds have penetrated upto 100 Deg East IN LOWER LATITUDES. That to the vertical depth of westerly is APPROXIMATELY up to one km amsl. This weak westerlies make cycir-upper air circulation-[just like monsoon depression] and as a result (of Yesterday's cycir) it was cloudy over North Chennai [of course with light rain] and south CAP un to Machilipattinam. This will further move northerly and give lesser rain.
Even the 200 hPa wind is weak NEly. The 100 hPa wind at Chennai [i.e 13 Deg N] is also Easterly with strength 36knots. The SWM penetration aloft [~1.5km amsl] is producing weather in Bay and SE Indian coast.
Similarly the weak UAC in AS may pull SWly winds to AS.
Even the 200 hPa wind is weak NEly. The 100 hPa wind at Chennai [i.e 13 Deg N] is also Easterly with strength 36knots. The SWM penetration aloft [~1.5km amsl] is producing weather in Bay and SE Indian coast.
Similarly the weak UAC in AS may pull SWly winds to AS.
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| DUNDEE SAT IMAGERY-020615 03Z |
Weather at June 02, 2015 at 09:09AM
An early morning click from Chamundi hills. But Where is it? http://goo.gl/Mqb0ys .. #weather
Monday, June 01, 2015
NE monsoon style rain for Chennai on 1-Jun - odd !
8:40am, Its very rare to see Chennai RADAR on 1-Jun showing "Rain approaching city from N-E like NE monsoon" ... http://ow.ly/i/b4ITR
This is due to the S-central Bay mid,upper-level circulation.. which was moving West for past 3 days.
At present the mid,upper-level circulation over Bay is near N,central coast Tamilnadu and S coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b4J2A
Due to this circulation a HEAVY T shower line is seen pushing towards N Tamilnadu coast for past 4 hrs... http://ow.ly/i/b4J8w
9:30am, #Chennai - slowly getting ready for a T shower. And reports of rain from Triplicane zone.
At present a mid,upper-level WD trough is over N,N-W India and drifting East.. this can drift the present Bay circulation to N and then N-E
During next 24hrs, the WD trough is expected to deepen to 20N along N-W India and Pakistan ... http://ow.ly/i/b4Jvj
GFS suggests a Westerly movement for present Bay circulation .. meaning it'll cross N TN coast and push to Arabian sea on 4-Jun !
If this happens, the Monsoon onset over Kerala will be delayed till 5-Jun, but HEAVY rain ahead for S peninsula ... http://ow.ly/i/b4JDH
During next 24hrs, due to Bay circulation...
HEAVY rain for N,N-W,N-E,N-central Tamilnadu and into S Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b4JLD
#Chennai - Today a T shower possible before noon,evening and MORE heavy rain before evening of 2-Jun.
In 24hrs, more T showers for S,S-W,S-central Karnataka, N,central W-ghats of Kerala and Kerala coast.
For next 24hrs, Scattered T showers expected ALL along S-E coast (N-E Andhra, Odisha) of India.
#Chennai - 9:57am, Drizzle started here in Polichalur zone.
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