Monday, December 19, 2011

COLA model predicts that the central India Anti-cyclone will persist till 25-Dec and beyond .. http://ow.ly/i/nQHI
A moderate W.D has started affecting N, N-W kashmir and it'll drift S-E slightly before vanishing on 23-Dec .. http://ow.ly/i/nQEz
Easterlies is affecting Central, S. Tamilnadu coast .. and reports of Showers over Kanyakumari district as well.. http://ow.ly/i/nQDL

Late December and early January Cyclones: Will it happen during 2011 or 2012

Many models predict cyclone to come close to Tamil Nadu coast during last week of December 2011. Off late GFS is not so accurate in its forecast.

I have compiled some of the cyclones which have formed in December and have crossed Tamil Nadu coast since 1950.



Almost all the cyclones have formed in the first week of December. Only one cyclone ie 1964 Rameshwaram Cyclone which crossed the Tamil Nadu coast and the 2000 Sri Lanka cyclone have formed around the Christmas period. And the 1964 cyclone was the only super cyclone to hit Tamil Nadu in recent memory. The Sri Lanka cyclone was the first cyclone over Sri Lanka with winds of at least hurricane strength since 1978.



GFS Boxing day Future Cyclone - 26th December



GFS New Year Future Cyclone - 02nd Janauary




Saturday, December 17, 2011

On 16-Dec, lowest minimum temperature of 1.0 C has been recorded at Churu (Rajasthan) in plains of the country.
Strong easterlies is very close to Central Tamilnadu coast, N-E Srilanka coast .. http://ow.ly/i/nJmD
Fog conditions for N, N-N-E zones of India will reduce or clear-off on 20,21,22-Dec.
200m fog warning for U.P, Bihar, Himalayan Bengal and Sikkim for next 2 days.
Ground frost would occur at one or two places over Punjab, Haryana, north Rajasthan and
west Uttar Pradesh during next 48 hours
Today dense to very dense fog has been observed in the early hours over parts of E. UP and pockets of Sub­ Himalayan Bengal, W. UP, Bihar