Rains bring respite to sweltering Hyderabad ... http://ow.ly/1Su7O

6pm, thunder cells over S. Karnataka, N.central Tamilnadu, S. Andhra, N.central Bengal and Maharastra .. http://ow.ly/i/1R6L

6pm, thunder cells pepperd all along west coast over Maharastra and Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/1R6L

@vaamarnath >> Monsoon Rains over kerala has dried up due to Cyclone over Arabian sea. Rain will pick up after 5-Jun.

RT @jabhijeet: RT @Tweetsweet28: @jhunjhunwala A spell of sharp rain hz cooled dwn the temp in Bangalore. Life beautiful aftr rain (6:41pm)

RT @080Traffic: RT @advocatepradeep: heavy rain in bangalore many trees fallen traffic jam everywhere.. (6;35pm)

RT @vaamarnath: ndtv reports monsoon has hit kerala. but, i cant feel it here in Ekm. Is it raining in Tvm ? (6:33pm)

Cyclone "03 A - (Phet - not yet named)" update # 4 ... All models suggest a Gujarat landfall on 5-Jun-2010 ... http://ow.ly/1SpRL

@ArJuN_PM >> There's no monsoon showers in Kerala today.. due to the Arabian sea Cyclone.

RT @ArJuN_PM: rained here in Hyderabad,..gud 2c rain on 1-Jun..was always der at Kerala to welcome Monsoon but not dis year... I miss it

@nuhus >> For Monsoon showers, You have to wait till 5-Jun until the Arabian sea Cyclone makes landfall over Gujarat.

RT @nuhus: Read monsoon came to Kerala.but i couldn't see.where is the rain?

@sa_lil >> Thanks. Keep following us and if possible report abt weather from ur location.

@max4974 >> Pune is getting showers. So around this weekend when the Cyclone nears Guj. coast Pre-monsoon showers will be over Mumbai.

4:0pm, Showers over Pune & Hyderabad, scattered thunder cells seen all over Karnataka .. http://ow.ly/i/1R2x

RT @tharun1434: it's raining ohhooooooooo coooooooooool hyderabad had a bath today (5:25pm)

RT @pmenon_a: @maanayata_dutt Monsoon arrives in Pune, heavy rains with ice!!! Reported (5:25pm)

RT @c_aashish: Pune screwed big time by another burst of heavy rains. Big traffic jams esp out of#Hinjewadi and in Aundh. (5:30pm)

RT @chevid: @weatherofindia heavy rains in Hyderabad and v ar lovin it !!!

Indepth on "Vortex over Arabian sea during onset of South-west Monsoon" ... must read PDF download... http://ow.ly/d/3Np

Rain map of 31-May,.. http://ow.ly/i/1R08

Rain on 31-May,.. North-Lakhimpur-11, Passighat-7, Itanagar and Dhubri-6 each, Goalpara-5, Pune, Coochbehar and Guwahati-3 CM

Maximum temperature would fall by 4-5°C over Gujarat and Rajasthan and by 2-3°C over Maharashtra and west M.P during next 2-3 days.

A fresh western disturbance would affect northwest India from tomorrow onwards

On 31-May, highest maximum temperature of 46.4°C was recorded at Sri Ganganagar(Rajasthan).

Heat wave conditions are prevailing over isolated pockets of interior Maharashtra, Telengana, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan

Further advance of monsoon will depend upon the intensity and direction of movement of D.depression currently lying over central Arabian Sea

Cyclone "03 A - (Phet - not yet named)" update # 4 ... All models suggest a Gujarat landfall on 5-Jun-2010

JTWC warning
------------------------------

010900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 62.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 03A HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP WITH
IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC) AND A 010235Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A MICROWAVE 
EYE. WITH IMPROVED CERTAINTY IN POSITION, TC 03A HAS BEEN RELOCATED 
WESTWARD OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS 
SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN A PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND 
INDICATES TC 03A HAS INTENSIFIED FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. 
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT AND 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) HAS DECREASED TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. TC 03A 
CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY 
OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AND WILL BEGIN TO TURN NORTHWARD AS IT 
ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. BY TAU 72, TC 03A SHOULD TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND 
ACCELERATE AS THE SYSTEM CRESTS THE STR AXIS AND MOVES UNDER THE 
INFLUENCE OF A DEEPENING MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE MAJORITY 
OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS TRACK WITH THE EXCEPTION OF 
WBAR, WHICH SHOWS A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK. TC 03A WILL CONTINUE TO 
INTENSIFY, UNTIL BY TAU 96, WHEN TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE 
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 
TAU 120. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 19 FEET.

JTWC path
-------------------------------
This path projection shows a Gujarat & Pakistan border landfall.
Bad news for MONSOON in Kerala.
Kerala is HOT and sunny today, had some sporadic showers along coast.

