Rainfall

As on 05.06.2010 / 1200 UTC the following things are observed.

[1] The lower level winds are from NORTH WESTERLY direction. i.e the cross equtorial SWly winds in Arabian Sea gets deflected in North east Arabian sea and blows from NORTH WESTERLY direction. Even though it is NWly it is moisture laden air.

[2] To the west of Westerghats the lower NWly bounces on ghat and gives rainfall .

[3] Winds in the upper lower level NWly [ or spill over] makes a trough with the SOUTHERLY /SWLy winds prevailing at eastern side of western ghats and gives rainfall .

[4] Hyderabad [40.1], Kurnool[40.9], Bhubaneswar[41.0],Jamshedpur[43.3], Gaya[43.5], Nagpur[43.6], Ramagundam [44.4], Jasaguda[44.6] reported maximum temperature greater than 40.0 degree celsius.

The percentage of departure from Normal is +4 to +6.

[5] This will lead to a formation of inland and / or off shore trough or WML

This may give fairly widespread rainfall in the eastern side of the Western ghat

8pm, Thunder storms over S.central Tamilnadu

Cyclone "Phet" .. Heavy showers coming up along Pakistan coast .. http://ow.ly/i/1ViG

5:30pm IST, latest visible satellite shot of Cyclone "Phet" shows, Heavy thunder storms near Pakistan coast... http://ow.ly/i/1Vif

RT @sathyavpk: @anoopan Yes its raining daily night :-) Kochi Cochin Kerala

Did you know, In India, South West monsoon first first hits at Cape Comorin ?? ... http://ow.ly/1Utr3 .. monsoon travel tourism

More about Kanyakumari (cape comorin) >> S-W monsoon first first hits at Cape Comorin... http://ow.ly/1UtpQ

More about Kanyakumari (cape comorin) >> S-W monsoon first first hits at Cape Comorin

In continuation to our previous post .. A brief history of Kanyakumari district

Not only that my dear friends, even time immemorial Kanyakumari has its glory. It witnessed TSUNAMI in ancient times. There is a reference in 'SILAPATHIKARAM' about it. That PANNMALAI YADUKATHU KUMARICODUM PAKRULIYARUM KODUNKADAL KOLLA'
[i.e the stretch of Mountains and river Pakruli was devastated by Tsunami.]


Naikkeren the chief poet of the Head Tamil Sangam was a fisherman and he was from that NEITHAL area only.
If one travels exactly 180 degree south then the nearest land is Antarctica, some 10,450 km down south.
The South West monsoon first hits at Cape Comorin and later only extends to Andaman or Kerala.


It is the place of confluence of three oceans [1] Bay of Bengal [2] Arabian sea and [3] Indian Ocean. It is ideal place to monitor SWM / NEM winds. But there is NO DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR to monitor the SWM / NEM winds. Land-Ocean-Atmosphere interaction is important in studying weather. Kanyakumari has more mysterious things. 


posted by Kaneyen

Maximum temperature would fall by 2-4°C over parts of northwest and west India.

rain on 4-Jun, Kailashahar, Madurai, Salem, Nancowry, velparai-6 each Agartala-4, Hasan, Tuni, Bhuntar, Amritsar, Silchar and Lengui-3 CM

Rain map of 4-Jun... showers along S.coastal Andhra, N. Tamilnadu, N-E states and Kerala... http://ow.ly/i/1Vgd

RT @sineesh: 1st rain aftr reachng kerala..njoyn d shower (3:26pm)

RT @witchef: @ndtvHave u ever seen the rain!!Its monsoon time in Kerala but no sign of showers.The clouds are playing pranks.

RT @DhaneshKannan: Again Indian wheather Dept make us fool, no rain anywhere in kerala,once again they proved they are..??

