Monday, October 29, 2012

11pm, 02B is almost having an eye.. now JTWC also predicts a central Tamilnadu landfall on 31st.. http://ow.ly/i/14sig

93 west & 02 B (NRLMRY)



[1] 93 west & 02 B are one and the same.  It has slightly drifted south westward and lay centered 100km E-NE (056 Degree) of Trincomalee.

[2] Clouds are seen packed in SW sector only.

[3] Core wind speed are yet to attain cyclonic speed

[4] Sri Lankan weather office animates it to cross near Nagapattinam / Karaikal  below Parengipettai
8:45pm, Showers pushing into S-E,central Tamilnadu coast now.!
IMD's latest warning at 7:30pm states that "02B" will move N-W from the present position .. here's the present position http://ow.ly/i/14pwj 

"93W" is now "02B" - Almost a Cyclone now!

"93W" is now "02B" - Almost a Cyclone now!
If this continues to strengthen then it'll be named as "Nilam" by morning of 30-Oct.

Position  ::  8.8N , 82E
Pressure  ::  996mb
Winds  ::  65 km/hr

Here's the latest 6:30pm Satellite IR image.

#chennai - showers approaching N.Tamilnadu coast , chennai city from S-E ... http://ow.ly/i/14nCN

Moderate showers & Gusts forecast for N.Tamilnadu coast & #Chennai till tomorrow morning !

While widespread and heavy rains with high winds forecast for central,S-E Tamilnadu coast till tomorrow morning.

Heavy rains are possible only after tomorrow noon along N.Tamilnadu coast & #Chennai ..  http://ow.ly/i/14nGd 

"93W" - NOGAPS favors a Central Tamilnadu coast landfall

Latest NOGAPS model also suggests a N-W movement from now on and make landfall along central Tamilnadu coast on afternoon of 31-Oct.

COLA model also suggests a Central Tamilnadu coast landfall on noon of 31-Oct.


"93W" - Depression is almost over N-N-E Srilanka

4:30pm, Visible satellite shows HUGE T.showers along N-N-E Srilanka
Pressure is still around 1000mb and NO weakening seen.

And here's the latest 6pm, Satellite IR image.
Heavy rain along N,N-E Srilanka continues !
Winds at Upper levels (200hpa Jet or the steering winds) is favoring a West and N-W movement.

3pm, Depression over Bay "93W" is nearing N,N-E Srilanka.. Color satellite IR image attached here .. http://ow.ly/i/14lP1 
Heavy rain with wind to start along S-E,central, North Tamilnadu coast & #chennai from early hrs / morning of 30-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/14lpj