Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Cyclone NADA may not cross land as a Cyclone !


8:30pm, Shows a slightly weakened and sheared Cyclone #Nada ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pu4tM.jpg


For Cyclone #NADA , Wind shear is high from now and towards TN coast .. you can see it's already taking toll by exposing most of LLC center  .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pu56R.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pu57v.jpg 

But, Models continue to suggest that #NADA will track WNW towards central-coast Tamilnadu as Cyclone ! #Nada "may" melt along central coast tamilnadu during night of 1-Dec without crossing as Cyclone  ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pu73l.jpg 

As of latest HEAVY rain are still forecast for central,N-coast Tamilnadu and into S-coast Andhra from morning of 1-Dec ! 
#Chennai - may get its first round of showers around early morning, 1-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pu8HI.jpg 
early morning, Nagapattinam to Pondicherry belt will also have its first showers !!

November 30, 2016 at 05:04PM

Cyclone #nada .. Schools will remain closed on 1,2-Dec announced for 5 coastal districts of TN including #Chennai . #weather

from Instagram

November 30, 2016 at 03:25PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

04B intensifying and tracking WNW towards Tamilnadu coast



Latest wind analysis of 04B suggests that above 35kph winds are starting to wrap around center ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/psZOz.gif

Latest ADT analysis of 04B still suggests that its a "Deep depression" and intensifying ... Pressure 1000.3mb, max winds reaching 94 kmph .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pt054.gif

Take a look at this 9am Visible shot of 04B over Bay, inching towards central coast Tamilnadu ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pt0e0.jpg


Almost all models predict a central-coast Tamilnadu landfall as Deep Depression / marginal Cyclone on midnight of 1-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pt7nO.jpg
04B - GFS expects a Deep depression landfall near Karaikal during midnight of 1-Dec into early hrs of 2-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pt7Es.jpg

This is what HWRF model suggests "during the time of landfall" .. Heavy convective activity expected over S,SW quadrants ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pt8au.jpg

#ALERT
4 regions in Tamilnadu, S Andhra to watch for HEAVY widespread rainfall on 1,2-Dec ... marked in chart ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pt9Ly.jpg 

Rainfall expected to start along central,N-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai and S-coast Andhra from Morning of 1-Dec !
From evening of 1-Dec, HEAVY rain #ALERT for Nilgiris zone !
#Chennai - will have rains from morning of 1-Dec and into evening of 2-Dec !
It can be intermittent, 1 or 2 long spell and with gusts !
#ALERT
High winds, heavy widespread rain for zones near coast from Point Calimere to Pondicherry from afternoon,1-Dec to mid-morning,2-Dec.

November 30, 2016 at 10:10AM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia
9am, a strip of Fog blanket covering from S Punjab, to Haryana, parts of #Delhi, S Uttarpradesh to Bihar ...https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/psZnq.jpg

November 30, 2016 at 06:15AM

91B is now a marginal Cyclone tracked as 04B. Track forecast remains the same. #weather

from Instagram

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

91B - a depression now


JTWC issues #Cyclone formation #alert for S Bay system "91B", which has intensified into a Depression now ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pr38r.jpg

91B - Multi-model forecast suggests a track towards central-coast Tamilnadu as Deep Depression in next 48 to 60hrs.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pr4Hn.jpg

November 29, 2016 at 09:53AM

Morning fog over haryana, uttarpradesh and into Bihar. #weather

from Instagram

Monday, November 28, 2016

NEM 2016 Finally approaching

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal &adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean has concentratedinto a well­ marked low pressure area over the same region. The associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level also persists. It is very likely to concentrate into a depression during next 24 hours.

Moving NW direction towards North TN coast might cross between Nagapattinam to Chennai during December 1. Rains will start from November 30 evening or night over some places in Tamilnadu and Heavy spells on cards during December 1 especially coastal regions.#Nagai #Cuddalore #Pondicherry .
Rains will be occurring
till Dec 3rd

Don't panic for any floods like last year 2015 December 1 because our land mass is dry enough to take heavy rain going to be on upcoming December 1 rain.

MONSOON RAIN is back

#Chennai #TamilNadu #Puducherry

1st December again ! 91B - expected to cross central,N-coast Tamilnadu !



S Bay circulation, LOW is now tracked as 91B .. Latest satellite IR shows good convective activity .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKlc.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKm2.jpg

91B is expected to move NW and intensify into a Depression in next 36hrs.. seems to be a fast moving system !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/poKZ0.jpg 

Models expect this mid-level winds will guide 91B towards Tamilnadu coast in next 48hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poMKC.gif

91B - Present wind shear in its predicted path is high, so there's less of intensifying into a Cyclone !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poNyu.gif

91B - many models suggest a central-coast (near Pondicherry) Tamilnadu landfall as D.Depression on 1-Dec .. "2015's famous day " ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/poOmu.gif

@AfsarOfficial @wilfredmichael6 >> 
Rains for #Chennai expected to start from early hrs of 1-Dec as of latest !

November 28, 2016 at 06:17AM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

November 28, 2016 at 06:28AM

Chennai - 19c again. Almost same in Vellore.. http://ift.tt/2fUkPJS #weather

from Instagram

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Cyclone / D.Depression on cards for Tamilnadu coast on 2/3-Dec


Yesterday's elongated circulation over / along 5th parallel over mouth of Bay is slowly consolidating to a better organized circulation .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmR9g.jpg

GFS, GEFS, CMC, ECMWF models suggest a slow intensification, NW movement during next 3 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRei.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRha.jpg

A cyclone / Deep depresion on the cards in Bay and expected to reach central-coast Tamilnadu on 2/3-Dec ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRjn.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pmRm5.jpg



If this system progresses as expected, then scattered rain will start for #Chennai, SE,central,N-coast Tamilnadu on 1-Dec !
2 more dry days!

