Thursday, October 31, 2013

Kashmir, Punjab gets scattered rain due to W.D

Present upper level W.D trough is expected to persist and drift East till evening of 1-Nov ...

8pm, Cloudy skies with moderate rain continue over Kashmir, Himachal, Uttarakhand and even over #Delhi, S Haryana..
8pm, HEAVY T showers seen over central,N-central Kerala and moderate rain also seen over S Tamilnadu ...

Due to W.D, rainfall stats till 8:30am today, Ludhiana, Tissa (Himachal), Pahalgam (Kashmir) 3cm
Already night temperature is going down over N India... today morning, Nazibabad (Uttar Pradesh) recorded 11.5ÂșC

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Evening, the circulation over W-central Bay persisted and same as the case with S-E Arabian sea circulation as well.
Meanwhile, Kashmir is cloudy with moderate rain due to W.D ... 

Present W-central Bay circulation may delay the Easterlies rush towards the Tamilnadu coast and S Andhra coast.
The easterlies will reach N,central Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai and S Andhra coast by evening of 31-Oct.
Upcoming easterlies is expected to give rain for more parts of Tamilnadu and especially along Tamilnadu coast till 3-Nov.

@NTSHAMZ2010 >> #Chennai can expect 1 or 2 moderate rain on 31-Oct, 1-Nov and on Diwali day.
#Bangalore - can expect showers on Diwali day, 3-Nov.

Except S Andhra, Tamilnadu, W-ghats Kerals,.. Rest of #India can expect DRY and mild days till Diwali.
Cloudy conditions and rain due to W.D is expected to last till evening of 1-Nov for Kashmir, N Punjab and for N Himachal.
#Chennai - 2pm, Heavy rain now over Pallavaram zone.

Heavy rain ahead for N,central coast and S,W Tamilnadu from today !

1pm, W.D is affecting Kashmir and N Himachal, cloudy with moderate showers seen over Kashmir ... 

Today, an elongated low level circulation seen over W-central Bay and Easterlies is seen rushing into S-E Bay ... 
Today there's a low level weak circulation over S-E Arabian sea .. expected to live short and this is good for N-E Monsoon along Tamilnadu.

N-E Bay along Myanmar is having a anti-cyclone ... which is also a driving force for N-E monsoon current ... 
The easterlies is expected to reach N Tamilnadu coast, S Andhra coast, #Chennai at the earliest by noon/evening of 31-Oct.
N-E monsoon - Sharp and intermittent showers expected for #Chennai, S Andhra coast, N,central Tamilnadu coast from morning / noon of 31-Oct.
For #Chennai the showers can start from morning or towards evening of 31-Oct.
Almost 99% chance of 1 or 2 showers before midnight.

W.D will continue to affect Kashmir with some moderate rains till evening of 1-Nov.
Chennai - 12:30pm, sharp shower now over Polichalur zone

#Chennai - 1:45pm, mini showers seen over S,S-W suburbs. Cloudy and mild now.

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Andhra and Odisha from 23-Oct to 27-Oct-2013

Andhra rains claim 53 lives, damage crops in 11 lakh hectares ... 

Andhra FLOODS satellite image comparison.. Taken from
Taken on 27-Oct-2013

Taken on 28-Oct-2013

Rainfall stats for Andhra from 24-Oct to 27-Oct, Taken from

Rainfall stats for Odisha from 23-Oct to 27-Oct.

#Bangalore - 6pm, "mild weather today" ... Photo facing West .. 

6:30pm, Isolated T showers over W,S-W Maharastra along W-Ghats, S Kerala, S,N,N-E Tamilnadu ... 

#Chennai - 7pm, Had a #Hot and Humid day. No sign of rain after 2pm.
Low, medium level wind is from N-N-E.

W.D has started to affect Kashmir.

The present W.D is expected to last till 31-Oct or 1-Nov.

Easterlies to bring showers for Tamilnadu coast from evening of 30-Oct.

#Chennai - 10:40am, #HOT and Humid with almost NO wind. Low cloud formations seen. Upper level wind is from N-N-E.

