Friday, November 10, 2017

November 10, 2017 at 03:29PM

November 10, 2017 at 07:43AM

November 10, 2017 at 05:26AM

Thursday, November 09, 2017




Today, the big elongated circulation and LPA is seen over S-central Bay, the circulation's NW quadrant can be seen along N coast tamilnadu.
According to models, the LPA and its circulation is expected to "drift" West during next 72hrs and come close to NE Srilanka on Sunday.

Today, most of Tamilnadu had a dry day... but this can get disturbed on Friday, especially over N,central coast.
"Some rain ahead"
By Saturday into Monday, present circulation can give showers along S coast Andhra, Chennai , N,central coast Tamilnadu.

Some detail about the expected "Cyclone over central Bay"
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At present the potential energy for a Cyclone to build is high over central,S-central Bay, that's why models are forecasting a Cyclone !

"IF" a cyclone pops out from the present circulation then "can" take a North movement due to upper-level wind steer and 30W's NW movement.

"At present Wind shear above central Bay is high" .. a Cyclone will get weak or get dismantled if it moves into that zone.

"Present central,N Bay is having a good Sea surface temperature. Above normal at this of year".. which will support the growth of a Cyclone.

First let the circulation become a Cyclone / Depression as suggested by GFS, ECMWF.
Till then "rain ahead" for N,central coast Tamilnadu !

November 09, 2017 at 01:30PM

Tuesday, November 07, 2017


Low-level circulation seen over SE Bay today. This happened before the remnant of 29W pushes into Bay.



Both GFS and ECMWF expects..
During next 2 or 3 days, this circulation can drop a LOW and move west into S-central Bay.
We have to wait and watch "what comes out of this next LOW" after Thursday !

Rain along #Chennai, N-coast tamilnadu and S-coast Andhra.. Almost NO rain expected from early hrs of Wednesday.
can get a break of 2/3 days.
GFS expects a DRY day for entire Chennai, Tamilnadu, S Andhra, S Karnataka on Thursday and Friday !!

November 07, 2017 at 04:08PM


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