Thursday, September 29, 2011

chennai - N, N-E chennai is going to get a T.shower... and we can hear the first thunder
RT @snyper6: http://ping.fm/hVGLy
chennai - T.showers possible from today along Central, N.coastal Tamilnadu and S.Andhra coast... Already chennai is having signs of it !!
South West Monsoon is retreating Southwards ... http://ow.ly/6HYcZ
chennai - upcoming season (or) coming month is famous for Early morning and morning showers.
chennai - now 6:46am having a high cloud cover from a dead T.cell which has formed over Sea S-E of Chennai
Chennai - a lone t.cell can be seen over west of city 6:20am

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

8pm, Strong T.showers over S.central Tamilnadu, Central Coast Andhra.. http://ow.ly/i/i9jW
South West Monsoon is retreating Southwards. Parameters like OLR and UTH observed from IMD images indicate the SWM to have vacated regions above 25N. And approaching fast towards Maharashtra.
For Maharashtra and Mumbai, the only positve factor favouring "last farewell" rains is the Maximum Lifted Condensation Level. Still favourable at 1000-1500.

SWM should be withdrawing from below the 20N line by October 1st week.

Would expect NEM to set in around 15th October. One thing is for sure, next system coming from South Bay will be from the NEM "family".
COLA model predicts heavy T.showers along entire Coastal Tamilnadu from 1-Oct .. http://ow.ly/i/i8r2