El Nino - " likely rain deficit expected in West and North-West during this S-W Monsoon " ...  http://ow.ly/vhGcY

 April: 

Rain deficit indicated for south peninsular India; East India; northern parts (Jammu and Kashmir) of North-West India

Limited gains in central parts of North-West India (Delhi, Haryana and neighbourhood)

May: 

Rain deficit indicated for Central India; North-West India; East India

Rain surplus in south peninsular India; parts of Saurashtra; East of Jammu and Kashmir

June: 

Rain deficit indicated for entire Central India; East India (Bihar and parts of adjoining Uttar Pradesh)

Rain surplus in South peninsular India (Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Rayalaseema); West Rajasthan; Gangetic West Bengal; limited gains for North-West India

July: 

Rain deficit indicated for the entire North-Western quarter (North-West and adjoining Central India); South peninsular India; and North-East India

Rain surplus in East India (Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh, Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh)

August: 

Rain deficit indicated for North-West India and South peninsular India

Rain surplus in Central and East India (Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab)

September: 

Rain deficit indicated for West (Gujarat) and North-West India

Rain surplus in South peninsular India; parts of East India

Taken from http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/

Today, a low-level circulation is seen over Mouth of S Bay, just below 5th parallel ... expected to drift West in next 2/3 days !
This circulation is expected to drift West and pass South of Kanyakumari on 5/6-Apr ... http://ow.ly/i/55Jte .. http://ow.ly/i/55Juv 

Due to this system, GFS model expects scattered rain for S Tamilnadu from 5-Apr.
But WRF model suggests rain from 3-Apr for this zone !

Cloudy skies can be expected for N,N-W,Central Tamilnadu from 3 / 4-Apr !! 
More on this tomorrow !

Low-level circulation persists over N chatisgarh and it's trough seen South upto S Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/55IHh 

In 18hrs, a good low-level circulation is expected over N,N-central Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/55INM 
On 2,3-Apr, a good low-level circulation is expected over Jharkhand and Bengal .. http://ow.ly/i/55IVs 

5:30pm, As expected, showers seen along trough line from N Chatisgarh to W Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/55J2p 
5:30pm, Showers seen over S-central,central Karnataka, W Andhra, S-central Odisha and into N Odisha, S Jharkhand.. http://ow.ly/i/55J2p
These showers were forecast perfectly by Yesterday's WRF model !

As long as the trough from N Chatisgarh to S Tamilnadu persists... more rain ahead for S,S-central Karnataka, W,central, N,N-E Andhra.
During next 2 days, more rain ahead for S,central,N,N-E Odisha, S Chatisgarh and along W-ghats of Kerala, Tamilnadu

A weak W.D trough is nearing N,N-W India... now affecting W Pakistan ... http://ow.ly/i/55Hhk 
This W.D is expected to affect N,N-W,N-central India on mid-morning, noon of Wednesday ... http://ow.ly/i/55Hm4 

Tomorrow, moderate, scattered rain expected over Kashmir, Himachal, N,central Punjab and some zones of Haryana.. http://ow.ly/i/55HrB 
Next, moderate W.D system is expected to reach N,N-W India on 5-Apr !!

#HOT Odisha, Yesterday, 31-Mar-2014, Titlagarh and Bhawanipatna = 42 C

1pm, today's #HOT contenders ...
Hyderabad, Nagpur  = 39 C
Chennai = 38 C
Bangalore = 37 C
Ahmedabad = 36 C
Kolkata = 35 C