Monday, January 31, 2011
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Friday, January 28, 2011
Thursday, January 27, 2011
It might have been even higher, but the rainfall gauge overflowed on January 11, before the Bureau's observer was able to check the gauge. The observer recorded 388.6mm for that day. The previous best was at another Kimberley site, Roebuck Plains, in January 1917, when 132.7mm fell. Kuri Bay's previous best was 1144.9mm in January 1974. This month's total is more than three times the 407.4mm January average for Kuri Bay.
WA regional climate services manager Glenn Cook said the record-breaking total was due to the monsoon season in a La Nina weather pattern year, and warmer than average waters off the north coast. However, Kuri Bay, and WA, have some way to go to match the Australian record, a whopping 5387mm, or more than 5 metres, at Bellenden Ker, Queensland, in January 1979.
Bellenden Ker records an annual average rainfall of 8,312 mm (327.2 in), making it the wettest meteorological station in Australia. It also holds the record for the highest rainfall in a calendar year of 12,461 mm (490.6 in) in 2000 and the highest rainfall in Australia for a calendar month of 5,387 mm (212.1 in) in January 1979.In 2006, Bellenden Ker received rainfall, 9,800 mm (390 in) than any other part of Australia. This was primarily due to two severe tropical cyclones passing close to the mountain.
JEDDAH: In just three hours Wednesday morning Jeddah was inundated with 111 millimeters of rain, the King Abdulaziz University's (KAU) Meteorology Department said. Mansour Al-Mazrouie, head of the department, said Wednesday's volume of rainfall exceeded the 90 mm recorded in four hours during the Nov. 25, 2009 flash floods that killed at least 123 people and damaged thousands of vehicles and homes.
The average amount of rain during the winter months (November to January) is about 51 mm. He said what Jeddah is presently witnessing is due to climate change. As of Wednesday afternoon, reports of three electrocuted teens, hundreds of stranded students and a broken dam were pouring in from different parts of the city. Civil Defense officials, however, said there were yet no reports of any deaths related to the flooding.
Eyewitnesses told Arab News that East Jeddah was swamped and floodwater was rushing west toward the Red Sea, turning streets into rivers once again. Witnesses say Um Al-Khair dam has been breached, flooding nearby neighborhoods. Water in Al-Hamra district was waist-deep in some places and some schools were keeping students from leaving. The heavy downpour did not begin until after students went to class where they are currently taking end-of-semester exams.
Unconfirmed reports came in saying three female students were electrocuted at KAU. It was not immediately clear if any of the young women were killed in the accident. Palestine Street, Madinah Road and Wali Al-Ahad Street were either flooded or jammed with traffic. Cars were seen floating in some places. Three hundred students at Dar Al-Hekma were still held up inside the college. At Effat College the situation was the same. Civil Defense advised tudents not to leave the premises and wait till the floods subside. Civil Defense officials, meanwhile, urged the public to stay home if there was no urgency to venture outside.
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
“Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline.”A study published by the website http://carsandpeople.sdsu.edu/ from San Diego State University goes so far to calculate one car is of 18 human equivalents. Accordingly, if Genghis Khan killed 40 million people, this is tantamount to 2,222,222 Genghis Khan Equivalents! Put simply, Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline!
The study claimed that the Mongol invasion scrubbed off nearly 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere, cooling the planet as it roughly equals the amount of carbon global society now produces annually from gasoline. Climate Depot blog further reported that the study concluded:
“Over the course of the century and a half run of the Mongol Empire, about 22 percent of the world's total land area had been conquered and an estimated 40 million people were slaughtered by the horse-driven, bow-wielding hordes. Depopulation over such a large swath of land meant that countless numbers of cultivated fields eventually returned to forests.
In other words, one effect of Genghis Khan's unrelenting invasion was widespread reforestation, and the re-growth of those forests meant that more carbon could be absorbed from the atmosphere...the longevity of the Mongol invasion made it stand out as having the biggest impact on the world's climate."
Last year's transition from El Nino to La Nina was about the most sudden ever, according to Dr Tony Barnston, Chief Forecaster, International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University.
Rapid flips like this in the past have ended up precipitating a two-year La Nina, such as right after the El Nino episodes of 1972-73 and 1997-98.
The likelihood of this happening with the current La Nina is unknown, Dr Barnston says.
The term La Nina refers to a period of cooler-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean that occurs as part of natural climate variability.
La Nina has been found to correlate well with a reasonably good concurrent Indian monsoon, though without any direct cause-effect relationship.
This situation is roughly the opposite of what happens during El Nino events, when waters in above-mentioned Pacific region are warmer-than-normal.
A strong El Nino, as witnessed during 2009, has correspondingly been associated with dry or drought conditions in India, but with honourable exceptions as in 1997.
Both are part of a larger climate cycle known as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO.
“Even if we do have a second year of La Nina developing in northern hemisphere summer 2011, we expect at least a brief return to neutral conditions from May to July of 2011,” he added.
