Tuesday, November 20, 2012

"03B" - Still a LOW pressure system with good convective activity.

"03B" - Still a LOW pressure system with good convective activity.
It has crawled W-S-W slowly in past 12 hrs.
6pm, latest satellite IR shows good convective activity along South, E, S-E of the system.

Latest analysis show that a moderate Easterlies is pushing into E,S-E Bay.. and this may feed the LOW "03B". Good convective activity expected over "03B" during next 24hrs.

NOGAPS latest model continue to suggest a LOW system making landfall along Chennai, N.Tamilnadu coast & S.Andhra coast on Evening of 22-Nov.


RT @qinnairen: Its 19°C here. But, chill winds. Amazing. #DelhiNCR @weatherofindia. (6:30pm)
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S-E corner Bay is expected to pop another circulation on 26/27-Nov.

Today a weak easterlies is seen pushing into S-E Bay.. this may give rise to GOOD rain for N.Tamilnadu coast, #chennai along with "03B".
A moderate W.D will reach W.Kashmir by tonight .. Rain / Snow expected from early morning and expected to last another 3 / 4 days.

Due to this upcoming W.D.. rain expected over N.Punjab and into Himachal during next 3 days.
@sarakumar1 >> #chennai can expect showers from noon tomorrow.
4:30pm, Isolated shower seen over S.tip of Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/19dua

"03B" - at 3pm.. strong convective activity seen. Now the pressure is around 1003mb.. ow.ly/i/19dwU
Summer of 2013 to be hotter, with less rain.. http://ow.ly/fqBsd 
Today a weak Anti-cyclone is seen over Jharkand, Bihar.. this is expected to strengthen and drift South in next 24hrs. http://ow.ly/i/19bLV

If this anti-cyclone drifts South then it'll speed up the W-S-W movement for Bay "03B" during next 24hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/19bMl 
While "03B" moves close to land on 21-Nov .. most of showers are expected over S.Andhra coast and spillover for #chennai, some parts of N.TN