Wednesday, July 18, 2012

On 20-Jul, 2 circulations expected. One over E.Uttarpradesh and another over N-N-W corner of Bay along Bengal coast.. http://ow.ly/i/MjkI

Offshore trough along S-W coast persists and seen upto S.Karnataka coast .. will persist for another 3 days.. http://ow.ly/i/Mjr4

A LOW pressure is expected over E.Uttarpradesh on 20-Jul and will move West .. http://ow.ly/i/Mjs4 
#chennai - had a heavily cloudy day till 12pm, and now 1:14pm it's clearing up. Records a mild 31.0°C at 12:40pm

Today, Vertical.V is mild over S.Karnataka, S,central.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu & #chennai .. so less possibility of rain.

A slightly high Vertical.V along Coastal Andhra after 6pm .. this may lead to some T.showers over S,central,coastal Andhra.

For next 24hrs, Vertical.V is HIGH along N.Maharastra coast, Foot hills of Himalayas and entire N-E states.. Heavy rains ahead.!
RT @happynottykid: Back to Mumbai and the rain and the buses!!  http://t.co/dnRCcqzm 
RT @dsanjeevkumar: Awesome Weather in #Chennai #Guindy.. Cool and Slight Drizzle.. Excellent.. :) @weatherofindia (8:17am)

RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia No Rain in #Delhi, sunshine Records 34 (10.30 am)

Sikkim cut off from rest of the country after landslides ... http://ow.ly/cjCpx

More Heavy rains coming up in next 48hrs for Sikkim, N.Bengal and North N-E states.. http://ow.ly/i/MjdW

Floods in North Bengal affect 80,000 ... http://ow.ly/cjCAv 

Indian Monsoon: What's brewing in the Pacific is more likely a Modokai than a normal El Niño



Just when it looked as if a traditional El Niño was getting its sea legs, the event is now looking a bit less canonical.  This prompted the following analysis. This post is jointly written by Rajan Alexander who administers the blog Rajan’s Take: Climate Change and Rajesh Kapadia who administers the blog, Vagaries of the Weather.

If we take a look at last week’s US-CFS v2 forecasts for Niño regions 1+2 it could be observed that the warmest anomalies have been centred in the eastern portion of the ENSO monitoring area.

However, also seen in the forecast, there is now more of a potential for the temperatures to be much lower. One explanation is that the Niño maybe dying off!!  The only other explanation is that the heat is merely transferring westwards - a fact validated through the latest Sea Surface Temperatures (STT) departures.

Till recently, it was thought that the El Niño had only one mode - a periodic warming in the eastern tropical Pacific that occurs along the coast of South America. In 2004, it was discovered to have also a second mode that occurs around 12% of the time.

A Japanese team led by T. Yamagata (that included a prominent Indian climatologist, Dr Venkata Ratnam) noticed the 2004 El Niño was warming more strongly in the Central Pacific region and accordingly stumbled on the discovery of its second mode by sheer accident. They called such an El Nino as Modokai, which is a classical Japanese word which means similar but different”.  The phenomenon is also known as a Pseudo or Central Pacific (CP) El Niño.


Tuesday, July 17, 2012

RT @shanpati: @weatherofindia Thank God... Its finally raining in #Mumbai ... (7:48pm)
Today, the offshore trough along S-W coast has deepened and it'll continue to persist & deepen slightly till 21-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MaTg

Monsoon slowly picking speed again over N,central Arabian sea.. strong monsoon currents to reach S-W coast from 18-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/MaZx

Both N,central Arabian sea wing and Bay wing of Monsoon to get strong after 20-Jul ... http://ow.ly/i/Mb3v

Today, a weak UAC can be seen over N-E Andhra and another one over E.Arabian sea near Karnataka coast .. http://ow.ly/i/Mb5M

The E.Arabian sea UAC is expected to persist for next 2 days and drift along Maharastra coast .. http://ow.ly/i/Mb6T

On 20-Jul, an UAC expected over N-W corner Bay and a strong one over E.Uttarpradesh ... http://ow.ly/i/Mb8j 
RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia heavy rains bashing here in Hyderabad since last 30 minutes (6:15pm)

RT @iaravindh: @weatherofindia looks like its gonna rain cats and dogs in Bangalore tonight  (6:28pm)

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 7.00pm, Severe Thunderstorm crossing the city, Pouring heavily with strong wind, a pic http://t.co/DTqB9pdc (7:05pm)

RT @zenrainman: Just started to rain, the first drops. All rainwater tanks and the ground ready to receive . Bring it on Varuna   #Bangalore

RT @prajwalrao: Beautiful Beautiful #rain. #bangalore http://t.co/XLiqqMmt (7:01pm)

RT @anant_bhushan: http://t.co/ACxqmC14 - Awesome rain in #Bangalore :) time for pakoras and Chai... :-) (6:47pm)
RT @tweet_tac: Spectacular Rain in #Chennai #sholinganallur :) @weatherofindia http://t.co/ha3mi1HO (4:05pm)

#chennai - 4:20pm, another heavy T.shower is approaching Tambaram zone from S-W.. around 60km S-W from City
RT @meet_peru: @weatherofindia Heavy rain in Shollingnallur---OMR #chennai 4pm >> So showers are moving East towards Sea.