Tuesday, December 30, 2014
95B - during past 12hrs has drifted North and intensified slightly.
Pressure 1003mb.
Location 12.3N, 83.3E.. http://ow.ly/i/86k1y
95B - expected to drift N,N-N-E during next 24 to 48hrs without much intensification.
Weakening possibility is high http://ow.ly/i/86kde
2pm, Visible shows that 95B has started to drift away from Tamilnadu coast ... http://ow.ly/i/86kj0
Light rain possible for Chennai, N-coast Tamilnadu, S-coast Andhra during next 24hrs.
T showers for S,S-central, W-ghats Tamilnadu on today evening and on 31-Dec.
In the wake of 95B..
Scattered T showers expected to pop over Maharastra, Karnataka, Tamilnadu and Andhra on 1,2-Jan-2015.
RT @Serene_Meadows: Snowfall likely in J&K, HP and Uttaranchal in first week of January. More cold weather ahead. http://t.co/roneA2Gw3k
1:30pm, Dense FOG still seen over parts of S-W,central Punjab and central,w-central Uttarpradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/86jKp
Today morning, most of N,N-W,N-central India recorded temps below 10 C.
Delhi-AP = 4 C
Udaipur = 3 C
Varanasi = 4 C (-5)
Due to foggy days, most places in N,N-central India recorded a low day temps as well..
Lucknow = 12C (-11)
Amristar = 12C (-7)
1:30pm, Dense FOG still seen over parts of S-W,central Punjab and central,w-central Uttarpradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/86jKp
Today morning, most of N,N-W,N-central India recorded temps below 10 C.
Delhi-AP = 4 C
Udaipur = 3 C
Varanasi = 4 C (-5)
Due to foggy days, most places in N,N-central India recorded a low day temps as well..
Lucknow = 12C (-11)
Amristar = 12C (-7)
Day time cold temperature in Chennai and rainfall !!
Around 3pm, IWM Polichalur recorded a low temp of 21.3 C ... http://ow.ly/Gysdp
Chennai - Polichalur zone got good steady rain from 4:30pm.
12:25am, during past 24hrs, IWM Polichalure has got 62.4mm of rainfall.
95B is now a Well Marked LOW with pressure around 1003/1004mb. It has drifted North and now at 10.2N , 83E ... http://ow.ly/i/85Xh0
11pm, Heavy convective activity near center and over N,N-E,S-E quadrants of "95B"... http://ow.ly/i/85XpK
In next 24hrs, the 95B is expected to drift North upto 13N and then drift N-N-E on 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85XzA
N-N-E movement of 95B is expected due to formation of mid,upper-level W.D trough from N Pakistan dipping South to 20N over N-E Arabian sea
Here's the upper-level chart showing the W.D trough (expected in next 18hrs)... http://ow.ly/i/85XT5
On 31-Dec and 1-Jan-2015, the weakened circulation of 95B is expected to reach S Odisha coast... http://ow.ly/i/85Y15
On 31-Dec, 1-Jan-2015, Heavy showers may push into central,N Odisha coast and into S coast Bengal, Kolkata ... http://ow.ly/i/85Y6T
Is it going to be a rainy NEW YEAR eve and new year day for Bhubaneshwar and Kolkata ??
All depends on LOW 95B's movement today !
Today, moderate rain expected to persist over N coast Tamilnadu, Chennai and S coast Andhra.
HEAVY scattered T Showers expected over S,S-tip and W-ghats Tamilnadu on today and 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85YpK
Around 3pm, IWM Polichalur recorded a low temp of 21.3 C ... http://ow.ly/Gysdp
Chennai - Polichalur zone got good steady rain from 4:30pm.
12:25am, during past 24hrs, IWM Polichalure has got 62.4mm of rainfall.