Yesterday's N-S trough along S-E coast has drifted East embedded with a low level circulation over N-W Bay ..
Easterlies to reach N,central Tamilnadu coast, S Andhra coast by evening of 30-Oct... #Monsoon showers expected to start from that time.

Today, showers expected along N-W Tamilnadu and W-ghats of Kerala, Tamilnadu, central, N-coast,central-coast Tamilnadu also in for T showers

Scattered rain expected over Kashmir and N Himachal from today due to nearing W.D trough.
Now it's cloudy over Kashmir.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Moderate W.D ahead for Kashmir, Himachal

A moderate upper level W.D trough is nearing N,N-W India ... 
Expected to affect the zone from tomorrow.

Due to W.D, Cloudy skies expected over Kashmir, N Punjab and Himachal from tomorrow till 31-Oct.
Moderate rain expected for Kashmir and N Himachal from tomorrow evening till 31-Oct.
Peak rainfall on 30-Oct... 

Badlapur - 4:30pm, "Very Heavy rain lashed Badlapur which lead to water accumulation on roads within 15mins.." 

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 1.50pm, Dark passing clouds and drizzling now.. sky pic 

5:30pm, Isolated T showers over W,S-W Maharastra, S Andhra, Showers over N,N-E Tamilnadu ... 

26-Oct, #Kolkata rain !! [VIDEO]

#Kolkata - 26-Oct, rain video ...

Tamilnadu coast, N-E monsoon showers expected to be back on 30-Oct

Latest analysis show a N-S trough ALL along S-E coast from N Odisha coast to central Tamilnadu coast ...

 This N-S is expected to drift East into Bay and can host a weak circulation in next 24hrs.

A weak N-E monsoon current is expected to be over S Andhra coast, N Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai from 30-Oct.. 

During next 36hrs, Due to N-S trough, HEAVY T-showers expected along N,N-E,central Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S,W Karnataka.
As the trough drifts East, the showers are expected along N,central Tamilnadu coast, N-W, W, S Tamilnadu on Tomorrow.
From 30-Oct, morning, N-E monsoon showers are expected to be back for S Andhra coast, N Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai.
From Tuesday, 29-Oct, HEAVY widespread rain ahead for W ghats Tamilnadu, S,S-central, W Tamilnadu.

A good W.D system is approaching N,N-W India, more on that in 2 hrs.
N-E states can get scattered rain for next 24hrs and rain are expected to go down drastically from Wednesday !
After a long #Monsoon, Rest of #India is expected to be Dry and Warm from Tuesday, 29-Oct !

Chennai, 1pm, Rain alert

#Chennai - 12:55pm, Warm at around 34 C. Good and early T cell formations over N-N-W and W,S-W zones.
" Early T showers possible "

#Chennai - 1pm, lots of mini showers have popped over W,S-W from city and North suburbs are getting showers now !

#Chennai - Yesterday evening scattered rain for city, Airport = 19.3 mm, Polichalur (IWM weather station) = 8.4mm and Nungambakkam = 0 mm

RT @rajugana:  Bangalore 10.20 AM, Wet, Damp Cloudy Monday morning, Overnight heavy rains, now Sun is out.. 

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Diwali Release another UAC

 [1] It is evident that there creeps an UAC near the mouth of Malacca Strait. [850 hPa wind]

[2] Sea surface wind indicates convergence near 17 Deg Parallel.

[3] Along and above 10 Deg North the SWly feeder brings rain

[4] North Chennai, south CAP will be free of "significant" rainfal
[5] The circulation is inland in Telengana AP

Hope the best for rains during Diwali for TN

Belgaum - 2:16pm, "today morning at 9.30 for one hour it rained .. now its cloudy"
"Yesterday evening 7:30pm got good heavy T shower"

2:30pm, Rain continue over N,N-E Andhra, fresh T cells popping over N,central,W Karnataka and Very active N Bay.. 

#Chennai - 5:15pm, After a #hot and humid mid morning with hazy skies, now having a thin high cloud cover.

