Cyclone Megh is here over central Arabian sea ... and "again" eyeing Socotra Island and Yemen coast ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/efxgS.jpg
Thursday, November 05, 2015
Cyclone Megh is here !
Cyclone Megh is here over central Arabian sea ... and "again" eyeing Socotra Island and Yemen coast ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/efxgS.jpg
Posted Thursday Night:
Rains expected to increase along TN coast (Chennai) from Sunday 8th onwards.
1. There is a East -West trough running roughly along the 10N line, eastwards from the East Coast of Sri Lanka. This will embed an UAC and subsequently by the 8th, a Low. .
The Low is expected to deepen and track NW towards the TN Coast.
The system can cross the TN coast as a depression by Monday 9th.
There is a slight possibility of system re-emerging in the Arabian Sea off Kerala by mid next week.
2. Western Disturbance N-3 is likely to bring rains in North Pakistan from Sunday 8th and North India from 9th .
Day and night temperatures are expected to fall in NW and North India next week.
More on both these systems with weekend forecast on Friday....
Rains expected to increase along TN coast (Chennai) from Sunday 8th onwards.
1. There is a East -West trough running roughly along the 10N line, eastwards from the East Coast of Sri Lanka. This will embed an UAC and subsequently by the 8th, a Low. .
The Low is expected to deepen and track NW towards the TN Coast.
The system can cross the TN coast as a depression by Monday 9th.
There is a slight possibility of system re-emerging in the Arabian Sea off Kerala by mid next week.
2. Western Disturbance N-3 is likely to bring rains in North Pakistan from Sunday 8th and North India from 9th .
Day and night temperatures are expected to fall in NW and North India next week.
More on both these systems with weekend forecast on Friday....
A wet shopping weekend and Diwali eve ahead for Tamilnadu
SSE Bay is having a weak elongated circulation, this can develop into a strong circulation, LOW, move West in 48hrs .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eey3S.jpg
This SSE Bay circulation is expected to intensify and drift West as a WML on Sunday near to NE Srilanka coast.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eey8N.jpg
During next 4/5 days, there's NO significant WD systems affecting north India, instead a low-level anti-cyclone expected over central India.
This central India Anti-cyclone can guide the upcoming S Bay system to keep tracking West and in some cases W-S-W as well !!
GFS expects the system to develop into Depression and reach NE Srilanka on 9-Nov... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeyjA.jpg
ECMWF model suggests a landfall along central-coast Tamilnadu on 9-Nov as Deep Depression ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeynH.jpg
More scattered T showers ahead for S,SE,NW,W, W-ghats Tamilnadu, W-ghats,S,SW Karnataka today before midnight.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeyVk.jpg
Today and before morning of 6-Nov... HEAVY rainfall ALERT for Tirunelveli, Tuticorin and Kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu
Chennai - can get a scattered light / moderate shower from Sea after midnight and early morning of 6-Nov.
95A is now 05A, Depression over central Arabian sea
Yesterday's Arabian sea LOW "95A" is now "05A" a depression now.
Cyclone alert issued.
Pressure now is 1000mb.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eewxY.jpg
Will 05A become a Cyclone like Chapala?
All depends on the dry air "already" trying to encircle the system... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eewM2.jpg
In next 2 days.. GFS expects the Dry air to encircle the entire 05A and Will not allow to intensify.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eewQS.jpg
Before starting to weaken after Saturday... this 05A may become a marginal Cyclone and may not get the name !!
November 05, 2015 at 12:24PM
Chennai - 10:30am, heavy rain over Polichalur, Anakaputhur, Pallavaram zone. Polichalur got 24.9mm. #weather
Wednesday, November 04, 2015
Another Arabian sea LOW and S Bay getting ready for a LOW
E-central Arabian sea has hosted another LOW... tracked as 95A, pressure around 1005mb.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ecJEF.jpg
GFS expects this system to intensify upto a Depression level and track West in next 3 days.
Another cyclone? Cannot be ascertained now !
A fresh easterly wave has entered S-E Bay.. and a weak circulation is seen over S-S-E Bay.
This Bay circulation is expected to consolidate, drop a LOW and track West along with easterlies during next 2 days.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ecJSZ.jpg
GFS expects the SE Bay circulation to intensify to a WML or even a Depression on 7-Nov and drift near to E Srilanka .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ecJZM.jpg
GFS even forecasts the Depression to crash along SE,central Tamilnadu coast on #Diwali day !! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ecK3m.jpg
Today again, HEAVY scattered T showers for central,N,NW,W,S Tamilnadu expected ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ecKla.jpg
More T showers ahead for W-ghats,S,SW Karnataka and for #Bangalore in next 10hrs.
Tomorrow morning, Showers expected along central,SE coast Tamilnadu and some expected to push into Chennai around noon as well.
November 04, 2015 at 12:38PM
Chennai - 12:20pm, getting ready for some heavy showers. A burst is already happening over South. #weather
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