Based on current observations and on predictions from models, the IRI sees at least a 90 per cent chance that La Nina conditions will continue through March 2011.
Because the Pacific is the largest ocean on the planet, any significant changes in average conditions there, such as those that occur during La Nina or El Nino, can have consequences for temperature, rainfall and vegetation in faraway places.
Once developed, La Nina conditions typically persist for 9-12 months, peaking sometime during November, December, or January.
But 2010 was an interesting and lively year for climate scientists, the IRI recalls.
For the first four months of this year, El Nino conditions prevailed in the tropical Pacific, but that quickly changed, and by June, a La Nina pattern had emerged.
Since 1950, the world experienced six major La Niña events, which were linked to widespread flooding in some areas.
What La Niña does is increase the likelihood that certain areas will get above-normal or below-normal rainfall. Hence, it can be associated with droughts as well.
It keeps east Africa drier-than-usual, sparking food-security concerns in areas lacking irrigation, including parts of Somalia, Kenya, Ethiopia and Tanzania.
Areas in southeastern South America, central southwest Asia, and the southern US may also see lower-than-normal rainfall for the first quarter of 2011.
But La Nina probably isn't to blame for the recent flooding in southeastern Brazil, says Dr Barnston.
The more likely culprit there was a pocket of above-average sea-surface temperatures in the southwest Atlantic that promoted low atmospheric pressure and an increased tendency for heavy rainfall, he says.
Monday, January 24, 2011
The US National Aeronautical and Space Administration (Nasa) has termed as ‘deadly' the 2010-11 winter bearing down on north India.
The cold even reached the city of Agra, where the mercury plunged to only one degree above freezing, Nasa said in a recent report.
Northern parts of the country have been chilled by the cold wave that prompted officials to distribute blankets and firewood to those in the usually temperate region but without adequate shelter.
An image taken by Nasa's Terra satellite on January 14 showed a dense haze stretching from the foothills of the Himalayas southward into the metropolitan areas of New Delhi, Lucknow, Patna and Kolkata.
The haze was due to a combination of cold-weather fog thinning during the daytime, burning of wood and other fuels to battle the chill as well as farmers setting agricultural burns typical of the season.
The ensuing smoke reduced visibility caused extensive disruption to rail, road and air transportation across the region over the past three weeks.
Meanwhile, the Nasa report coincided with the latest national agro-met advisory bulletin brought out by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) that called on farmers to arrange for more smoking around the field to prevent the crops from cold/frost injury.
Minimum temperatures have been below normal by 3 to 5 deg Celsius over parts of Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand and interior Orissa, the IMD report said.
Farmers in these regions have also been advised to apply light and frequent irrigation to the standing crops.
In Telangana and Rayalaseema in peninsular India, the nurseries of vegetables may be covered with polythene sheet to protect seedlings from cold/frost injury.
But low temperature conditions prevailing in Punjab and Uttar Pradesh are favourable for the wheat crop which is at tillering stage.
However, frost damage of potato has been reported in parts of Uttarakhand.
Frost has been reported also from Malwa plateau in Madhya Pradesh.
The bulletin advised farmers to apply light and frequent irrigation to standing crops and arrange for smoking around the field.
Nurseries of the vegetable crops are particularly vulnerable and should be protected by covering with plastic sheets.
Taking the advantage of mostly dry weather in several parts of the country, farmers were advised to adopt intercultural operation to the crops followed by irrigation.
As the maize crop is sensitive to moisture and nutrients, stress irrigation and nutrient management have been advised for better yields and to help the cob attain full length with good quality grains.
Tomato may be adversely affected due to frost in Meghalaya and needs irrigation.
Early harvesting may also be useful in saving the crop, the bulletin said.
Crops are in good condition in southern States of the country. However, given lack of any significant rain, irrigation may be applied to the standing crops to ensure good harvest.
Saturday, January 22, 2011
The paper's lead author was U R Rao, former chairman of Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and was released by Jairam Ramesh himself. Analyzing the data between 1960 and 2005, Rao found that lesser GCRs were reaching the earth due to increase in solar magnetic field and thereby leading to increase in global warming. Says the paper:
“We conclude that the contribution to climate change due to the change in galactic cosmic ray intensity is quite significant and needs to be factored into the prediction of global warming and its effect on sea level raise and weather prediction.”
“There is a groupthink in climate science today. Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists,” he said. “Climate science is incredibly more complex than [developed countries] negotiators make it out to be… Climate science should not be driven by the West. We should not always be dependent on outside reports.”
Friday, January 21, 2011
Pradesh, isolated rainfall occurred over SubHimalyan Bengal and Sikkim
Secondary low (to W.D.) formed on the Rajasthan/Pakistan border, larger portion into Sindh. Possibility of cloudy weather in South Rajasthan and light rain in some areas on 21/22.