T Shower possible after 8pm.
From today till Monday evening, N,N-E,central-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai to get noon /  evening / midnight T showers.
1st easterlies of this N-E Monsoon season is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast on 1-Nov.
" Tamilnadu, #Chennai can expect a WET Diwali "

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from today till 29-Oct.

Andhra circulation moved North and weakened.

#Kolkata - rainfall till 8:30am today, Alipur = 109.5mm and DumDum = 85.4mm

#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today, Nungambakkam = 10.4mm, Airport = 1.8mm, Polichalur (IWM weather station) = 5.7mm

Today, the Andhra circulation is over N Andhra ... 
In next 24 to 36hrs, the circulation is expected to drift N-N-E and weaken even more over S Chatisgarh, S Odisha.. 
In 36hrs a circulation is expected over S Bangladesh and a N-S trough to drop from system upto central Tamilnadu.. 
Present Andhra circulation is expected to weaken and get merged with the trough from S Bangaldesh by Sunday evening.

As the Andhra circulation weakens and a N-S trough forms in 24hrs, HEAVY rain for most of S-E coast to persist for next 36hrs.
N-S trough is expected to form by Sunday and move East into Bay after 24hrs... the rain along S-E coast will go down from Monday evening.
Before evening of Sunday, scattered rain expected all along S-E coast from S Bengal, Odisha, Andhra coast to N,central Tamilnadu.
Due to S Bangladesh circulation, Heavy scattered rain expected over most of N-E States during next 2 days.

Friday, October 25, 2013

Heavy rain ahead for N,N-E,central Andhra, coastal Andhra, E Maharastra in 24hrs

Before noon tomorrow, HEAVY rain forecast for coastal, N,N-E Andhra, N-E Karnataka and into S-E,E Maharastra.
Before tomorrow midnight, HEAVY rain also for S,S-W,W Maharastra, N,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra, Odisha and central,S Chatisgarh.
Central,N,W Tamilnadu can get scattered moderate rain, while central,N-coast Tamilnadu can expect heavy rain.

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from tonight till midnight of Saturday.
Tomorrow evening, T showers expected for Pune, Belgaum zones.
N,central Kerala can get some showers during next 24hrs.
#Chennai - 6:55pm, is getting ready for a moderate rain.
And more rain ahead for city before midnight of 26-Oct.

All the present forecast is only for next 24hrs (till tomorrow night) and based on the predicted movement of Andhra circulation.

Moderate rain over #Kolkata and #Chennai rain alert

#Kolkata - 6:20pm, "moderate rain for past 2 hrs"

#Chennai - 6:15pm, band of moderate showers closing in on city from W,S-W.
Now around 55km from city, this may intensify when nearing coast
3:30pm, Heavy rain over N,N-central,N-E Andhra, N,N-E,central Karnataka and into S chatisgarh, S,central Odisha.. 

Davangere - 1:14pm, "3 passing showers till now. Clouds sailing from west -northwest.
Seriously its raining a lot continuously."

#Chennai - 4pm, mini T showers seen over W,N-W from city at around 100 to 150km... Almost 100% chance of scattered rain after 6pm.

#Bangalore - 4:34pm, "Poured for about 20 minutes .. now coming to an end in CHIKKABETTAHALLI zone"

Circulation has moved North into N-central Andhra, where next ?

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 10.20am, Overcast sky with slight drizzle in the morning. sky pic 

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Heavy cloud cover day again. Temperature now is 30.9 C.
And wind direction is from S-S-E.

HEAVY rain over Andhra till 8:30am today ::
    Prathipadu (dist East Godavari) 26, Visakhapatnam Ap (dist Vishakhapatnam) 16, Tekkali (dist Srikakulam) , Rentachintala (dist Guntur) , Kalwakurthi and  Kollapur (both dist Mahbubnagar) 15 each, Avanigadda (dist Krishna) 14, Yerragondapalem (dist Prakasam)  and  Koderu (dist West Godavari) 13 each, Achampet and  Nagarkurnool (both dist Mahbubnagar) 12 each, Narsapuram (dist West Godavari), Kandukur (dist Prakasam), Kalingapatnam (dist Srikakulam), Gudivada (dist Krishna), Macharla (dist Guntur), Yellamanchili (dist Vishakhapatnam) and  Kaikalur (dist Krishna) 11 each, Mandasa (dist Srikakulam) and  Eluru (dist West Godavari) 10 each, Sathenapalli (dist Guntur), Cheepurupalli (dist Vizianagaram), Visakhapatnam (dist Vishakhapatnam), Devarkonda (dist Nalgonda) and  Ibrahimpatnam (dist Rangareddy) 9 each

