Weather Instagram at May 11, 2015 at 08:59AM

8:40am, good T showers seen over N,Central coast Tamilnadu. #weather

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Weather Instagram at May 11, 2015 at 08:55AM

8am, Dohnavur - monsoon style steady drizzle from NE, early morning. #weather

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Weather Instagram at May 11, 2015 at 08:53AM

8am, Dohnavur - monsoon style steady drizzle from NE, early morning. #weather

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May 10, 2015 at 11:46PM

11:21pm, Mysore - heavy T shower now. #iwm

Monsoon Watch - 4...2015...10th May

Forecasting Methods adopted for the Indian Monsoons:
and factors considered...
1.Seasonal Low: Indicator :-ve
2.ITCZ: Indicator: Normal
3.Jet Streams: Indicator: -ve
4. Cross Equatorial winds: +ve
Enso: El Nino Factor

Full Report in Vagaries

Weather Instagram at May 10, 2015 at 08:02PM

6:30pm, Malout - dust storm as seen from Kabarwala village. #weather

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Weather Instagram at May 10, 2015 at 07:59PM

5:36pm, Belgaum - hailstorm! #weather

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May 10, 2015 at 12:18PM

Chennai - 12pm, temp now is just 35 c but feels like 42 C. #iwm

Weather Instagram at May 10, 2015 at 10:31AM

10am, Karaikal - warm and sultry after early morning T shower. #weather

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S-W bay may pop a LOW in next 5 days !

Today at surface-level, low-levels, a N-S trough seen from N-E Madhyapradesh to N,N-E Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/aJGYT 
At low-levels, the weak circulation over S-W Bay persists, this is expected to persist till 11-May, a LOW may drop in that zone around 13/14.
On 11-May, an upper-level circulation is expected along S-E coast Tamilnadu and S-W Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/aJHah
NAVGEM model suggests a LOW over S-W Bay on 14/15-May ... http://ow.ly/i/aJHeW 

The low-level circulation over Bihar is expected to be back again on Monday, 11-May... http://ow.ly/i/aJH77 

12-May, an upper-level trough is expected along central Pakistan, this can bring cloudy weather, rain for N,N-W India http://ow.ly/i/aJHah 

In next 36hrs..
HEAVY T showers to continue over W-ghats Kerala, W-ghats,N,N-W, S-tip Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/aJHhy 
In 36hrs...
T showers also for S,S-W,W-ghats,N,N-E Karnataka, one or two over S,central,E Maharastra and N-E Andhra.