Monday, November 28, 2016

1st December again ! 91B - expected to cross central,N-coast Tamilnadu !



S Bay circulation, LOW is now tracked as 91B .. Latest satellite IR shows good convective activity .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKlc.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKm2.jpg

91B is expected to move NW and intensify into a Depression in next 36hrs.. seems to be a fast moving system !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKZ0.jpg 

Models expect this mid-level winds will guide 91B towards Tamilnadu coast in next 48hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poMKC.gif

91B - Present wind shear in its predicted path is high, so there's less of intensifying into a Cyclone !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poNyu.gif

91B - many models suggest a central-coast (near Pondicherry) Tamilnadu landfall as D.Depression on 1-Dec .. "2015's famous day " ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poOmu.gif

@AfsarOfficial @wilfredmichael6 >> 
Rains for #Chennai expected to start from early hrs of 1-Dec as of latest !

November 28, 2016 at 06:17AM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

November 28, 2016 at 06:28AM

Chennai - 19c again. Almost same in Vellore.. http://ift.tt/2fUkPJS #weather

from Instagram

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Cyclone / D.Depression on cards for Tamilnadu coast on 2/3-Dec


Yesterday's elongated circulation over / along 5th parallel over mouth of Bay is slowly consolidating to a better organized circulation .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmR9g.jpg

GFS, GEFS, CMC, ECMWF models suggest a slow intensification, NW movement during next 3 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRei.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRha.jpg

A cyclone / Deep depresion on the cards in Bay and expected to reach central-coast Tamilnadu on 2/3-Dec ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRjn.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRm5.jpg



If this system progresses as expected, then scattered rain will start for #Chennai, SE,central,N-coast Tamilnadu on 1-Dec !
2 more dry days!

November 27, 2016 at 06:52AM

Chennai - 6:30am, airport records 20 C while nungambakkam 21.4 C. #weather

from Instagram

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Most of Tamilnadu can expect some wet days during 1st 7 days of December !!

At present there's a elongated low-level circulation seen along 5th parallel, S Bay .. Now, models expect this to become LOW in next 4days ! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/plXN2.jpg



Both GFS and ECMWF models suggest a Deep depression over SW Bay near N,NE Srilanka on 1/2-Dec .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/plXVe.gif 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/plXVt.jpg 

Tamilnadu and #Chennai - till 30-Nov, can expect DRY, slightly windy coastline and COLD mornings !!
டிசம்பர்:
வாங்க கடலில் காற்று அழுத்த தாழ்வு நிலை உருவாக வாய்ப்புள்ளது. இதனால் டிசம்பர் முதல் வாரத்தில் இருந்து சென்னை மற்றும் கடலோர மாவட்டங்களில் கண மழைக்கு வாய்ப்புள்ளது. மேலும் இந்த தாழ்வு நிலை மேலும் வலு வடையை வாய்ப்புள்ளது.
December:
Low pressure area to be formed around december 1st week. Chennai, coastal tamilnadu will witness moderate to heavy rainfall from 1st week of December. This LPA has good chances to become depression in upcoming days.
#Chennai #சென்னை #தமிழ்நாடு #TamilNadu

Friday, November 25, 2016

November 25, 2016 at 03:40PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

"NO RAIN NOVEMBER" 2016


TamilNadu & Puducherry: As No rain November continues Tamilnadu & Puducherry undergoing serious Large Deficient rainfall!! November 2016 going to end up with worst NEM rainfall in 150years. Rainfall for next 5 days going to be NILL.


Top 10 Districts with negative percentage of rainfall departure from normal:
Tiruvallur -92%
Kancheepuram -88%
Namakkal -87%
Vellore -86%
Salem -86%
Karur -85%
Chennai -83%
Krishnagiri -82%
Erode -81%
Cuddalore -80%
&
PUDUCHERRY:  -92%

In top 10 districts only North and Central Tamilnadu districts listing up. South Tamilnadu, delta region might not listed in top 10, as they received quite bit of rainfall during last 10 days but still they undergo large deficient rainfall.

DECEMBER 2016
As November ending up badly. December might give up some hope of Rains!!
During 1st & 2nd Week of December we can expect rainfall. Which will be a better rainfall.
As per GFS model we might see LPA over SE of BOB during 1st week of December. Lets wait and watch how things going to be from December 01 2016 



10:30am, CLEAR looking #India, except some cloudiness over Kashmir, N Himachal .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pjWmv.jpg