Remnant of Typhoon Melor, Bay and NEM's last stand !

ECMWF and GFS are expecting the remnant of Melor to survive and pop a LOW over SE Bay on 23-Dec .. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWaexZAWUAAI1us.jpg

But, NAVGEM model suggests only a new easterly wave to push into SE Bay on 23-Dec !! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi93U.jpg

Can Bay sustain a LOW / Depression at this time of year ?

Latest sea surface temp shows above 28 C from S-central to SE Bay below 14N.
Latest SST of Bay also shows COLD waters near Tamilnadu coast.

A LOW can sustain over SE Bay as of now .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi9jm.jpg

For a clear picture about Bay and NE monsoon's last stand for Tamilnadu coast, we've to wait till 22/23-Dec !

Easterlies for S,SE Tamilnadu. T showers ahead!

A weak easterlies is affecting E,SE Srilanka and its winds have reached Tamilnadu coast as well, but Dry.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi5Vl.jpg
11:50am, IR shows heavy convective activity due to easterlies along E-coast Srilanka, SSW Bay ... http://ow.ly/W0GSF 

In next 36hrs, Easterlies is expected to affect S,SE,Central Tamilnadu below 11th or 10th parallel ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi6ba.jpg
Easterlies will be weak with less moisture at low-levels & almost NO moisture in upper-levels above 10N upto Chennai ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi6kt.jpg

Rainfall forecast for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

From Morning to noon of Friday..
Scattered showers possible along Karaikal to Rameswaram.
From Friday noon to morning of 19-Dec...
Heavy / moderate T showers for S-tip,S,SE,S-central Tamilnadu ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi6NF.jpg
One or two HEAVY T showers possible for Tirunelveli, Tuticorin and Kanyakumari district on Friday evening, midnight ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi6X0.jpg

Chennai & Pondicherry - on 18,19-Dec, it'll be cloudy, warm day and slightly warm night.
Drizzle possible from Early morning to 2pm.

Scattered T showers possible again over W-ghats, central, S Kerala on Friday and Saturday.

T showers ahead for Chatisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha and S Bengal

Today, upper,mid-level WD trough is seen along N,NW India dipping to 25N.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi4zR.jpg ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi4BH.jpg

WD's low-level circulation is seen over N-central India, it's trough is creating a wind confluence over Chatisgarh.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi4M4.jpg

11:50am, This wind confluence is already creating rain activity over Chatisgarh, adjoining E Madhyapradesh .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi4RB.jpg
As the upper-level WD trough is expected to move East and fizzle out in next 36hrs, the same will happen to this wind confluence as well.

On today and before noon/evening of Friday..
Scattered Heavy T showers for Chatisgarh, Odisha, Jharkhand, S Bengal .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fi5fA.jpg
#Kolkata - Moderate / Heavy T showers expected today late-evening / midnight and another shower before evening of Friday.

flood water

The flood gates of Chembarambakkam situated at SW side of the lake was opened without considering the aftermath effect. The roaring flood waters rolled in Adayar canals  inundated SW Chennai as the canal was shrinked to 60 feet or so. Further the draining path in Adayar river near SW part of Chennai i.e along the Adayar canal in Varatharajapuram, Mannivakkam etc encountered slightly elevated contours as a result the flood water laterally entered in to Mannivakkam, Varatharajapuram area where the flood waters stood at 9 feet height.

 

December 16, 2015 at 06:41PM

6pm, #isro PSLV launch viewed from #chennai . Mild, clear evening now, 26.1 C. #weather

from Instagram

December 16, 2015 at 05:59PM

RT @Astroguyz: T-4 minutes to the launch of an ISRO PSLV rocket from Satish Dhawan with 6x sats, including TeLEOS-1. #iwm

— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 16, 2015

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

December 16, 2015 at 03:54PM

3:40pm, Mostly clear skies over #India and for #ISRO launch zone. Showers seen over S Odisha .. #iwm .. http://pic.twitter.com/9BTOFUSA9Q

— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 16, 2015

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

December 16, 2015 at 03:51PM

"protect yourself and your family from falling prey to the aftermath (diseases) of the floods." .. #iwm ... https://t.co/08cBV9VVW6

— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 16, 2015

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

December 16, 2015 at 03:49PM

#ISRO to Launch Singaporean Satellites at 6 PM, today... https://t.co/Eri3pbca4O LIVE webcast at 5:30pm.. https://t.co/c2avrP67FC #iwm

— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 16, 2015

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

December 15, 2015 at 07:44PM

Chennai, today morning temp.. Airport 21.8 C. IWM Polichalur now, 7:40pm is 24.8 C. City can expect a 21 C morning, 16-Dec. #iwm

— Indian Weather Man (@weatherofindia) December 15, 2015

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia