Posted Thursday Night ( 18th September):

South West Monsoon is in the withdrawal process, and has withdrawn from West Rajasthan. A ridge formation, an anticyclone in the 200 hpa level, and surface winds from the NW bringing a sharp reduction in humidity ensures speedy withdrawal from Rajasthan, Kutch, Punjab, HP and Kashmir by  Saturday 20th September.
Full article with Long term Forecast on www.vagaries.in

இந்திய பெருங்கடல்

 The Sun is approaching close to Equator.  Still south Indian Ocean temperature is NOT disturbed. .

Will the restrengthening of SWM power house [1032hPa] lead for another J&K like FLOODING in India [soon?]

ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடியில், இந்திய மீனவர்களை ஒப்பிடுகையில், தமிழக மீனவர்களுக்குதான் வாய்ப்புகள் அதிகம். காரணம், குமரி முனையினை அடுத்து நேர் தெற்கே இந்திய பெருங்கடல் சுமார் 10450 கி.மீ தூரம் அன்டர்டிக வரையில் பரவி உள்ளது. ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடிப்பினை ஊக்கபடுத்தும் வகையில் மீனவர்களுக்கு பெரும் மீன்பிடி கப்பல் வாங்க முயற்சி மேற்கொள்ள வேண்டும். மீனவரும் அரசும் இணைந்து -
கூட்டாய் மீன்பிடி தொழிலை செய்ய முன்வர வேண்டும். அரசும் மீனவர்களும் இணையும் போது லாபமோ நட்டமோ அது இருவரையும் சார்ந்து அமையும். அரசுகள் சிந்திக்க வேண்டும்.

Today, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is seen over W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBd6 
Latest analysis show, the upper-level circulation of 98B is over W Bay near to #Chennai ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBh4 

In next 48hrs, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is expected to push N-N-W and reach N Odisha coast .. http://ow.ly/i/6VDjp 
The upper-level circulation of 98B is expected to push into N-E,N-central Andhra coast on tomorrow night.. http://ow.ly/i/6VDDB 

Before morning of 19-Sep...
Light/moderate rain for S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai.

Noon, evening of 19-Sep...
Heavy, scattered T showers over S,central,E Karnataka, W,S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/6VDV0 
19-Sep...
Many T showers expected to pop over Odisha, S,central Chatisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and S,central Bengal.
Evening, midnight of 19-Sep... HEAVY T showers expected over N,N-central,N-E Tamilnadu and Chennai.
AND
More rain into S,central,N-E Andhra.

Weather Instagram at September 18, 2014 at 05:16PM

#chennai at 3:30pm, mild drizzle all thru the day. #weather

from Instagram

3:30pm, Due to 98B, Heavy T showers again over central,N-E, coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty 

3:30pm, T showers also over N Chatisgarh, central Jharkhand ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty

#Chennai - Drizzles till 8:30am today...

Nungambakkam = 2.5mm

Airport = 4.5mm

IWM Polichalur = 3.3mm

#Chennai - 3:45pm, More long drizzles ahead for city and suburbs during next 3 hrs... http://ow.ly/i/6VvDC 

Today, Bay LOW "98B" persists over N-W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6VsdF  ...  http://ow.ly/i/6Vse0 

Past 12hrs satellite IR loop shows convective activity over S,S-W,W,S-E quadrants of 98B, Andhra, N Tamilnadu coast.. http://ow.ly/i/6VslT 

#Chennai - 2pm, More scattered drizzles ahead during next 2 hrs.

#Chennai - 5:57am, Polichalur zone, heavy drizzle for the past 30 min. Expected to persist till 7am. Rainfall 2.7mm so far.

W-central Bay LOW "98B" persists today ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJ3t 
Low,mid-level circulation of "98B" can be seen over N-W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJ5Z 

Here's a 700hpa analysis plot of "98B" and remnant of Typhoon " kalmaegi " ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJjE 

3pm, T showers popping again over central,N-E Andhra, N Jharkhand, central Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJqC 

GFS not expects the LOW "98B" to intensify, instead it'll slowly drift N-N-W upto Odisha, S Bengal coast and weaken http://ow.ly/i/6UJSW 
Meanwhile, the 500hpa circulation of 98B near S Andhra coast, Chennai is expected to persist till 19-Sep ... http://ow.ly/i/6UK6X 

Low-level trough from central Pakistan to S Gujarat coast persists and will till 19-Sep ... http://ow.ly/i/6UKMy 

Before morning of 18-Sep...
Scattered moderate T showers for N,N-E,N-central-coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai, S,central Andhra, S-E,E Karnataka.
Early hrs of 18-Sep...
S,central Kerala coast can get scattered showers.

18-Sep, noon, evening...
Scattered rain over S,central Odisha, central Bengal, N,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra.
18-Sep, evening...
Heavy, scattered T showers over Odisha, Jharkhand, W,S-W,N-W Maharastra, N,N-W,central,S Karnataka http://ow.ly/i/6UL3u 
18-Sep, again, T showers expected over N,N-E,N-central Tamilnadu, #Chennai, S,central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/6UL6q 

Weather Instagram at September 17, 2014 at 04:13PM

#chennai - 3:30pm, partly cloudy and warm so far. Today again after 7pm rain activity will start due to circulation near city. #weather

from Instagram

#Chennai - Less rainfall yesterday...
Nungambakkam = 0.7mm
Airport = 1.3mm
IWM Polichalur = 0.9mm

4pm, T showers seen over N-central,N-central-coast Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6UIYn