East coast on shore and / or inland trough in westerlies.

MSLP anomaly

Ninety days (ending 04.07.2014) MSLP anomaly was generated using ESRL:PSD.  A fruitful discussion was initiated by my immediate boss and other interested weatherman


[1] The MSLP variation in south Indian Ocean is NOT that much alarming.  However the actual JUNE pattern is establishing NOW.





[2] Even though the monsoon trough in west coast is NOT pronounced or yet to gain strength,(But) the on shore trough  and / or in land  trough in EAST coast of India is frequently persisting .  However no DEPRESSION is forming.





[3] This may give RF over NE states, northern parts of Odisha, Bihar, MP etc and other north  interior India

Indian SWM moisture sucked by Pacific Typhoon.{?}

 Some one was asking me which gives POWER to SWM.  I repeatedly informed them the POWER SOURCE is MASCRENE HIGH.  The strength is 1036 hPa to day [05.07.2014 / 16 LT Mauritius].  This tele-connection is much more important than other parameters.

[1] The Bay flow is altered / slowed or completely stopped.

[2] Like wise the south China branch flow is altered and formation of Typhoon

(3)   TYPHOON 08W (NEOGURI) WARNING 

050600Z --- NEAR 16.0N 137.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

[4]  I do find moisture being sucked by NEOGURI from Indian Ocean.. 

     But moist air will turn through bay once the system is 

     started moving WEST-NWly direction. i.e NO MOISTURE LOSS.

Weather Instagram at July 05, 2014 at 05:43PM

#chennai - photo at 1pm. At around 4:15 Polichalur zone got a mini shower. 6.9mm. #weather

from Instagram

Monsoon Revival: IMD bets on lows emerging in the bay next week for a miracle. More wishful thinking than certitude?

"Another low-pressure area is expected over the Bay of Bengal by the weekend, which is expected to gain enough strength and move towards central India, bringing rain to the interior parts of the country. Over the same period, the phase of intra-seasonal variability is also likely to be favourable for better rainfall activity over India,"

http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/07/monsoon-revival-imd-bets-on-lows.html

The 2014 Irony: Monsoon advancing, rainfall getting scarcer, drought gaining increasing severity and spread!

Though the Southwest monsoon has covered vast tracts of the country, rainfall deficiency for the season so far has increased to 53 per cent and the worst-affected areas are peninsular and central India.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/07/the-2014-irony-monsoon-advancing.html

Neoguri expected to become Super Typhoon as it nears Japan

Tropical Storm Neoguri has been rapidly intensifying over the past six hours, and it is expected to develop into a super typhoon by the time it reaches Okinawa, Japan.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/07/neoguri-expected-to-become-super.html