An Easterly wave may get some momentum in the Bay and move towards Sri Lanka. Possibility of precipitation nearing Eastern Sri Lanka by Monday,24th.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
The annual total rainfall of the district was 1650.9 mm. Similarly at Trincomalee a rainfall of 1030.6 mm. has been received during the same period while its annual rainfall was 1580.1 mm.
This unusual weather pattern can mostly be attributed to the intense La Nina condition prevailing in the tropical Pacific Ocean since April 2010 with similar abnormal weather conditions being observed over various parts of the world such as Australia, Europe, Brazil and Iran etc.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Monday, January 17, 2011
June 2010: Drought in Sri Lanka is your fault; January 2011: Record rain in Sri Lanka is your fault - Tom Nelson
When will NGOs get over their global warming obsession? They can only start making an impact if they track ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) a natural oceanic cycle, in their adaptation and mitigation programmes.
Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/june-2010-drought-in-sri-lanka-is-your.html
U.P, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gujarat and interior Orissa
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Friday, January 14, 2011
Thursday, January 13, 2011
The troubles of Tamil population in East Sri Lanka appears never ending. The heaviest rain in 18 years flooded Sri Lanka left about 11 dead. Mudslides caused by heavy rains and floods in Sri Lanka have additionally killed around ten people. These floods were especially bad news for people in the east, who in recent years have also endured a civil war and a tsunami. The Disaster Management Center said more than 1 million becoming homeless.
As humanitarian agencies get ready to swing into action, we hope that this post will provide a preliminary insight on the scale and challenges of the response and also what climatic factors is responsible for nightmarish floods simultaneously in Australia, Brazil and Sri Lanka.
Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/sri-lanka-faces-la-ninas-wrath.html
The airport, the Bruce Highway, and large swaths of Rockhampton, Australia, remained under water on January 9, 2011. Days of rain pushed the Fitzroy River over its banks, inundating parts of the city near the Queensland coast. Damage to the Bruce Highway was not confined to Rockhampton, as ABC News Australia reported other parts of the highway were expected to remain under water for some time.
In this image, acquired by the Advanced Land Imager (ALI) on NASA’s Earth Observing-1 (EO-1) satellite on January 9, 2011, isolated islands of cityscape poke through murky brown flood waters. The Fitzroy River cuts through the upper right quadrant of the image and, just west of the river, relatively high land remains above the flood.
Rockhampton was just one of many Australian communities reeling from floods. Farmers along the Sunshine Coast were stranded by high waters that washed out roads. Authorities in Brisbane, Australia’s third-largest city, told residents to evacuate in anticipation of the worst flooding in several decades.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Heavy rains forced 120,000 people out of their homes in Sri Lanka, the Associated Press reported on January 11, 2011. Sri Lanka’s government stated that the death toll from flooding had risen to 13, and officials were arranging food drops to hardest-hit areas in the east.
This color-coded image shows rainfall amounts over Sri Lanka and the Bay of Bengal from January 3–9. The heaviest rainfall appears in dark blue, and the lightest rainfall appears in light green. The heaviest precipitation is concentrated over eastern Sri Lanka.
This image is based on data from the Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis produced at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, which estimates rainfall by combining measurements from many satellites and calibrating them using rainfall measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite.
So you may ask, why a photo of the popular Jack Nicholson movie “One flew over Cuckoo’s Nest”?
For the last 3 years, the Met Office consistently predicted barbeque summers and milder winters to end up with mud on their faces. Last year, despite their winter forecast turning wrong, the Met Office still believed that cold winters will become rare:
"The winter so far has been one of the coldest for nearly 30 years in Britain, but such icy weather was more common in centuries past and should become even rarer going forward."This year too they had been reduced to a laughing stock when their current winter forecast proved a failure - the third in successive years. But now they are fighting for their credibility by claiming that they informed the British government in late October this year of the possibility of a very cold winter, which is great if true. The problem is that they feed the BBC and the general public a contrary forecast - you guessed it, milder winter. The Met Office is the official weather agency for the BBC, so why this duplicity?
Once this story broke out, the BBC got so enraged that they filed a Freedom of Information request that pitted the BBC, Met Office and UK government one against the other. Public opinion within UK is growing to institute a parliamentary probe on this matter. The global warming propaganda machine of the UK is finally beginning to get unstuck. And once it does, it will be to the utter embarrassment of NGOs and environmental organizations that tout themselves as Climate Justice Movement!
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Record floods in 1893 dumped the gunship Paluma on the Brisbane Botanical Gardens, while in 1974, a torrent killed 16 people and inundated a third of the city's metropolitan area. The severe flooding threatening the state capital comes after almost one month of flooding across Queensland that now covers an area the size of France and Germany combined and could cost more than $10bn (£6.3 billion).
Government meteorologists have said that the flash flooding was almost impossible to predict. According to Anthropological Global Warming, they can't as the science is fraudulent. But climate sceptics using solar techniques have. Piers Corbyn of Weather Action, riding a wave of successful forecast this season, is one of them. Here's the forecast of the Australian floods
Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/brisbane-worst-floods-in-century.html