95B is now a Well Marked LOW with pressure around 1003/1004mb. It has drifted North and now at 10.2N , 83E ... http://ow.ly/i/85Xh0
11pm, Heavy convective activity near center and over N,N-E,S-E quadrants of "95B"... http://ow.ly/i/85XpK
In next 24hrs, the 95B is expected to drift North upto 13N and then drift N-N-E on 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85XzA
N-N-E movement of 95B is expected due to formation of mid,upper-level W.D trough from N Pakistan dipping South to 20N over N-E Arabian sea
Here's the upper-level chart showing the W.D trough (expected in next 18hrs)... http://ow.ly/i/85XT5
On 31-Dec and 1-Jan-2015, the weakened circulation of 95B is expected to reach S Odisha coast... http://ow.ly/i/85Y15
On 31-Dec, 1-Jan-2015, Heavy showers may push into central,N Odisha coast and into S coast Bengal, Kolkata ... http://ow.ly/i/85Y6T
Is it going to be a rainy NEW YEAR eve and new year day for Bhubaneshwar and Kolkata ??
All depends on LOW 95B's movement today !
Today, moderate rain expected to persist over N coast Tamilnadu, Chennai and S coast Andhra.
HEAVY scattered T Showers expected over S,S-tip and W-ghats Tamilnadu on today and 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85YpK
Monday, December 29, 2014
Day time cold temperature in Chennai and rainfall
The easterly wave progression is vivid.
The low in the lower latitude [10 DEG North] is oscillated in the progress of easterly wave.
Since it is wave type propagation only NON convective clouds are predominant. The movement is tossed by troughs & crusts. [(Alternate) west-east shift of cloud formation and east to west dissipation of cloud band] This will persist for another 48 hours.
This will enhance the rainfall for Chennai city.
The cold easterly trough brought day time cold in north coastal Tamil Nadu ,especially at Chennai, and the stratus clouds gave moderate to heavy rainfall.
The crest in the west will be moisturized to give [dense] fog in North western parts of TamilNadu
Chennai - 8:18am, light rain continue over Polichalur zone. So far IWM Polichalur has recorded 13.5mm of rainfall.
S-W Bay LOW "95B" has intensified slightly and drifted North, now positioned at 9.1N , 83.3E ... http://ow.ly/i/85t2x
7:30am, visible shot shows, most of convective activity is over N,N-W,N-E from center of 95B... http://ow.ly/i/85t5p
8:10am, more rain pushing towards central,N Tamilnadu coast, Chennai ... this time it'll heavier ... http://ow.ly/i/85taf
As of now, In next 2 days, 95B is expected to drift North along Tamilnadu coast as a Well marked LOW.. http://ow.ly/i/85tiL
S-W Bay LOW "95B" has intensified slightly and drifted North, now positioned at 9.1N , 83.3E ... http://ow.ly/i/85t2x
7:30am, visible shot shows, most of convective activity is over N,N-W,N-E from center of 95B... http://ow.ly/i/85t5p
8:10am, more rain pushing towards central,N Tamilnadu coast, Chennai ... this time it'll heavier ... http://ow.ly/i/85taf
As of now, In next 2 days, 95B is expected to drift North along Tamilnadu coast as a Well marked LOW.. http://ow.ly/i/85tiL
Sunday, December 28, 2014
Posted Sunday 28th Night:
BB-15 !The sysytem now as a Low at 7.7N and 84E, is around 1006 mb. Seeing the behaviour of the upper level winds, I expect this system to deepen stage wise to depression and track towards the TN coast. BB-15 is then expected, after traking along the coast, to weaken after Monday and fizzle out around 15N in the Bay.
29th December ; Heavy to Moderate Rainfall is expected : Along the North TN Coast. ( Chennai: Around 40-45 mms 29th Morning- 31st Morning).
Light rains in Central TN.
30th : Heavy to Moderate Rains in Coastal AP. Moderate Rains in Coastal Odisha, TN and Kerala. Drizzles in Bangalore.
New Year EVE: 31st December: Heavy Rains in Coastal AP/Odisha. Vizag: Around 40 mms 30th morning-1st Morning).
