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Weather Instagram at June 09, 2014 at 02:33PM

#chennai - today morning photo. 2:10pm, cloudy and temp at 29C. #weather

from Instagram

95A and Monsoon !! Heavy rain expected for Karnataka coast, Goa

Previous report about 95A and Monsoon, updated on 8-Jun-2014 can be read here ... http://indianweatherman.blogspot.in/2014/06/080614-95-a.html

As of 11:30am, 95A is still a well marked LOW lying over E-central Arabian sea.
Present position is 12.9N and 67E.
Pressure is around 1000mb as per GFS and 1004mb as per US NAVY analysis.

11:30am, Satellite visible shows ... Heavy convective activity along its W,S,S-W,S-E quadrants.
Satellite also shows the T shower activity over W Bay along N Tamilnadu coast and Andhra coast.
Reduced Rainfall activity over Kerala is also observed.

Forecast for 95A and Monsoon
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GFS predicts that during next 48hrs, "95A" will intensify to Deep Depression and move North or N-N-W upto 19 / 20N.
On 11-Jun, after reaching 19N the system is expected to travel West towards Oman coast.
95A is expected to make landfall along Oman coast as Cyclone on 13/14-Jun.

During next 24hrs, Monsoon is expected to push into Karnataka coast and #Goa as well, but most of moisture will be encircling the LOW pressure system 95A.
From today/tomorrow #Monsoon will be weak along Karnataka, Kerala coast and will be till 95A exhausts itself over Oman coast on 14-Jun.

#Chennai - upper level wind profile suggests that S-W Monsoon current is over city from last evening. 
And from now on, evening T-showers will develop over N-E Tamilnadu and travel into Sea (Bay) crossing Chennai city.

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs 
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Today, till midnight, Showers expected to persist along Kerala, Karnataka coast.
Today, T showers expected along W,S-W,S,S-central Maharastra, S,central Karnataka, S,central Andhra.
Late evening or Midnight T showers again possible over N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai.
Late evening T shower possible over #Bangalore as well.

On 10-Jun, Due to 95A and Monsoon, HEAVY rain expected along Karnataka coast and #Goa.
Afternoon of 10-Jun can witness T showers over W Maharastra and an Odd one may pop into #Mumbai as well.
By evening, late evening - T showers expected over central,E Gujarat, central Maharastra, S,S-central Karnataka, S,central,N-E Andhra and into N,N-E Tamilnadu.

On the eastern front, scattered T showers to continue over N-E states of India, Sikkim, N Bengal and over N,N-E Bihar on today, 10-Jun.
On 10-Jun, T showers expected along S-W Bengal and E Jharkhand.

#Chennai - Early hour Thunder squall and heavy rainfall.
IWM weather station at Polichalur records 78.3mm upto 8:30am today.

#Chennai - 9:30am, Still some Thunder cells are alive over W,W-N-W zones near to city ... http://ow.ly/i/5Q3aF 
More on this coming up...

080614 95 A

 [1] The power source  is oscillating.

[2] The cross equatorial winds are NOT touching horn of Africa nor in strength and Arabian Sea branch is again going to be weak.  

[3] The 95A [a WML] will be drawing winds from Indian Ocean and Kerala Coast will be gradually free from monsoon rains.

[4] Similarly formation of UAC in the Bay may be evident due to the weakened strength of monsoonal flow in the Bay.

[5] 95 A may be of the same status with 1007 hPa and move in west and NWly direction.


[6] The surface level trough in EAST coast [may be called as monsoon trough] is not as feeble as compared to its counter part in Arabian Sea.


[7] Soon Depression may develop and it will move in west and nWly direction to cross EAST coast to give rainfall in coastal AP

Amazing Thunderstorm infornt of Cumulonimbus cloud 1 june 2014 Kabarwala...

11:30am, Monsoon showers seen along N,central Kerala coast.. overall a weak setting so far... http://ow.ly/i/5PlZ2 
11:30am, Showers seen along Karnataka coast as well ... http://ow.ly/i/5PlZ2

RT @sabusijo: Heavy rain in #Alappuzha #Kerala (12:09pm)

As of today morning, the monsoon current is seen upto N Kerala coast, and it may push into Karnataka coast in 24hrs http://ow.ly/i/5Pm1f 
Today, a circulation is seen over S-central Arabian sea along 10 and 15th parallel .... http://ow.ly/i/5Pm3u 

The Arabian sea LOW is expected to deepen and track North and cross 15N in next 24hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/5Pm55 
By 9/10-Jun, the Arabian sea circulation is expected to drift West after reaching 19N... http://ow.ly/i/5PmeU 

By 10-Jun, a weak Monsoon current may reach #Goa !
Due to Arabian sea circulation, Monsoon strength along Kerala coast is expected to weaken after 9/10-Jun !

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Today as well intermittent showers expected to persist for Kerala coast and S tip Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/5PmkF 
By evening, into midnight, T showers expected over W,S-W,central,S Karnataka, N-W,N,N-E Tamilnadu, S,W Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/5PmmG 
#Chennai - Today after 5pm, T showers possible for W,S-W,N-W suburbs.
#Bangalore - can expect a T shower towards late-evening today.

On 8-Jun, Rain strength along Kerala coast is expected to reduce.
Afternoon of 8-Jun can witness T.showers along W,N-W,S-W,S-central,S Karnataka and into S,S-W Andhra.
Tomorrow as well, late-evening T showers expected along N,N-E Tamilnadu upto Chennai and into S Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/5Pmzu 

RT @IamKanal: Its Showering for last 3 hours with little lightning at kochi..   http://t.co/iFqXiMaVYD (6-Jun, 11:08pm)

RT @Asalraam: @weatherofindia its been partly cloudy with occasional drizzling n strong wind gusts for a couple of days here at kanyakumari 

Weather Instagram at June 06, 2014 at 04:21PM

#chennai - 4:15pm, now T showers seen at 50 to 120km west from city. #weather

from Instagram

#Chennai - 4pm, T showers seen over West at around 50 to 120km from city ... http://ow.ly/i/5OEjV