November 27, 2016 at 06:52AM

Chennai - 6:30am, airport records 20 C while nungambakkam 21.4 C. #weather

from Instagram

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Most of Tamilnadu can expect some wet days during 1st 7 days of December !!

At present there's a elongated low-level circulation seen along 5th parallel, S Bay .. Now, models expect this to become LOW in next 4days ! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/plXN2.jpg



Both GFS and ECMWF models suggest a Deep depression over SW Bay near N,NE Srilanka on 1/2-Dec .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/plXVe.gif 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/plXVt.jpg 

Tamilnadu and #Chennai - till 30-Nov, can expect DRY, slightly windy coastline and COLD mornings !!
டிசம்பர்:
வாà®™்க கடலில் காà®±்à®±ு à®…à®´ுத்த தாà®´்வு நிலை உருவாக வாய்ப்புள்ளது. இதனால் டிசம்பர் à®®ுதல் வாரத்தில் இருந்து சென்னை மற்à®±ுà®®் கடலோà®° à®®ாவட்டங்களில் கண மழைக்கு வாய்ப்புள்ளது. à®®ேலுà®®் இந்த தாà®´்வு நிலை à®®ேலுà®®் வலு வடையை வாய்ப்புள்ளது.
December:
Low pressure area to be formed around december 1st week. Chennai, coastal tamilnadu will witness moderate to heavy rainfall from 1st week of December. This LPA has good chances to become depression in upcoming days.
#Chennai #சென்னை #தமிà®´்நாடு #TamilNadu

Friday, November 25, 2016

November 25, 2016 at 03:40PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

"NO RAIN NOVEMBER" 2016


TamilNadu & Puducherry: As No rain November continues Tamilnadu & Puducherry undergoing serious Large Deficient rainfall!! November 2016 going to end up with worst NEM rainfall in 150years. Rainfall for next 5 days going to be NILL.


Top 10 Districts with negative percentage of rainfall departure from normal:
Tiruvallur -92%
Kancheepuram -88%
Namakkal -87%
Vellore -86%
Salem -86%
Karur -85%
Chennai -83%
Krishnagiri -82%
Erode -81%
Cuddalore -80%
&
PUDUCHERRY:  -92%

In top 10 districts only North and Central Tamilnadu districts listing up. South Tamilnadu, delta region might not listed in top 10, as they received quite bit of rainfall during last 10 days but still they undergo large deficient rainfall.

DECEMBER 2016
As November ending up badly. December might give up some hope of Rains!!
During 1st & 2nd Week of December we can expect rainfall. Which will be a better rainfall.
As per GFS model we might see LPA over SE of BOB during 1st week of December. Lets wait and watch how things going to be from December 01 2016 



10:30am, CLEAR looking #India, except some cloudiness over Kashmir, N Himachal .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pjWmv.jpg

Thursday, November 24, 2016



A fresh easterlies is seen over SE Bay and pushing West ... models suggest that it'll be focused below or along 10th parallel.
26/27th This easterlies is also expected to drop an elongated circulation over S Bay along 5th parallel and HEAVY rain for Srilanka only ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pinfb.jpg

"DRY" This is how it is going to be for entire S,SE peninsula, Tamilnadu & Kerala till 30-Nov.. #NoRainNovember .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pinU2.jpg 

Scattered rain possible for S,SE Tamilnadu on 27,28,29-Nov !!

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


WD system is expected to affect Kashmir in next 24hrs and last till Sunday.
Snow/Rain expected over mountains from Friday evening to Sunday ..


#Chennai - 1:30pm, hazy sky, chill in air, Temp at 30 C and going down.
#NoRainNovember continues !
May end up with NO rain till 30-Nov ! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pia2I.jpg

Night & Day temps are below normal over most of S,central,N Peninsula and even over Bay .. will continue for next 3 days ! #odd https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/piajU.jpg
Rarely you can observe these temperature abnormality during the month of November in Peninsula.
Above normal temps observed in N,NW India .

November 24, 2016 at 01:36PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

Monday, November 21, 2016

November 20, 2016 at 10:54PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

Saturday, November 19, 2016

November 19, 2016 at 07:13PM


For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia

Ray of hope for rain in North TN

Formation of clouds close to Coramandal Coast may give hope for rain in Northern Tamilnadu.


RAIN DEFICIT TN will be benefited.  

Friday, November 18, 2016

#NoRainNovember continues for many zones of Tamilnadu and Chennai



6:30pm, HEAVY widespread rain over Srilanka, and a rain band is nearing SE-coast tamilnadu .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6Mie.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/p6MiM.gif 

The elongated circulation persists over 5th parallel South Bay .. and this is pushing HEAVY rains for Srilanka and some to SE coast TN .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6Pgz.jpg


GFS model doesn't expect this circulation to intensify, but may move North during next 2 days as an elongated circulation itself.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6QgP.jpg
But, CMC model suggests otherwise.. it indicates intensification and moving into / along SE,E coast of Srilanka in 2/3 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6QRG.jpg

During next 42hrs, Moderate showers expected along SE-coastline and T showers over S-tip Tamilnadu, S Kerala ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6RED.jpg
Next 3 days, HEAVY flooding rains possible for NE,E,SE coast Srilanka and #ALERT for S,SW Srilanka !

#Chennai, N,NW,central Tamilnadu to have COLD nights, mornings and Dry day on Saturday, Sunday ! 
#NoRainNovember continues !
Below normal night, morning #November temps to continue over N,central,SE,S peninsula for next 2/3 days ... #Chennai too .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/p6Tlw.jpg