6pm, "95B" is crawling towards Somalia and No intensification seen in past 6hrs.. position 10.7N,57.9E.. http://ow.ly/i/13pS0
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
By tomorrow, showers will go dry over most of tamilnadu except over S.tip Tamilnadu & Kerala .. http://ow.ly/i/13o9K
From 25-Oct evening till 28-Oct.. there's almost NO chance of rain for most of Tamilnadu.. except for S.tip Tamilnadu. http://ow.ly/i/13oao
During next 2 or 3 days, some showers expected for Kerala, isolated for W,N-W.Karnataka and into W,S-W.Maharastra.
No W.D forecast for Kashmir till 28-Oct !
From 25-Oct evening till 28-Oct.. there's almost NO chance of rain for most of Tamilnadu.. except for S.tip Tamilnadu. http://ow.ly/i/13oao
During next 2 or 3 days, some showers expected for Kerala, isolated for W,N-W.Karnataka and into W,S-W.Maharastra.
No W.D forecast for Kashmir till 28-Oct !
Upcoming Cyclone/Depression.. Now both IMD-GFS and NOGAPS predicts a Depression to come near to central Tamilnadu coast,N.Srilanka on 30-Oct
Here's the NOGAPS model for 30-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/13nFz
Here's the IMD-GFS model for 30-Oct ... http://ow.ly/i/13nH8
Both the models agree that the upcoming system may not become as a Cyclone.
Here's the NOGAPS model for 30-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/13nFz
Here's the IMD-GFS model for 30-Oct ... http://ow.ly/i/13nH8
Both the models agree that the upcoming system may not become as a Cyclone.
NOGAPS expects the "95B" to hit Somalia coast on 26-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/13nyX
Today the low level circulation is over Indian ocean near S.tip of Tamilnadu .. expected to move into S-E Arabian sea in next 24hrs.
For N,Central Tamilnadu coast.. some showers expected till midnight today and almost NO rain forecast from Tomorrow.
A strong low level circulation has entered into S-E corner Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/13nEa
Today the low level circulation is over Indian ocean near S.tip of Tamilnadu .. expected to move into S-E Arabian sea in next 24hrs.
For N,Central Tamilnadu coast.. some showers expected till midnight today and almost NO rain forecast from Tomorrow.
A strong low level circulation has entered into S-E corner Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/13nEa
12pm, A circulation is entering into S-E corner Bay .. And S.Tamilnadu to get more rain today .. http://ow.ly/i/13nuU
12pm, Almost a cyclone is nearing Somalia coast .. http://ow.ly/i/13nuU
12pm, Almost a cyclone is nearing Somalia coast .. http://ow.ly/i/13nuU
"95B" - Nearing Somalia almost as a Cyclone -- Update #1
12:30pm, Latest position of this W-central Arabian sea system.
Now it's almost a cyclone.
Wind = 45 km/h
Pressure = 1000mb
Position = 11N, 59.6E
JTWC warning at 1:30am IST
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Now it's almost a cyclone.
Wind = 45 km/h
Pressure = 1000mb
Position = 11N, 59.6E
JTWC warning at 1:30am IST
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 61.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 61.3E, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF FORMATIVE BUT FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING LOOSELY INTO AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER. A 231514Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITH FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. A 230830Z OSCAT IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS RAIN-FLAGGED 30 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH A RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF LOW TO MODERATE (5-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE SYSTEM, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
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