Yesterday's S Andhra circulation has moved North and now over N-central Andhra ... 
Now, the GFS expects the system to track N-E and may pop over N-W Bay along Odisha coast on 27-Oct... 
But NAVGEM model says that the circulation will vanish over N Andhra, S-E Maharastra on 26/27-Oct.. Good possibility! 

25 Oct 13 / 00Z RF in AP


1 YERAKUNDALAPALEM 16.0 79.3 120.0
2 KALWAKURTHY 16.7 78.5 117.0
3 KOLLAAPUR 16.1 78.3 115.0
4 MARUTHERU 16.6 81.7 56.0

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Chennai - 10pm, a heavy electric shower is nearing N,N-W suburbs (Ponneri, Red hills zones) of city.

TN NEM rainfall

NRLMRY NEXSAT:241013 / 0730 Z
The cloud is moving slowly in W-NWly direction. The high pressure ridge is preventing it to move in Northward direction. 

The SWly feeder to the circulation which passed through Salem and adjoining area experienced rainfall.

When there is cut off in circulation and possibly when there emerges another circulation near Chennai then probably Chennai may get rainfall.

The SW winds which have withdrawn from Indian main land is feeding moisture from Indian Ocean to the circulation and keeps it alive.

Last year during the same period MURJAN was active; then NILAM came.

Circulation has moved N-N-W and may continue the same

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 12.30pm, Overcast sky, dark clouds, no significant rain as of now.. sky pic @ varthur lake 

#Chennai - 1:30pm, High cloud cover continues. Wind, cloud movement from S-W.
T.Showers possible after 3pm.

Today, the low,mid, upper level circulation is over S-central Andhra ... 
Now NAVGEM model suggests that the circulation to move N-N-W into S,S-W Maharastra in 48hrs and vanish.. 
Latest GFS expects the circulation to drift N-W into S Maharastra and may drift N-E into E Maharastra in 60hrs .. 
Latest models didn't support circulation drifting into Arabian se, there's a possibility of a circulation along S Maharastra coast in 48hrs

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

2 odd model suggestion for the present circulation over S.Andhra

7pm, HEAVY rain over W,S,N-E Karnataka, central Tamilnadu, central,N-central Andhra ... 
7pm, showers seen pushing into N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, Odisha and S Bengal.
"It's raining in Ranchi" ..

Analysis show that the circulation is over S Andhra ... 
GFS suggests, that the circulation will weaken and drift N-W upto S,S-W Maharastra and vanish ... 

But NAVGEM model suggests, the circulation will exit thru Karnataka coast and drift W-S-W into Arabian sea .. ODD . 

In any case, HEAVY rain ahead for E,S-central, central Karnataka and W,central Andhra during next 36hrs.
Before Friday morning, rain expected for N,central,N-E Tamilnadu, S,central-coast Andhra.
#Bangalore - scattered moderate rain expected before Firday morning.
#Chennai - The wind direction is expected to shift to S-W and to South by Friday.. and noon,evening showers expected tomorrow.

There's NO strong easterlies expected to enter Bay till 31-Oct ... so weak N-E monsoon days ahead for Tamilnadu coast.

Circulation now over S Andhra, N Tamilnadu and Chennai

Latest analysis show that the circulation is over S Andhra, N Tamilnadu and #Chennai ... 

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 9.45am, Cloudy skies with slight drizzles. However Sky is clearing and Sun is peeping out ! 

11:30am, Heavy rain over central Andhra as the circulation has moved inland ... 

