Thursday, December 29, 2011

HOT Maharastra !! On 28-Dec, 35.0°C has been recorded at Bhira ( Maharashtra)
chennai - Ground winds from W-N-W reaching upto 25 km/hr is already over City ... http://ow.ly/i/oAld
Presently the outer edge of Cloud mass of Cyclone Thane has touched N. coastal Tamilnadu , chennai ... http://ow.ly/i/oAkQ
Chennai - will miss the FULL grunt of the cyclone Thane ... http://ow.ly/8cH31
Cyclone Thane - Still a category 1 cyclone ... 300 km away from Pondicherry coast .. http://ow.ly/8cH1S

Cyclone "Thane" - Slowly crawling W-S-W ! Now Pondicherry and Cuddalore coast is the target!

Position, 8:30am :: 11:53:59 N and 82:18:00 E
Winds :: reaching upto 120 Km/Hr
Pressure :: 982mb
* Still a category 1 cyclone.
* 300 km away from Pondicherry coast.
* Chennai - will miss the FULL grunt of the system.
* Showers and winds to increase after 1pm ALL along N, central Tamilnadu coast.

Latest Satellite IR shot, 8am
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JTWC warning and projected path, 8:30am
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290300Z POSITION NEAR 11.9N 82.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (THANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER 
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY 
FROM CHENNAI, INDIA, A RECENT SATELLITE FIX FROM PGTW, AND A 282221Z 
SSMI IMAGE. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH 
DVORAK T-NUMBER VALUES FROM THREE REPORTING AGENCIES RANGING FROM 65 
TO 77 KNOTS. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION REMAINS ALONG THE WESTERN AND 
SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES OF WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) EVIDENT IN THE 282212Z SSMI IMAGE. RADAR REFLECTIVITY DATA 
SHOWS A SYMMETRIC LOW TO MID-LEVEL EYE FEATURE APPROXIMATELY 40 NM 
IN DIAMETER. TC 06B CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING 
INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED TO THE NORTH OF 
THE CYCLONE AND SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD UNTIL MAKING 
LANDFALL JUST PRIOR TO TAU 24. THE CYCLONE LIES TO THE WEST OF AN 
UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL, 
WITH FAVORABLE BUT DECREASING RADIAL OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR. THE CYCLONE IS ALSO MOVING OVER WATERS WITH LOWER HEAT 
CONTENT THAT SHOULD, ALONG WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND 
DECREASING OUTFLOW, INDUCE SOME WEAKENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AFTER 
LANDFALL, INTERACTION WITH ROUGH TERRAIN WELL INLAND FROM THE 
RELATIVELY FLAT COASTAL AREA WILL LEAD TO STEADY DISSIPATION. ASIDE 
FROM THE WEBER BAROTROPIC MODEL, WHICH TRACKS THE CYCLONE POLEWARD 
INTO THE STEERING RIDGE, AND THE UK MET OFFICE MODEL, WHICH HOLDS 
THE SYSTEM TOO WEAK IN BOTH THE ANALYSIS AND FORECAST AND DEPICTS AN 
ERRONEOUS SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW, THE NUMERICAL 
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 22 FEET.


IMD warning, 7:30am
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE over southwest Bay of Bengal:-Cyclone Warning for north Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coast : Orange Message
The very severe cyclonic storm THANE over southwest Bay of Bengal moved west-southwestward and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 29th December 2011 near latitude 12.30N and longitude 83.00E, about 300 km east-southeast of Chennai (Tamilnadu) and 480 km north-northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka). The system is likely to move westwards and cross north Tamil Nadu coast between Nagapattinam and Chennai, close to Puducherry around morning of 30th December 2011. However, as the cyclonic storm will come further close to coast, there is probability of slight weakening before landfall.
RT @gravikumar: we've been seeing nice drizzles around Adyar, Chennai area since early this morning. Its also windy and totally a chill.

Recent Wind Speed of various Cyclones in CHENNAI

Will Very Severe Cyclone Thane beat all the above records so far it has registered 37 km/hr winds without even coming close to the coast.
  1. Cyclone Jal 47 km/hr (7/11/2010)
  2. Cyclone Laila 42 km/hr (19/5/2010)
  3. Cyclone Nisha 42 km/hr (26/11/2008)
  4. Depression BOB 08 40 km/hr (28/10/2007)
  5. Depression BOB 07 45 km/hr (27/09/2007)
  6. Cyclone Ogni 50 km/hr (28/10/2006)
Other cyclones in last 20 years when chennai witnessed 100 km/hr winds
  1. On 6th, December 1996 (Tropical Cyclone 08B) - a Cyclone which crossed Chennai produced 100 km/hr winds
  2. On 31st, October 1994 (Severe Cyclonic Storm BOB 03) - a cyclone which crossed Chennai brought 120-140 km/hr winds

Cyclone Thane Update - Cyclone Thane now Very Severe Cyclone with Winds speed over 150 km/hr

The status of Cyclone Thane
-----------------------------------
Date and Time of issue - 011.30 PM (28.12.2011)
IMD Scale - Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
Intensity – 4.4
Pressure – 980 mmb
Wind Speed – 75 kts (140 kmph)
Location – 12.23 N 83.84 E
Weakening - OFF
Rapid Weakening - OFF
Landfall - Around Pondicherry
Crossing Date - 30th December Morning


