Friday, June 11, 2010

RT @GokzTweets: Heavy rains since yesterday night and the drizzling continues. Pondy 07.00am @weatherofindia
GFS predicts a "twin engine" monsoon push.. a powerful Depression over Arabian sea and a LOW over central Bay on 15-Jun. http://ow.ly/i/20FY
GFS predicts a LOW forming over Arabian sea just west of Goa and then moving N-N-W as D.depression towards Gujarat (15-Jun) pulling monsoon.
Very heavy and widespread monsoon showers has started along Kerala coast and will peak in 24 to 48 hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/20FO
Chennai - Mild drizzle continues .. and temp. now 10:28am is at a super cool ... 25.6°C
2010 [JUNE] SWM rainfall pattern ... http://ow.ly/1X2Xc
RT @Monsoonexpress: monsoon is advancing fast now and so are we...its time to move from krntka..next stop goa,do write in ...
RT @rajugana: Baroda: 9.30 AM, Sunny, Clear Skies, no trace of clouds. where all the clouds gone? No pre-monsoon showers either !?!
Nagercoil - Got heavy showers from 11pm, 10-Jun till morning ... nearby... heavy rains in Kuzhithurai from yesterday(10-Jun) night !!

2010 [JUNE] SWM rainfall










2009 06 11 / 0000 Z 2008 06 11 /000 Z





2010 06 11/ 0000 Z

(1)Courtesy: Dundee Sat.ac.uk.com

It has been a talk among amateur meteorologist that 2010 June[current] pattern is identical to usual SEM withdrawal phase during fag end of AUG or SEP. To substantiate it TN experienced rain with TS along coastal as well as some interior NW regions. However during withdrawal phase RAINFALL will spread from NORTH TO SOUTH to enable to form NEM. Instead now it is going up NORTH. Further the traditional off shore trough in Arabian sea far off the coast and cross equatorial SW monsoonal winds are NOT deflected towards WEST near North Kerala, south Karnataka coast, instead it penetrates deep into NE towards North Karnataka,Goa coast and get deflected towards right. This gives NW winds along the coast and even in TN too. As the inland is comparatively hot winds surge towards it from NW and thus NW interior, Norh coastal TN & South Coastal AP are getting rainfall.

As pointed out by my collegue working in TN FOREST, eastern side of the western ghats will be getting relatively more rainfall during this 2010 SWMperiod.

He adjudged this from to the migration of wild animals (including elephants)from Kerala to Tamilnadu.