RT @ParikshitChitre: Reachd d resort had lunch kerala style n now off to sleeeeep ..... Strtd to rain (3:39pm)

South-west Monsoon has further advanced into some parts of s. interior Karnataka, entire Tamilnadu parts of Rayalaseema and coastal Andhra

5:30pm, Heavy thunder showers over central and North W.Ghats of Kerala, and convective clouds continue just West Kerala. http://ow.ly/i/1VfK

RT @piyush_veere: Oh no no... clouds r moving away into west. someone stop them plz :( - @weatherofindia

Cyclone "03 A - Phet" ...Update # 16... Invisible now ... http://ow.ly/1UsR3

Cyclone "03 A - Phet" ...Update # 16... Invisible now

JTWC warning
-------------------------

050900Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 61.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (PHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM
WEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN 
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE DEEPEST 
CONVECTION SHEARED 52 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. 
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 03A IS LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (VWS). TC PHET IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE EASTWARD AS IT 
INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. DUE TO THE HIGH VWS, 
TC 03A IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE BY TAU 24, BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR KARACHI. THIS 
FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NUMERICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 20 FEET.

IMD warning
-------------------------------
ARB 02/2010/39                                                                                                      Dated: 05.06.2010
Time of issue: 1730 hours IST

Sub: Cyclonic storm, ‘PHET’ over northwest Arabian Sea

            The cyclonic storm, “PHET” over northwest Arabian Sea off Makaran coast  remained practically stationary and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 5th June 2010 near lat. 24.50N and long. 61.00E, about 120 km southwest of Jiwani (Pakistan),  600 km west-southwest of Karachi (Pakistan), 300 km northeast of Sur (Oman) and 800 km west-northwest of Naliya (Kutch, Gujarat).
           
            The system would weaken further and move east-northeastwards and cross Pakistan coast near 64.0ºE by tomorrow forenoon, the 06 June 2010.
Fairly widespread rainfall would occur over Saurashtra & Kutch during next 36 hrs. Squally winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting 60 kmph would occur along and off north Gujarat coast during next 12 hours. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off north Gujarat coast and adjoining north Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea off this coast.

JTWC projected path
-------------------------------

Satellite shot at 5:30pm IST
-----------------------------------------

RT @KashmirWebNews: 2 die in lightning, toll 11 in Kashmir ... http://bit.ly/big5mR

RT @piyush_veere: Yes guys this is the sun,playing with clouds,at patna,india,5th june,5:50pm. @weatherofindia ... http://ping.fm/57s0P

RT @piyush_veere: http://ping.fm/2knxL - Patna - grey clouds r covering us,sun is hidden.Will we get a thunderstorm today ? (5:46pm)

RT @piyush_veere: @weatherofindia - Patna,5th june,3:40pm.. i can feel a duststorm rising. I hope it ends into a thunderstorm,if it comes.

4-Jun-2010, Cyclone "Phet" .. over Oman.. good satellite image ... http://ow.ly/1Urn0

Cyclone "Phet" .. over Oman.. good satellite image

4-Jun-2010

Once a powerful Category 4 storm, Cyclone Phet had weakened to a Category 3 storm by the time it came ashore over Oman on June 4, 2010. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite acquired this photo-like image of the storm at 10:40 a.m. local time on June 4. By that time, Phet had degraded into a Category 1 storm with winds of about 75 knots (140 kilometers per hour or 86 miles per hour).
The storm’s swirling clouds cover most of northern Oman and all of the Gulf of Oman in this image. Though it is partially over land, the storm maintains a distinctive spiraling shape. In its northward trek over the Arabian Sea, Cyclone Phet gave Oman a glancing blow, cutting across the northeast edge of the country. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecast that the storm would re-emerge over the Gulf of Oman late on June 4 or early June 5, and move east towards Karachi, Pakistan, as a tropical storm.
According to news reports, Phet flooded Oman’s capital city, Masqat, but had not caused any casualties as of June 4.
The large image is the highest-resolution version of the image. The image is available in additional resolutions from the MODIS Rapid Response Team.

Monsoon showers over kerala will pickup from Sunday (6-Jun) evening... http://ow.ly/i/1V7I

RT @dotcompals: India Photo Blog IMG_8497 [Flickr] http://goo.gl/fb/l7QWd rain kerala monsoon firstrain

RT @piyush_veere: http://ping.fm/EuGKE - 36.8 degrees...our situation...it is room temperature right now at Patna. :( @weatherofindia

