Wednesday, July 15, 2015
July 15, 2015 at 05:15PM
Chennai - 5:10pm, a heavy T shower has popped over WNW from city at 80km. Next update in 30min. #iwm
July 15, 2015 at 04:46PM
RT @ajitmishra71: this time we get heavy rainfall at Bhagalpur, Bihar, in Eastern Bihar. temp. about 28C at 12:30 PM #iwm
Another circulation expected over E India and less rain for Maharastra coast till 18-Jul
Latest analysis show a good East-coast offshore trough from S Bengal to S-E coast Tamilnadu all along S-E coast India .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnLT.jpg
But, West coast offshore trough is still weak .. and seen only along S-coast Maharastra to N Kerala coast !
11:30am, Heavy rain over Bihar, N,central Bengal
And
Karnataka coast, N coast Kerala also getting rainfall... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnUe.jpg
Heavy cloud cover over Chennai, N Tamilnadu, S Andhra ... due to tail of T shower over Bay... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnUe.jpg
Today, at upper-level a weak circulation seen over central Bay ... and weak, mini circulation over, along S Andhra.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPo68.jpg
This upper-level circulation over S Andhra is expected to persist for another 24hrs.
Along with another circulation over central Karnataka
This upper-level circulation can bring T showers for S,central Karantaka, Bangalore, N Tamilnadu, S Andhra, Chennai .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPomc.jpg
Till, 17/18-Jul... the west-coast offshore trough is expected persist only from S Maharastra coast to N/central Kerala coast.
N-Bay is not expected to pop a circulation before 18-Jul.
Instead, on 17-Jul, a circulation is expected over Bihar .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoy1.jpg
From 18-Jul, the upcoming Bihar circulation is expected to drift West ... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoBK.jpg
There's NO heavy, widespread rain expected along Maharastra coast, Gujarat and Mumbai till 18-Jul.
Latest MJO forecast suggests a Neutral phase after 23/24-Jul followed by a wet phase from 29-Jul to August end.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoP5.jpg
This (MJO forecast) may suggest bad news (No widespread rain) for West coast, W India even till 25-Jul.
Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
During next 48hrs..
Heavy rain ahead for Karnataka coast, N,central Kerala and some over S-coast Maharastra.
Due to upper-level circulation over S Andhra.
Today scattered T showers for S Karnataka, Bangalore, N Tamilnadu, S,central Andhra, Chennai
#Chennai - can expect a T shower before early hrs of 16-Jul... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPp75.jpg
Many zones in East India, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bengal, Bihar, N,central Chatisgarh to get widespread rain on today and 16-Jul.
Over East India, the rainfall intensity is expected to increase over Bihar and E Uttarpradesh from evening, 16-Jul.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPpfN.jpg
On evening of 16-Jul... more scattered T showers expected over S Karnataka, Bangalore, S Andhra and into N,N-E Tamilnadu and for Chennai.
Sunday, July 12, 2015
SWM rainfall after NCR's rain
This is the first time in 2015 SWM period so far, the Indian Ocean High is with 1036hPa. There is every possibility that SWM may become active to vigorous in the western coast again until 15 July 2015. The active phase will be 8 Deg Parallel to 15 Deg parallel in west coast area. The monsoon depression in the Bay which moved deep in land gracing National Capital and North India gave copious rainfall. This will move further north and give moderate rain. But even then the country's SWM rainfall till to day (12.7.15) is in the negative side of NORMAL
July 12, 2015 at 12:43PM
11:30am, bay low is now over N,N-central India. Some massive rain seen, flood alert for this zone. #weather
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