Weather Instagram at August 22, 2014 at 11:00AM

#chennai - 10:45am, good cloud formation and movement from SSE. Rain possible before 2pm. #weather

from Instagram

Outlook for Friday 22nd and Saturday 23rd August:

Thunder showers with heavy falls likely on both days along the North-South stretch from North Madhya Maharastra ( Nasik region) down Southwards into Nagar, Pune , Kolhapur, Solapur and Interior Karnataka regions (Bangalore included). Thunder showers also will be heavy in "interior" Konkan and coastal Karnataka.
Heavy falls in patches will be around 75-100 mms.
Saturday evening will see thunder showers in Marathwada also and Showers possible in Saurashtra and Surat region.

In Pakistan, Karachi area gets light rain on late Friday night/Saturday morning.
Sunday 24th: Rains decrease in the above region. Increase in rainfall in Goa.
Rains increasing in Odisha from Monday.

Mumbai: Thundery conditions and cloudy with some parts getting rain. Saturday night, Mumbai City can get heavy showers, spilling into Sunday morning. With thunder/lightning, guage can measure 35-45 mms by Sunday morning.
Very heavy rain likely in Eastern outer townships on Saturday evening.
Pune: Thunder showers on Friday, and heavier on Saturday. Possibily >35 mms on Saturday.
Kolkata: Showers likely upto 15 mms on Friday, decreasing in the weekend with sunny spells.
Delhi NCR: Only what i can write is days might touch 40c and nights 30c ! 
Parts of Delhi NCR showed the maximum toucjing 39.4c (Yamumna Complex). Palam was 39.3 c on Thursday. Nights could be warm at 29-30c.
Nagpur may get heavy thundershowers in the region on Friday and Saturday.

from Vagaries

Rain...Rain...... going away

 In the previous post the "condensation Trail" is depicted over  Chennai.  This implies moisture at 30,000 ft .  The warm air advection will bring rain tomorrow morning.
                              or
At least clouding will be there in Chennai tomorrow [22.08.2014] morning. 

This WMO [Severe Weather Information Center-SWIC] picture indicates TS over Tamil Nadu along 10 Deg Parallel too. 
Rapid formation will be there

As the SUN is marching towards south, the south Indian ocean is slowly getting warmth.  This means strength of SWM will be reducing .

The SWM seasonal rainfall pattern for TN

Weather Instagram at August 21, 2014 at 06:49PM

#chennai - 6:30pm, a warm and clear evening. No rain expected on Friday. #weather

from Instagram

@VigneshMohan >> For #Chennai - there's a good chance of T shower over W,S-W suburbs on Saturday evening !

Today as well the low-level trough is seen along S-E coast dipping South upto S tip tamilnadu... http://ow.ly/i/6CJbQ
In this trough, a low,mid-level circulation is embedded and located over S Tamilnadu, Gulf Mannar ... http://ow.ly/i/6CMsL

Yesterday's upper-level circulation over S-E corner Arabian sea near to S Kerala coast persists ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNdD

In next 3 days, the mid-level circulation is expected to drift N-N-W from S Tamilnadu and emerge over Arabian sea along Karnataka coast.
By Sunday, the low-level circulation is expected to reach #Mumbai coast after traveling from S Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNjD
In 2/3 days, the upper-level circulation will persist over Lakshadweep after moving N-N-W from present position ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNta

N Bay is expected to be CALM till 26-Aug !

Rainfall forecast for next 2 days ::
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

In next 12hrs, Scattered T showers expected ALL along W-ghats from N Maharastra to S tip Tamilnadu ! .. http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Today late-evening,into early morning...
Scattered HEAVY rain ahead over Karnataka, S,central,E Maharastra, W,N,N-W Andhra into S Chatisgarh
Before midnight today...
Scattered HEAVY T showers expected over central,W,N,N-W Tamilnadu... http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Tomorrow afternoon again...
HEAVY scattered T showers expected ALL along W-ghats from central Maharastra to S-tip Tamilnadu.
Friday, HEAVY scattered T showers to continue over W,S,central,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Friday afternoon... scattered rain expected over Odisha, Jharkhand and into S Bengal.
Scattered T showers for Karnataka to continue on tomorrow.
More T showers ahead for W,S-W,N-W karnataka on Saturday as well.

From early hrs of Saturday, HEAVY widespread rain expected over S,central,W-ghats Kerala and over S tip Tamilnadu.
On Saturday, HEAVY widespread rain for Kerala, Karnataka coast, W-ghats, S tip Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6CPus 

12:30pm, Heavy morning rain along #Mumbai has almost vanished now... http://ow.ly/i/6CIN3 
12:30pm, lots of fresh T showers has popped over N-central Maharastra, Odisha and into Jharkhand .. http://ow.ly/i/6CIN3

RT @dna: #Mumbai - Waterlogging in Dadar due to heavy rain http://t.co/18891Mua5G http://t.co/QVjguVZtsu 

#Chennai -Today, 21-Aug. W,S-W,N-W suburbs can get a moderate rain... during next 2 days the showers(if any)  may not push from West to Sea.

#Chennai - 2pm, had a HOT and Humid day so far !!

Today, the expected Low-level trough is seen along S-E coast from S Bengal to S tip Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6BZjT 
At low-levels a weak circulation or wind discontinuity is seen over S Karnataka, N,N-W,N-E Tamilnadu, S Andhra... http://ow.ly/i/6BZoO 
This low-level trough and embedded circulation is expected to persist for next 2 days over S-central Peninsula ... http://ow.ly/i/6BZrs 

Today at mid,upper-levels, a circulation is seen over S-E corner Arabian sea along Kerala coast ... http://ow.ly/i/6BZvw 
In next 42hrs, mid-level circulation is expected to consolidate over S Tamilnadu embedded into the trough ... http://ow.ly/i/6BZy2 
GFS expects that the upcoming low,mid-level circulation over S,S-central Peninsula will drift N-N-W along W-ghats upto #Mumbai on 24-Aug !!

Sadly !! Almost NO North Bay LOW expected till 25-Aug !!

At present the N-W India, Pakistan LOW (monsoon axis) is around 1002mb ... this is weak and expected to have a strengthening after 25-Aug!
The present low-level trough over Peninsular India can have good rainfall over Interior zones of peninsula and less along S-W,W coast !

12:30pm, Showers persist over N Bihar, N Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/6BZQk 

Weather Instagram at August 19, 2014 at 12:15PM

Acharapakkam - 12:14pm, warm and humid. Clear skies. #weather

from Instagram

Weather Instagram at August 19, 2014 at 11:15AM

#chennai yesterday evening.. T cells over western horizon. #weather

from Instagram