Tuesday, April 17, 2012

chennai - having a HOT day so far.. 2:40pm, temp is 35.0°C and feels like 41.9°C WoW. Sea breeze from E-S-E has set in just 15 min ago.
RT @scribblerer: Cool breeze, clouds,... It's gonna rain.... kochi kerala (12:58pm)
RT @rajugana: Baroda 9.45am, Clear skies, bright sunshine..Yestday temp 39.5C...heading for a hot & humid day...Clouds come this side !!!
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 11.35am, Now, some high cirrus clouds covering the sun..a pic thru window http://t.co/UHAGmOtR

Monday, April 16, 2012

July rains could fail India, says Japanese model




In our archive, Normal Monsoon Forecast: Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), we predicted July the month of extreme uncertainty for the monsoon because of a negative IOD. More so as it is the month that accounts for nearly 33% of the SW Monsoon.  Our model assumed a weak IOD maybe upto 4% deficiency for July.

But the Regional Institute for Global Change (RIGC) in Tokyo forecast now say that things could go much worse - almost total failure of the monsoon during July.  If so, this is really bad news as next year we can expect another lean monsoon due to the weak El NiƱo event expected. 


Rule on monsoon forecasts to be eased





This is proving embarrassing. There actually exists a law prohibiting private agencies from forecasting the monsoon. This means that people like Rajesh Kapadia and me are law breakers as we published our monsoon forecasts! But there is good news. A change in a decade-old rule will allow private organizations in the country— and not just the India Meteorological Department (IMD)— to issue monsoon forecasts. Phew!

chennai - 4:10pm, temp. 34.0°C ... Sea breeze has set in from S-E ... temp. will go down in another 30 min
RT @saifarash: Clear skies nw Kozhikode 2pm,increasing clouds,chance for T shower at evening LIVE pic from my house http://t.co/6l3QWJzD
Some one asked, HOW "feels like" temperature is calculated?? Here it is... http://ow.ly/aizRE >>> http://ow.ly/aizS6
Normal Monsoon Forecast: Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Wild Card ... http://ow.ly/aizNi