July rains could fail India, says Japanese model

In our archive, Normal Monsoon Forecast: Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), we predicted July the month of extreme uncertainty for the monsoon because of a negative IOD. More so as it is the month that accounts for nearly 33% of the SW Monsoon.  Our model assumed a weak IOD maybe upto 4% deficiency for July.

But the Regional Institute for Global Change (RIGC) in Tokyo forecast now say that things could go much worse - almost total failure of the monsoon during July.  If so, this is really bad news as next year we can expect another lean monsoon due to the weak El Niño event expected. 

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/04/july-rains-could-fail-india-says.html

Rule on monsoon forecasts to be eased

This is proving embarrassing. There actually exists a law prohibiting private agencies from forecasting the monsoon. This means that people like Rajesh Kapadia and me are law breakers as we published our monsoon forecasts! But there is good news. A change in a decade-old rule will allow private organizations in the country— and not just the India Meteorological Department (IMD)— to issue monsoon forecasts. Phew!

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/04/rule-on-monsoon-forecasts-to-be-eased.html

chennai - 4:10pm, temp. 34.0°C ... Sea breeze has set in from S-E ... temp. will go down in another 30 min

RT @saifarash: Clear skies nw Kozhikode 2pm,increasing clouds,chance for T shower at evening LIVE pic from my house http://t.co/6l3QWJzD

Some one asked, HOW "feels like" temperature is calculated?? Here it is... http://ow.ly/aizRE >>> http://ow.ly/aizS6

Normal Monsoon Forecast: Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Wild Card ... http://ow.ly/aizNi

Mumbai - 11:10am, temp. 31.0°C and feels like 40.7°C... WoW

chennai - 11:10am, 34.0°C and feels like 38 deg C

chennai - going to have 37 / 38 deg C for next 3 days with moderate humidity !

@bheemaupadhyaya >> bangalore - can expect 1 T.shower in next 3 days.. as isolated T.showers forecast for S, central. Karnataka till 19-Apr