Rainfall data from 1-Jan-2010 to 4-Jun-2010 (updated)... http://ow.ly/1Ur5G

Rainfall data from 1-Jan-2010 to 4-Jun-2010

India toppers from 1.1.10 to 04.06.10
———————————–—————–
Cherrapunji 520 cm
Silchar 168 cm
Passighat 161 cm
Dhubri 126 cm
Dibrugarh 125 cm
Gangtok 125 cm
Itanagar 124 cm
North Lakhimpur 113 cm
Coochbehar 98 cm
Guwahati 98 cm
Lengpui 88 cm

TN toppers from 1.1.10 to 04.06.10
—————————————————— 
Pechiparai (Kanyakumari dt) – 60 cm
Kuzhithurai (Kanyakumari dt) – 49 cm
Thalli (Krishnagiri dt) – 40 cm
Kodaikanal (Dindigul dt)– 36 cm
Thuckalay (Kanyakumari dt) – 34 cm
Boothapandi (Kanyakumari dt) – 31 cm



Cyclone "Laila" toppers
----------------------------------
Addanki - 522 mm, 
Maddipadu - 510 mm 
Kothapatnam - 258 mm on May 21.
Ongole -  320 mm on May 20.


posted by Pradeep

Monsoon winds will re-group along Kerala from 8-Jun... http://ow.ly/i/1V6b

1:30pm, we have signs of S-W monsoon re-grouping over Maldives.. convective clouds can be seen from Morning.. http://ow.ly/i/1V69

Rs 63 crore spent on pre-monsoon ritual ... http://ow.ly/1UqQu

Cyclone "Phet" has lost its Wind speed, rains and cloud mass... Now its a "Invisible" Deep depression.. http://ow.ly/i/1V5a

Update of Cyclone "Phet" @12pm IST ... http://ow.ly/1UqNN

Chennai - Wind is from West-North-West. No sea breeze yet... so the temp. will keep on rising..!!!

Chennai - Overnight got a mild shower.. Nungambakkam -1.4cm and Airport - 1mm... And temp. now 1:52pm is peaking at 38.6°C and rising.

Monsoon to reach Mumbai on June 11 ... http://ow.ly/1UqLm

Update of Cyclone "Phet" @12pm IST

Update of..:
What cyclone? Where's the cyclone?At 996 mb,its no longer a cyclone.And where's the rain?Image of at 12 noon on Saturday.
Heading East, the system is fizzling out fast and rapidly.On entering North India as a low, it will precipitate some rain in the regions of Rajasthan, Punjab and Delhi by tomorrow.

What about the Monsoon? No change in our previous discussions and estimates. A sort of "cooling off" and "Re-Organisation" period is required,as the system will pass as a mini W.D. thru the Northern regions of the Sub-Continent.

This "waiting period" could be till 9th. June at the most for the west coast, North of Karnataka. Kerala should see the start of the revival from 8th.June. The forecasted wind direction for the 9th. June, raises the hopes of a revival by then.The Monsoon current, on gaining momentum by then, should progress into Karnataka and Goa by the 8th. and Mumbai by 10th. June.

No change in Mumbai Forecast: Increase in rains after the Monsoon arrives on 10th. June. (As per the sequence of events today).
 

Cyclone "Phet" .. update 15... Now again in open sea... and heading East... http://ow.ly/1UppM

Cyclone "03 A - Phet" ...Update # 15.. Now again in open Sea.

JTWC Warning
----------------------------

050300Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 60.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (PHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM
WEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 65 NM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A 042157Z 
AMSR-E 36V GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS A WEAKENING LLCC WITH MULTIPLE SHALLOW
CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) AXIS UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THERE
IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE LATEST POSITION AND MOTION BASED ON THE
EXPOSED LLCC. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE PGTW
CI (45 KNOTS). TC 03A HAS FINALLY CRESTED THE STR AXIS AND IS
FORECAST TO ACCELERATE EASTWARD AS IT ENTERS THE MIDLATITUDE
WESTERLY FLOW. TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AND WILL DISSIPATE AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NEAR KARACHI. MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 22 FEET.

JTWC projected path
---------------------------

Satellite shot
--------------------
Phet lost almost 70% of its cloud mass and shape.
It'll re-build on its way East over open sea.

Cyclone "Phet" .. pictures from Oman.. 1st landfall

Saturday, June 05, 2010

Active "Phet".

Pics just recieved from Oman and Muscat. Taken yesterday and last night.

More pics on blog.