For more on the tracks and Imagery visit www.tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com

Recent Tamil Nadu Cyclones and its awesome radar images

Deep Depression (October 26-29, 2005)








































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

27-10-2005
Chennai 27, Chennai AP 21, and Red Hills 13 cm

28-10-2005
Tiruvallur and Poondi 27 cm, Red Hills 24 cm, Chembarambakkam 23 cm, Tamaraipakkam 22 cm, Chennai, Cholavaram, Korattur 16 cm, Chennai AP 15 cm and Tambaram 13 cm
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Cyclone Baaz (November 28- December 02, 2005)








































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

03-12-2005

Tambaram 31 cm, Chennai AP 28 cm, Thiruvallur and Chennai 23 cm, Arakonam 21 cm, Sriperumbudur 18 cm, Chengalpattu and Red hills 15 cm, Tiruttani 14 cm, Poondi 13 cm, Ponneri 11 cm
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Cyclone Fanoos (06-10 December , 2005)













































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

11-12-2005
Ramanathapuram 35 cm, Panruti 14 cm, Senkottai 13 cm, Pamban, Kamudhi and Madhukar 12 cm, Kadaladi 11 cm and Ambasamudram 10 cm

12-12-2005
Ambasamudram 17 cm, Senkottai 13 cm and Paramakudi 12 cm
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Depression (27-29 October, 2007)










































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

29.10.2007
Chembarambakkam 18 cm, Red Hills 16 cm, Chennai and Chennai AP 14 cm, Cholavaram and Poondi 10 cm
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Cyclone Nisha (25-27 November, 2008)









































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

25.11.2008
Thiruvidalmarthu 30 cm, Rameswaram 23 cm, Orathanadu 19 cm, Mayiladuthurai 17 cm, Tirukkattupalli and Pamban 15 cm, Tiruvaiyar and Thanjavur 14 cm, Sirkali and Kollidam 13 cm, Papanasam and Ramanathapuram 12 cm, Kumbakonam and Kattumannarkoil 11 cm, Sethiyathope Anicut and Chidambaram 10 cm.

26.11.2008
Orathanadu and Vedaranniyam 33 cm, Parangipettai and Chidambaram 28 cm Thiruvidalmarthu and Mayiladuthurai 26 cm, Sirkali 25 cm, Kattumannarkoil 24 cm, Cuddalore 22 cm, Sethiyathope Anicut and Kollidam 21 cm, Tiruthuraipndi and Nagapattinam-20 each, -18 each, Karaikal 19 cm, Puduchhery, Adirampattinam Tiruvarur and Kodavasal 18 cm, Nannilam 17 cm, Valangiman, Kumbhakonam, and Tarangambadi 15 cm, Needamangalam and Chembarabakkam 14 cm, Rameswaram, Papansam, Pattukkottai, Mannargudi, Muthupet and Jayamkondam 13 cm, Korattur, Adiramapatnam and Srimushnam 12 cm, Chryyur, Red Hills and Chennai AP 11 cm, Thanjavur, Anna University, Poondi, Cholvaram, Marina and Chennai 10 cm

27.11.2008
Orathanadu 66 cm, Thanjavur 53 cm, Vedaranyam 42 cm, Adiramapattinam 33 cm, Muthupet 30 cm, Kurungulam 28, Kumbakonam 26 cm, Pattukottai 23 cm, Madukkur 21 cm, Tiruvidaimarudur 20 cm, Thiruvaiyaru 19 cm, Papanasam, Tirukkattupalli 18 cm, Chennai AP, Chennai and Chembarabakkam 14 cm, Korattur 12 cm, Nagapattinam, Red Hills, Pondicherry 11 cm, Poondi, Cholavaram, Cuddalore, Tiruchy and Tiruttani 10 cm

28.11.2008
Chennai AP 28 cm, Chembarabakkam 24 cm, Anna University 23 cm, Cuddalore 22 cm, Puduchhery 21 cm, Tiruvallur 20 cm, Tamaraipakkam 19 cm, Chengelpet, Ayiyalur, Tanjavur, Vellore-17 each, Pallipattu, Villupuram, Poonamallee, Muthupet, Poondi, Korattur 16 cm, Lalgudi, Chettykulam, Padallur, Red Hills, Tiruchchirapalli 15 cm, Tozhudur, Nungambakkam, perumbalur, Parangipettai, Srimushnam, Tiruvaiyaru, Cholavaram, Ponneri, Vanur, Chennai 14 cm, Tambaram, Tirukkattupalli, Utheriramerur, Kodavasal, Gingee, Kancheepuram-13 each, kollidam, Grand Anicut, Arni, Polur, Tirutani, Vandavasi, Tindivanam, Sriperumbudur-12 each, Thiruvidalmarthu, Chryyar, Samayapuram, Ulundurpet, Marina (DGP Office)-11 each, Tiruchi, Tiruvarur, Valangiman, Vembavur, Kumbhakonam, Orathanadu 10 cm
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Cyclone Laila (17-22 May, 2010)





















































Significant amounts of rainfall recorded in Tamil Nadu are

20-05-2010
Ponneri 17 cm, Cholavaram 13 cm, Chennai, Anna University and Tamaraipakkam 11 each, Marina DGP Office 10 cm

For more visit - www.tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com