#Chennai - 12:20pm, Pressure is around 1004mb, as expected Wind and cloud movement is from West.
Warm at around 32 C.
#Chennai - 12:30pm, conditions are right for a localized T shower before 6pm.

Belgaum @ 9.30pm, 22-Oct - From morning it was cloudy..Now drizzling started ..wind is from east..seems more rain ahead for next three days
Davangere - 5:30pm, 22-Oct, "Strong entry of NEM. Raining from past 1 hour, still has got good cloud cover."
More rain head in 36hrs.

#Kolkata - 12:40pm, "Overcast"

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

WML drifting

The WML cloud mass drifted W-NW direction and positioned just south of 15 Deg Parallel.  Still it is in Sea.  Further strengthening will lead to depression. 

Chennai is south of this position and is witnessing westerly / NWly winds. No chances of significant rainfall.

[I will be publishing the formation of new Island pictures after due confirmation.]

Heavy rain for S-central,W Andhra, E,central Karnataka in next 2 days

Morning analysis show that the circulation in pushing inland thru N Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S Andhra coast ... 

Now, the circulation is expected to move W-N-W across peninsula and pop into Arabian sea near Goa on Thursday .

#Chennai - at present the wind, cloud movement direction is from N-W, In next 18hrs it'll change to W,S-W then to S-E as the Low moves in.
Heavy rain expected for S,central Andhra, S,central Karnataka during next 36hrs.
Showers possible all along coast from N-E Odisha to N-E,central Andhra during next 2 days.
Moderate to heavy rain also for N,central Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai till Wednesday evening.

Heavy and very heavy showers for S-central,W Andhra and into E,central Karnataka before evening of Thursday.

LOW is pushing into land thru N.Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S.Andhra coast

#Chennai - 1:50pm, Sharp showers now over Pallavaram zone ... and it was drizzling from 10:30am.

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 9.30am, Fabulous weather, dark clouds hanging around with chill breeze..NEM Effect!?sky pic 

RT @surlak91: Huge cloud cover in Chennai at noon.@weatherofindia  (12:07pm)

1:30pm, One can observe the circulation is moving into land thru S Andhra coast .. Heavy rain for S,central Andhra 

Monday, October 21, 2013

Circulation near #Chennai and more rain ahead for #Chennai, N-coast Tamilnadu, S Andhra.

10pm, Heavy rain seen along S Andhra coast... showers can be seen just 60km North from Chennai city ... 

Latest analysis show that the LOW and it's low level circulation is seen along N-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai, S Andhra 

During next 24hrs, the circulation is expected to persist along #Chennai coast ... 
From now, the circulation will push into N Tamilnadu and S-E Karnataka by Wednesday ... 
By Thursday, the circulation is expected to pop into Arabian sea thru Goa.

As of now, the rain due to this circulation can be seen along most of Andhra coast and upto Odisha.
From now till evening of 22-Oct, Heavy rain expected along S,central-coast and even for N-E Andhra coast.
Before evening of 22-Oct, moderate rain for #Chennai, central, central-coast,N-W Tamilnadu, Kerala coast and S,S-E Karnataka, Bangalore.
More rain in store for #Chennai, N,central-coast Tamilnadu, Kerala and S,W,coast Karnataka during next 2 days (till Wednesday evening)
During next 2 days, entire S-E coast (from N-E Odisha to S Andhra) is expected to get showers due to this Low and Monsoon withdrawal.

#Chennai - 11:30pm, Pressure is around 1004.3mb and calm.
Showers getting ready for a splash into city after 1 / 2 am.

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 9.50am, Chilly morning with overcast sky. Wetness on the roads due to overnight drizzles. 

#Chennai got 80.8mm

#Chennai - 12:38pm, Drizzle stopped at around 10:45am. Now its Cloudy with sign of Sun breaking out.
More rain ahead towards evening.

#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today, Nungambakkam = 80.8mm, Airport = 71.1mm and Polichalur (Indianweatherman PWS) = 47.1 mm

#Chennai - Get live weather from Polichalur zone (S-W of Airport) ...
Presently in beta version, more updates soon.

Till morning, Moderate and heavy rain were experienced ALL along Tamilnadu coast.