IMD warning
-----------------------------

ARB 02/2010/05                                                                                 Dated:01.06 .2010

Time of issue: 1130 hours IST

Sub:  Deep depression over eastcentral & adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea -(Precyclone watch for Gujarat coast.

            The deep depression over eastcentral & adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea remained practically stationary and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 01^st June 2010 near latitude 15.5 ⁰N and 63.5⁰E, about 1050 km southwest of Mumbai, 1050 km south-southwest of Naliya (Gujarat) and 1120 km south-southwest of Karachi.

           

            The current environmental condition and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models suggest that the system would intensify into a cyclonic storm and move initially in a north-northwesterly/northerly direction for next 24 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards Gujarat & adjoining Pakistan coast.

           

            Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:

Date/Time(IST)	Position (lat. 0N/ long. 0E)	Sustained maximum surface wind speed (kmph)
01-06-2010/0830	15.5/63.5	50-60 gusting to 70
01-06-2010/1130	16.0/63.0	55-65 gusting to 75
01-06-2010/1730	16.5/63.0	65-75 gusting to 85
01-06-2010/2330	17.0/63.0	65-75 gusting to 85
02-06-2010/0530	17.5/63.0	75-85 gusting to 95
02-06-2010/1730	18.5/63.5	85-95 gusting to 105
03-06-2010/0530	20.0/64.0	95-105 gusting to 115
03-06-2010/1730	21.5/65.5	105-115 gusting to 125
04-06-.2010/0530	22.5/67.0	115-125 gusting to 135

            Under the influence of this system, fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would commence over coastal areas of Gujarat from 3^rd June 2010 and increase thereafter. Squally winds with speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting 75 kmph would commence along and off Gujarat coast from 2^nd June 2010 and increase gradually.

            Sea condition will be very rough along and off Gujarat coast from 2^nd June 2010. Fishermen are advised not venture into the sea.

            Next bulletin will be issued at 1430 hrs IST of 01^ST June 2010

Satellite at 3pm IST
------------------------------

RT @piyush_veere: @WeatherOfIndia -- Its hot PATNA. See my room temperature n pressure...thru my casio protrek. - http://ping.fm/4klIo

Monsoon may hit Goa in next 48 hours: Met ... http://ow.ly/1Smzn ... our comments:: No monsoon for Goa till 6-Jun-10

Pune :: Pre-monsoon showers throw life out of gear ... http://ow.ly/1SmyZ

BBC model also predicts a Gujarat landfall for Cyclone "Phet" on 5-Jun.. http://ow.ly/i/1QWF

Chennai - Evening thunder Showers are expected after Friday.. for this to happen the S-W monsoon current over West coast should get stronger

Pendulum like UFO Light in Chennai Sky ... http://ow.ly/1SmtO

Pendulum like UFO Light in Chennai Sky

Did any one see a strange light over Chennai’s skies yesterday?

There were reports of strange lights over the skies of Chennai yesterday night. NDTV Hindu had a live call in show yesterday night from around 10pm – 11pm and a lot of callers reported the sightings from many parts of the city. Most people described it as a bright white light which moved like a pendulum and this is the second such sighting in recent time.

NDTV Hindu tried getting our weatherman Mr Ramanan on the show to comment but he said that he cannot commet on the reports as he is on leave, looks like he is on a long leave

Strange lights sighted again over Chennai !!! This time, photos are available!

http://kannanking.blogspot.com/2010/05/pendulum-lights-on-chennai-sky.html


Posted by Anonymous

RT @Fasalmachery: Says monsoon hits kerala but in kannur there s no rain at all , (11:51am)

RT @geneklein2: Rain Damages Cashew Crop In Kerala http://bit.ly/aZQtA2

RT @jothishnair1010: @Rahul_here summer rains stopped y'day. Its sunny & pleasant hre in Trivandrum. but no signs of rain yet (1:32pm)

RT @Gobeldygookz: trying to get back to work.. so sweaty hot here in kerala today. whatta break from 5 days continuous rain!!! I hate it!!!

Chennai - Recorded a max of 38.7°C (11:33am) and now 2:59pm the Sea breeze has set-in the temp. is 34.2°C .

@bijumly >> NO, monsoon for Bangalore can be expected after the present Cyclone over Arabian Sea.

Somali pirates and South-West Monsoon onset... posted on 30-May-10.. http://ow.ly/1SmcI

Update on TS 03A:
The depression over Arabian Sea remained practically stationary, but has intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 01st June, 2010, at 15.5°N and 63.5°E about 1050 km southwest of Mumbai. The winds are at 35 Knots and core pressure at 998 Hpa.
This system  would intensify rapidly due to the low "aloft" at the rate of 15 Knots /day, into a cyclonic storm and move initially in a northwesterly/ north-northwesterly direction for next 24 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards India/Pakistan border. Re-curving will take effect as fresh western disturbance would affect Northwest India from tomorrow, 2nd. June onwards.
 
