Tuesday, June 09, 2015

June 09, 2015 at 09:43PM

Chennai - 9:30pm, heavy T showers nearing western suburbs. It may not cross into sea. #weather

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June 09, 2015 at 06:34PM

Chennai - 6:28pm, T showers seen over W,WNW from 60 to 150 km. City can expect T shower before 12. #weather

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Ashobaa - Continue to move N-W towards Oman coast


Cyclone Ashobaa - 12pm, Continued to move N-W with no further intensification. Pressure at 985mb. Pos 20.37N, 64.3E http://ow.ly/i/bdcpr 
12:30pm, IR shows that Ashobaa has moved away from India and Monsoon active along Karnataka coast, Goa ... http://ow.ly/i/bdcYw 

From here on... UKMET suggests that Ashobaa will continue to move N-W and become stationary, fizzle out near Oman.. http://ow.ly/i/bddnR 

JTWC expects the Cyclone to intensify further, move N-W, move upto Gulf of Oman on 11-Jun, "may make Oman landfall" http://ow.ly/i/bddxc 

GFS, expects the Cyclone to maintain intensity, move NW and make landfall along Oman coast as Cyclone on 11-Jun.. http://ow.ly/i/bddD2 

Monsoon for India
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Monsoon is expected to be active along Karnataka coast, Goa, S Maharastra coast on today and 10-Jun... http://ow.ly/i/bdeaa 
Some showers can also push into central coast Maharastra and even to Mumbai on 10-Jun .. http://ow.ly/i/bdehh 

Less or NO rain expected ALL along Kerala on today and 10-Jun.
Today, scattered T showers expected over N,N-W,N-central,N-E Tamilnadu, Chennai, into S,N-E Andhra.
Today evening, late-evening... more T showers ahead for W,central,N Maharastra !

Monday, June 08, 2015

Ashobaa & SWM in AS

The winds in "MANNAR BAY" close to TN deep South coast is SWly with 13-15 knots strength.  This will generate wave to a height of 5-6 feet in the sea. Fisherman there should exercise caution while venturing into sea.

The Power House is now near 30 S /55E and if it continues for further two days SWM will be felt in SW coast again.  But Mascarene High refuses to strengthen further.

Ocean - atmosphere reaction is varying accordingly and affects Indian summer monsoon rainfall.

The cyclone Ashobaa may NOT sustain further and it will diffuse in the sea and cross (north) Omen coast. But it has pulled WEAK monsoon winds upto Konkan.

Ashobaa is here and moving N-W away from India

During past 18hrs, the Cyclone 01A has intensified and moved N-W.
Present position is 18.56N, 66E.
Pressure is around 983mb
Winds gusting to 110 kmph

After evening of 7-Jun, the system has continued to intensify by drifting N-N-W.
Now the system is named as Cyclone Ashobaa.

Latest, 6:30pm, IR shows the cyclone and the Monsoon showers along Kerala coast, Karnataka coast and upto Goa, S-coast Maharastra. Monsoon showers showing signs of reducing intensity.

Some Weather models suggest a N-W movement from here and may reach Oman 10/11-Jun. And some suggest a dissipation somewhere near mouth of Gulf of Oman.

Due to this Cyclone, DRY weather or less monsoon rain expected along S-coast Karnataka and Kerala coast. Some showers will continue along N-coast Karnataka and into S-coast Maharastra during next 2 days.

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Mid,Upper-level circulation persists along N-coast Andhra almost in same axis of Cyclone Ashobaa.
This may persist along Andhra coast during next 2 days, giving scattered T showers for Coast, interior Andhra and some into N,N-E Tamilnadu as well.

An odd T shower may break into #Chennai on 9-Jun-2015.

June 08, 2015 at 03:23PM

3pm, chennai - hot and humid. A 30% chance of rain. #weather

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June 08, 2015 at 03:15PM

3pm, heavy rain over Matheran range. #weather

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June 08, 2015 at 07:15AM

6:30am, At last heavy monsoon rain slowly pushing into Kerala, Karnataka coast. #iwm

June 08, 2015 at 07:12AM

6:30am, 01A is now a Cyclone. Pressure 990mb. Moved NNW. Location 17.14N, 67.55E. Will be named in 4hrs. #weather

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June 08, 2015 at 12:56AM

12am, 01A is now a Depression and again tracked North. Pressure at 999mb. #weather

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