12:30pm, Showers seen along S,central Andhra coast, S Kerala getting ready for more rain... Rest of #India is calm 

The rainfall (in mm) reported on 21.10.2013 / 0830 hrs [in and around Chennai ] indicated that the cloud mass moved in N-NWly direction

The 211013 / 06Z DWR indicates cloud concentration over North of Chennai.

There won't be any significant rain in Chennai to day.

It may rain heavily at Nellore,Ongole coasts in AP

The rainfall (in mm) reported on 21.10.2013 / 0830 hrs [in and around Chennai ]
Ennore 105.0
Madavaram 86.0
Puzal 78.0
Taramani 70.0
Anna uty 70.0
Poonamalle 62.0
Satyabama uty 42.0
Kattupakkam 18.0
Kolappakam 17.0              

RT @fabwrite:  @chennaiweather Raining continuously... Can you pls let me know if the Govt declares a rain holiday for #Schools in #Chennai

Chennai - 7:15am, non stop steady rain continues over Polichalur zone.

RT @NTSHAMZ2010: @weatherofindia Has been raining in interior parts of Tambaram non-stop since last night 6:15am

Chennai, S-coast Andhra - 7:20am, more heavy and steady rain ahead for next 4 hours.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Latest analysis show that the Low pressure system is marching towards Chennai , N-coast Tamilnadu.

The Low will start to push into land thru Chennai, N-coast Tamilnadu and S-coast Andhra during next 24hours

During next 24hours HEAVY widespread rain expected for Chennai , N,central Tamilnadu coast

During next 36hours Heavy rain also for S,central Andhra coast

11:40pm, more sharp showers approaching Chennai city.
Going to be a wet night and into morning as well.

RT @fabwrite: 8pm, Heavy downpour in #Mandaveli #Chennai @chennaiweather @weatherofindia

Chennai - 9:32pm, heavy steady drizzle continue for the past 1hr in Polichalur zone

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 7.35pm, Today was cloudy with slight drizzles at times. It is raining now.

Ayyampet, Tamilnadu, Tanjore district - 10:50pm, steady drizzle continues

It is raining at Chennai now [201013/2030 hrs IST]

[1] It is raining at most of places in Chennai.

[2] The circulation becomes WML.

[3] It moves in North -NW direction.

The amounts of rainfall realised at 20.10.2013 / 1930 hrs IST is given below:[RF in mm]

(1) Thirukoilur ARG     ..59.0
(2) Cheyyur    ARG     .. 35.0
(3) Vaniyambadi          .. 33.0
(4) Kalavai                     24.0
(5) Ennore                 ..   11.0
In and around Chennai:
{1} HVF AVADI            5.0
{2} ANNA UTY            1.0
{3}KOLAPAKKAM      3.0
{4} CHENNAI [N]         4.0
#Chennai - 6pm, After a long day with Heavy high cloud cover... now sharp showers have pushed into North suburbs of city.

A mini update on present circulation ... 
Latest analysis about S,S-W Bay circulation and forecast coming up at 9:30pm

5:30pm, Heavy rain over N,N-central, S, central-coast Tamilnadu .. and some along S coast Andhra ... 

Bay circulation

As expected the SWM has come down to 14 Deg latitude in Arabian Sea and thence blow as NWly.  The Westerly, SWly winds in Comorin Sea makes circulation in Bay roughly about 440-550 km East /Se of Nagapattinam / Karaikal.  The UAC over Srilanka moved NNW and gave rainfall in southern parts of TN.  The circulation in south central Bay may bring rainfall to Choramandal coast i.e from Vedaranyam to Nellore in south coastal AP.  As pointed out by mentor this can also be considered as 'MONSOON LOW"[Trough].  SST and upper winds are favorable for strengthening of this circulation.  This may bring NEM to TN

Chennai - 1:30am, monsoon is here.. sharp showers now lashing city. Rain moving in from sea, E-N-E.
More showers before morning!

