SWM withdrwal

[1]  The Sub Tropical Westerly Jet (STWJ) at higher latitude{ie 33 Deg and /or at  Kabul Latitude} is pronounced  and it is an  indication that westerly jet is coming to lower latitudes to push away SWM winds. 

  or 

[2] It is an indication that SWM does NOT started withdrawing from Indian sub continent.

[3] In three days time from now i.e on 23.09.14 SUN will be touching Equator.That perhaps may bring monsoon withdrawal phase.

[4] There is fairly good chance for a final spell of good rains during or till the last week of September

#chennai - 12:40am, rain activity is still active over WSW, NW and S.
A moderate rain may push into city before 4am.

#Chennai - 4:30pm, A moderate rain system is sweeping across N suburbs of city from 3:30pm, now pushing into Sea. http://ow.ly/i/6WkKF 

5:30pm, 98B slowly pushing into Odisha coast.
HEAVY rain over N,N-central,N-E Andhra, S,central Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/6WnZF 
5:30pm, scattered T showers also over Bihar, Jharkhand, Bengal and over S,N Chatisgarh .... http://ow.ly/i/6WnZF

#Chennai - 12pm, After a cloudy and drizzly yesterday, now its clear, HOT and humid !

For #Chennai, N,N-E Tamilnadu, S,central Karnataka, S,central Andhra scattered T showers expected before midnight today !

Today, Bay LOW "98B" is nearing N-E Andhra coast and Odisha coast ... http://ow.ly/i/6WbpE 
The low,mid-level circulation of 98B is seen almost in same location near to S Odisha coast ... http://ow.ly/i/6Wbrz 

In next 18hrs, the LOW and low,mid-level circulation is expected to push into Odisha coast ... http://ow.ly/i/6Wbyn 
While the upper-level (500hpa) circulation of 98B is expected to push into N-E Andhra coast .. http://ow.ly/i/6WbMT 

10:30am, Heavy rain over N-E Andhra into S Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/6Wc1s 

On 21-Sep, the circulation of 98B is expected to push upto Bihar, N Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/6Wc5X 
Next 42hrs as 98B is expected to push into Odisha ...
HEAVY scattered rain for N-E Andhra, most of Odisha, S,central Bengal and Jharkhand.

Posted Thursday Night ( 18th September):

South West Monsoon is in the withdrawal process, and has withdrawn from West Rajasthan. A ridge formation, an anticyclone in the 200 hpa level, and surface winds from the NW bringing a sharp reduction in humidity ensures speedy withdrawal from Rajasthan, Kutch, Punjab, HP and Kashmir by  Saturday 20th September.
Full article with Long term Forecast on www.vagaries.in

இந்திய பெருங்கடல்

 The Sun is approaching close to Equator.  Still south Indian Ocean temperature is NOT disturbed. .

Will the restrengthening of SWM power house [1032hPa] lead for another J&K like FLOODING in India [soon?]

ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடியில், இந்திய மீனவர்களை ஒப்பிடுகையில், தமிழக மீனவர்களுக்குதான் வாய்ப்புகள் அதிகம். காரணம், குமரி முனையினை அடுத்து நேர் தெற்கே இந்திய பெருங்கடல் சுமார் 10450 கி.மீ தூரம் அன்டர்டிக வரையில் பரவி உள்ளது. ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடிப்பினை ஊக்கபடுத்தும் வகையில் மீனவர்களுக்கு பெரும் மீன்பிடி கப்பல் வாங்க முயற்சி மேற்கொள்ள வேண்டும். மீனவரும் அரசும் இணைந்து -
கூட்டாய் மீன்பிடி தொழிலை செய்ய முன்வர வேண்டும். அரசும் மீனவர்களும் இணையும் போது லாபமோ நட்டமோ அது இருவரையும் சார்ந்து அமையும். அரசுகள் சிந்திக்க வேண்டும்.

Today, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is seen over W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBd6 
Latest analysis show, the upper-level circulation of 98B is over W Bay near to #Chennai ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBh4 

In next 48hrs, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is expected to push N-N-W and reach N Odisha coast .. http://ow.ly/i/6VDjp 
The upper-level circulation of 98B is expected to push into N-E,N-central Andhra coast on tomorrow night.. http://ow.ly/i/6VDDB 

Before morning of 19-Sep...
Light/moderate rain for S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai.

Noon, evening of 19-Sep...
Heavy, scattered T showers over S,central,E Karnataka, W,S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/6VDV0 
19-Sep...
Many T showers expected to pop over Odisha, S,central Chatisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and S,central Bengal.
Evening, midnight of 19-Sep... HEAVY T showers expected over N,N-central,N-E Tamilnadu and Chennai.
AND
More rain into S,central,N-E Andhra.

Weather Instagram at September 18, 2014 at 05:16PM

#chennai at 3:30pm, mild drizzle all thru the day. #weather

from Instagram

3:30pm, Due to 98B, Heavy T showers again over central,N-E, coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty 

3:30pm, T showers also over N Chatisgarh, central Jharkhand ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty

#Chennai - Drizzles till 8:30am today...

Nungambakkam = 2.5mm

Airport = 4.5mm

IWM Polichalur = 3.3mm

#Chennai - 3:45pm, More long drizzles ahead for city and suburbs during next 3 hrs... http://ow.ly/i/6VvDC