RT @arun8gb: Rain. Hei. I have missed you. Welcome back. Bangalore (5:12pm)

Rain map of India till 8:30am, 24-Feb-2011 ... http://ow.ly/i/8van

Min. temp over E.central India has gone down again by 2-4 deg C... meanwhile lowest   minimum temperature of 4.6 C was at Amritsar(Punjab)

Chennai - Min. temp will have a 1 or 2 deg C dip from tomorrow morning... as DRY conditions set in again,

South India Rainfall on 23-Feb-2011

Aruppukottai (Virudunagar dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres:
    

          Chengannur (Alapuzha dt) 6, Venkatagiri Town (Nellore dt), T.Narsipur (Mysore dt), Kancheepuram, Thamaraipakkam (Tiruvallur dt) and Valparai 5 each, Kuppady (Waynad dt), Thrithala (Palakkad dt), Mavelikara and Mancompu (both Alapuzha dt), Chickodi (Belgaum dt), Manthala (Bidar dt), Sravanabelagola (Hassan dt), Bhagamandala (Kodagu dt), Srirangapattinam (Mandya dt), Uthiramerur (Kancheepuram dt), Tiruvallur, R.S.Mangalam (Ramanathapuram dt), Shenkottah (Tirunelveli dt), Mettupalayam (Coimbatore dt) and Coonoor 3 each, Tada (Nellore dt), Chalakudy (Thrissur dt), Kozha (Kottayam dt), Kollam, Dharwad, Harangai (Kodagu dt), Krishnarajpet (Mandya dt), Nanjangud (Mysore dt), Vadipatti (Madurai dt), Mahabalipuram (Kanceepuram dt), Cheyyar (Tiruvannamalai dt), Pappireddipatti (Dharmapurai dt), Periyanaickanpalayam (Coimbatore dt), Gopichettipalayam (Erode dt), Madurai Airport, Watrap and Srivillipudur (both Virudunagar dt) 2 each and Kavali, Rapur (Nellore dt), Sankeshwar (Belguam dt), Afzalpur (Gulbarga dt), Gulbarga, M,M,Hills (Chamrajnagar dt), Halli Mysore (Hassan dt), Napoklu and Somwarpet (both Kodagu dt), Krishnarajasagara (Mandya dt), Sholavandan (Madurai dt), Maduranthagam and Sriprumpudur (both Kancheepuram dt),  Tindivanam (Villupuram dt), Rameshwaram (Ramanathapuram dt), Needamangalam (Tiruvarur dt), Tenkasi (Tirunelveli dt), Pechiparai (Kanyakumari dt), Walajapet (Vellore dt), Kundhabridge (Nilgiris dt), Uthagamandalam and Sivakasi (Virudunagar dt) 1 each. 

4pm, More heavy rain / snow over Kashmir and Himachal, Rain over S, S-W Karnataka and S.central Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/8v9N

The north westerlies will be strong along West and N-W India on 25, 26-Feb

Record snowfall in Himachal this year has revived more than 2,000 glaciers ... http://ow.ly/42s8l

Early forecasts favour normal pre-monsoon, monsoon seasons

India might just be looking at enhanced probabilities for normal to slightly above normal rainfall during both the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons as per earliest available assessment by leading global long-range weather forecasters.

These are early indicators subject to updates on a month-to-month basis and should be viewed with caution, independent analysts warn.

The La Nina conditions in the equatorial and east Pacific, which are normally identified with a successful Indian monsoon without direct cause-effect relationship, has peaked over.

The hyper-active equatorial Pacific is now expected to relapse into what is said to be ‘neutral’ conditions (neither La Nina nor contra-indicative El Nino) to coincide with the Indian monsoon.

But the very fact that the probabilities of much-feared El Nino, whose tenure in the warmer east and equatorial Pacific has in the past suppressed rainfall over this part of the world, may not rear its head is reassuring enough, according to one expert.

The last word has not been said yet, he cautioned.

But global models – including the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University; the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts; the UK Met Office; and the Tokyo Climate Centre as well as the Regional Institute for Global Change under the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology - projected a normal to slightly above-normal Indian monsoon, 2011.

There are bound to be individual pockets of below-normal rainfall, though, a list of which would be closely watched. Global models differed in their interpretation of the spatial distribution of rainfall.

Some of them indicate southern peninsula may witness some deficiency because of anticipated above-normal pre-monsoon (March-April-May) showers and incidental cooling of the landmass.

Some others see the regional deficit panning out in a pattern reminiscent of the season before (2010 monsoon) that saw east, east-central and northeast India bearing the brunt of the deficit.

A third opinion looked to the usual suspect, northwest India, to throw up a deficit but without attributing any specific reason. 

Chennai - After 2 days of rain ... today having a partly cloudy day... with wind from E-N-E... Humidity is on higher side.