Saturday, October 19, 2013

#HOT W,N-W India today

Bangalore - 6:10pm, "heavy rains in Basvangudi zone"
RT @rajugana: Bangalore 6.20pm, Hot and humid day, T.Clouds in the Eve and drizzling in parts of city.Sky pic BLR-Hosur@

#HOT - West India today, Mumbai = 36.5 C, Rajkot = 36.3 C, Bhuj = 37 C

Ayyampet - 3:34pm, "raining over for last 50 minutes till continues even now" ... Location of Ayyampet ...

Nagercoil - 7pm, It's raining from 2:30pm today... and more rain ahead. 
Yesterday, Nagercoil received 6 cm of rainfall.

Phailin - aftermath

Cyclone Phailin has damaged 5,825 schools in Odisha ... 

Cyclone Phailin: Amid gloom and doom, Odisha shows 'can do' spirit ... 

'Phailin' damages fruits, vegetable crops worth Rs 107 cr ... 

Phailin destroys over 70% banana fruit ... 

Life after Phailin ... Stats ... 

Satellite images compilation of Cyclone "PHAILIN" [video]

Satellite images compilation of Cyclone "PHAILIN" ... Video ...

Present W.D and #Monsoon withdrawal from E,N-E India.

Today morning, the upper level W.D trough can be seen over N India upto 27th parallel and moving East ... 

From today and during next 2 days (till Monday evening) T showers expected along S-E India coast from S Bengal to S Andhra coast.

Due to present East moving W.D .. some showers also for Nepal, E Uttarpradesh, Bihar, N Bengal and Sikkim till Sunday evening.

#Monsoon is expected to withdraw from E India and N-E states on 22/23-Oct.. till then scattered showers expected for N-E states.

N-E Monsoon and S Bay circulation update

Today as well the S Bay circulation persists and showing signs of getting organized ... 

Today as well the S Bay circulation persists and showing signs of getting organized ... 

GFS model expects, S Bay circulation to move near to central-coast Tamilnadu on Monday.. #Monsoon onset also expected 
NAVGEM model suggests, the circulation will reach near to #Chennai on Monday and #Monsoon onset will happen ... 
Today the S,S-W Bay circulation has extended upto upper levels (500hpa heights) ... 
WRF model expects the upper level circulation from S-W Bay to crash into central-coast Tamilnadu by tomorrow evening !! HEAVY rain ahead !

By Monday, 21-Oct-2013... N-E Monsoon will be over coastal Tamilnadu ... HEAVY rain for central,N-coast Tamilnadu, S Andhra and #Chennai
Heavy rain for S,central Kerala, S,central Kerala W-ghats and S,S-central Tamilnadu to continue till Monday, 21-Oct.
N,central Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai, S Andhra to get more rain with increasing intensity from Sunday, 20-Oct.. 

Showers again over S.Tamilnadu and S.Kerala

#Chennai - 3:13pm, Sunny and warm now with low cloud formation and movement from N-E.
Present upper level wind direction is from N-N-E.

Simaltaneous S-W #Monsoon withdrawal and N-E Monsoon onset happening ... 

2:30pm, T Showers again over S Kerala, S coast Karnataka, S,central-coast, N-E Tamilnadu ... 

#Kolkata - 2:22pm, Heavy T shower over North DumDum zone !

RT @aash_tvm: Raining here at #Trivandrum (2:53pm)

RT @kannan2121: @weatherofindia Raining heavy at Trivandrum south and into kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu (3:31pm)

2:30pm, Rest of #India is having very less precipitation ...

Chennai - 12:30pm, passing drizzles from 10am and now sharp showers over Polichalur zone.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Simaltaneous withdrawal and onset

[1] SWM is still prevalent in lower latitude.[i.e below 21 Deg North].  The less strengthen SWM winds at upper level form a UAC near Srilanka. 

[2] This UAC is pumping easterlies in to TN region.

[3] This may lead to a formation of low in SE bay.

[4] This is expected to give copious rainfall down south TN.

[5] Two anticyclones along 22 or 21 Deg North  latitude one in the west end  and other in the far east end of India is creeping. up

[6] This may lead to simultaneous withdrawal of SWM and onset of NEM by 22 or 23 Oct 2013.