Moderate Rains in Interior Odisha and Parts of South Chattisgarh (Raipur: Upto 5 mms)).
Light showers in Aurangabad , Ahmednagar, Jalna and Western Vidarbha (Akola). (Rains in Central India due to an inland trough ). Drizzles in Bangalore.
Very Cilly Night with around freezing temperatures in Punjab/Haryana, parts of NCR and Rajasthan.
Mumbai will be pleasant and windy in the evening. Low at Santa Cruz around 16c and 19/20c at Colaba. Partly cloudy next few days.
Goa will be partly cloudy with light showers in the night or 1st morning.
Pakistan Northern plains and Sindh to face very cold temperatures from 31st for 2/3 days. Around freezing in Sindh plains and Punjab.
New Year: 1st January 2015: Heavy Rainfall in Coastal West Bengal and adjoining Odisha.
Moderate to light showers and hails in Marathwada (Aurangabad : Around 20 mms in 2 days. Very cold day)), West Vidarbha (Akola), North Maharashtra (Hails) (Pune/ Nasik), Interior Karnataka (Belgaum) ( Bangalore: Showers on 1st around 15 mms in some parts), Hyderabad, Parts of South Gujarat Coast (Surat: Upto 3 mms), Baroda).
Cold Wave in all of Northern regions continue and intensify from 2nd January. Gujarat and Kutch get cold from 1st January.
From vagaries
BB-15 !The sysytem now as a Low at 7.7N and 84E, is around 1006 mb. Seeing the behaviour of the upper level winds, I expect this system to deepen stage wise to depression and track towards the TN coast. BB-15 is then expected, after traking along the coast, to weaken after Monday and fizzle out around 15N in the Bay.
29th December ; Heavy to Moderate Rainfall is expected : Along the North TN Coast. ( Chennai: Around 40-45 mms 29th Morning- 31st Morning).
Light rains in Central TN.
30th : Heavy to Moderate Rains in Coastal AP. Moderate Rains in Coastal Odisha, TN and Kerala. Drizzles in Bangalore.
New Year EVE: 31st December: Heavy Rains in Coastal AP/Odisha. Vizag: Around 40 mms 30th morning-1st Morning).
Moderate Rains in Interior Odisha and Parts of South Chattisgarh (Raipur: Upto 5 mms)).
Light showers in Aurangabad , Ahmednagar, Jalna and Western Vidarbha (Akola). (Rains in Central India due to an inland trough ). Drizzles in Bangalore.
Very Cilly Night with around freezing temperatures in Punjab/Haryana, parts of NCR and Rajasthan.
Mumbai will be pleasant and windy in the evening. Low at Santa Cruz around 16c and 19/20c at Colaba. Partly cloudy next few days.
Goa will be partly cloudy with light showers in the night or 1st morning.
Pakistan Northern plains and Sindh to face very cold temperatures from 31st for 2/3 days. Around freezing in Sindh plains and Punjab.
New Year: 1st January 2015: Heavy Rainfall in Coastal West Bengal and adjoining Odisha.
Moderate to light showers and hails in Marathwada (Aurangabad : Around 20 mms in 2 days. Very cold day)), West Vidarbha (Akola), North Maharashtra (Hails) (Pune/ Nasik), Interior Karnataka (Belgaum) ( Bangalore: Showers on 1st around 15 mms in some parts), Hyderabad, Parts of South Gujarat Coast (Surat: Upto 3 mms), Baroda).
Cold Wave in all of Northern regions continue and intensify from 2nd January. Gujarat and Kutch get cold from 1st January.
From vagaries
Chennai - 6:40pm, Strong drizzle now. First rain due to S-W Bay LOW "95B". More coming up around midnight, early hrs. http://ow.ly/i/85exT
6:30pm, Deep convective activity seen around S-W Bay LOW "95B" and over its Northern band ... http://ow.ly/i/85eCe
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