Rainfall effect at present on land is negligible, and will be between 10-20 mms over the Goa and Maharashtra coast from Wednesday, and Gujarat coast and Gujarat interior from Thursday.
 
Due to the W.D,  dust raising winds would intensify over Rajasthan, Delhi and Gujarat during next 2 days.

RT @shuvankr: @weatherofindia The satellite pic 5.30 IST, there are no more Monsoon clouds. Just this cyclone Phet http://ping.fm/1VmrS

Cyclone "03 A - Phet" .. Building up fast and Kerala drying up .. http://ow.ly/1ShTB

From morning of 31-May, the rains over Kerala has reduced , today morning its almost dried up... http://ow.ly/1ShSl

The upper air current supports the projected path for cyclone "phet". Its aiming Gujarat & Pakistan... http://ow.ly/1ShRN

Cyclone "03 A - Phet" ... Building up fast and Kerala coast drying up

JTWC warning
-----------------------------

010300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 63.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 03A HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE WITH
IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING AND CENTRAL CONVECTION DESPITE
LIGHT TO MODERATE, EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). A 312115Z 
NOAA-18 89 GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER THE 
WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITH THE CENTER POSITIONED ON THE NORTHEASTERN 
EDGE OF A DEEP CONVECTIVE BURST. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE 
CURRENT POSITION BASED ON THIS IMAGE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS 
ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS AND IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS 
FROM KNES AND PGTW. RECENT BUOY OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CENTER ALSO 
SUPPORT A STRENGTHENING SYSTEM. A BUOY (23707) 110 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
INDICATED SLP NEAR 1002.2 MB AND SST OF 30C AND A BUOY (23708) 110 
NM NORTH INDICATED SLP NEAR 1000.0 MB AND SST NEAR 31C. THE LLCC IS 
LOCATED WITHIN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER AN UPPER-
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. AS INDICATED ON THE TOTAL 
PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT, THE SYSTEM HAS A DEEP MOISTURE ENVELOPE. 
VWS HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO 
DECREASE FURTHER WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. TC 03A IS TRACKING 
SLOWLY ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN, CENTRAL 
INDIA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD BUT SHOULD 
ACCELERATE BY TAU 48 AS THE STR BUILDS. BY TAU 72, TC 03A SHOULD 
TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS THE SYSTEM CRESTS THE STR AXIS 
AND MOVES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEPENING MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE 
TROUGH. THE MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS TRACK WITH 
THE EXCEPTION OF WBAR, WHICH SHOWS A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK. BOTH THE 
GFS AND GFDN DISPLAY ERRONEOUS TRACKS THROUGH TAU 48 BUT COME INTO 
BETTER AGREEMENT IN THE EXTENDED TAUS. THE GFS 500 MB HEIGHTS AND 
VORTICITY INDICATE TWO VORTICITY MAXIMA ROTATING CYCLONICALLY WITHIN 
AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THIS ERROR ACCOUNTS FOR THE ERRONEOUS 
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU 48. THE GFDN INDICATES AN 
UNREALISTIC EASTWARD TRACK INTO THE STEERING RIDGE THROUGH TAU 24. 
SINCE THESE ERRORS APPEAR TO OFFSET EACH OTHER, THIS FORECAST IS 
CLOSE TO BUT FASTER THAN THE CONSENSUS. THE ECMWF SOLUTION SUPPORTS 
THE CURRENT FORECAST AND IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS. TC 03A IS 
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A 10-15 KNOT PER DAY RATE BUT WILL WEAKEN 
RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NEAR TAU 96 AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 
120. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT 
WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z

JTWC projected path
----------------------------------

The upper air current supports the projected path for cyclone "phet". Its aiming Gujarat & Pakistan.

Meanwhile from morning of 31-May, the rains over Kerala has reduced , today morning its almost dried up.

IMD warning
-----------------------------

ARB 02/2010/03                                                                                                    Dated: 01.06.2010

Time of issue: 0100 hours IST 

Sub:  Depression over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea  

            The depression over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea remained practically stationary and lay centred at 2330 hrs IST of yesterday, the 31^st May 2010 near latitude 15.5 ⁰N and 63.5⁰E, about 1050 km southwest of Mumbai, 1050 km south-southwest of Naliya (Gujarat) and 1120 km south-southwest of Karachi.

            The current environmental condition and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models suggest that the system would intensify gradually into a cyclonic storm and continue to move initially in a northwesterly direction for next 48 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan coast.

            Under the influence of this system, fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would commence over coastal areas of Gujarat from 3^rd June 2010. Squally winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph would commence along and off Gujaratcoast from 2^nd June 2010.

            Next bulletin will be issued at 0830 hrs IST of 01^ST June 2010.

Satellite shot at 8 am IST
----------------------------------------