94A slowly intensifying, NE monsoon showers are near for Tamilnadu, S-coast Andhra

3pm, 94A over S Arabian sea is slowly getting a shape, while 93B over SW Bay remains as circulation ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dYwIc.jpg

Present location of 94A is 7.2N, 66E.
Pressure around 1004mb.
Winds gusting to 45 kmph.

94A is expected to intensify into a Cyclone in next 2/3 days and drift N-W and then W-N-W towards Oman / Yemen coast .

Easterlies over Bay is nearing Tamilnadu coast and S Andhra coast.
Heavy / moderate rain expected from mid-morning or afternoon of 27-Oct
Heavy / Moderate rain for N,central coast #Tamilnadu , #Chennai , and S-coast #Andhra from noon/ evening of 27-Oct .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dYAfk.jpg

By midnight of 27-Oct... NE #Monsoon will be over S-coast Andhra and Tamilnadu coast !

October 26, 2015 at 12:48AM

25-Oct, 7:45pm, Malout , SW Punjab got T shower due to WD. #weather

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October 26, 2015 at 12:43AM

Badlapur - 25-Oct, 3pm to 5pm got good electric shower. #weather

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Strong WD system to give rain for Delhi, W,central Uttarpradesh, Punjab, Haryana

A mid,upper-level WD trough is affecting N,N-W India now ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXN4a.jpg

The upper-level WD trough can be seen along NW India dipping South upto 21/20N.
This WD trough is expected to drop a strong circulation in next 36hrs over central Pakistan and will move East into #India.
The WD trough and circulation is expected to drift east across N,N-central India during next 3/4 days... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXNj3.jpg

Before Wednesday... scattered heavy / moderate rain for Kashmir, Punjab, N,N-E Rajasthan, Haryana, Himachal, W Uttarpradesh.
Good chance of moderate rain for #Delhi on Tuesday and Wednesday.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXNtR.jpg

Scattered T showers will push into W,central Uttarpradesh and N,N-E Madhyapradesh from Tuesday evening into Wednesday, Thursday !

The twins - 93B and 94A. NE monsoon to reach Tamilnadu coast on 27-Oct

Now, both circulations, LOW are tracked.. S Arabian sea - 94A and SW Bay - 93B... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXqm1.jpg

Present position and Pressure of two systems..
94A - 6.5N, 64.4E, 1007mb
93B - 6.2N, 82.5E, 1007mb

10pm, Satellite IR shows heavy convective activity All along 5th to 10th parallel from S Arabian sea to S,S-E Bay.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg
10pm, Due to WD, scattered rain seen over Punjab, Kashmir and N Himachal... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg

Now, the forecast for both 94A and 93B is getting 75% clear.
Models expect the 94A to become Cyclone and drift W-N-W in next 3/4 days.
While, the SW Bay LOW is not expected to intensify, instead it'll get embedded with the upcoming easterly trough.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKPb.jpg

As of now, the easterly wave has reached upto central Bay... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKVn.jpg
This easterly wave is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast, S-coast Andhra on morning/noon of 27-Oct.. launching NE monsoon along coast ! 
Heavy/moderate rain to start for S-coast #Andhra, #Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai from noon/evening of 27-Oct.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXLtz.jpg

If 94A intensifies into Cyclone and drifts W-N-W then pull effect can give more rain for Tamilnadu coast and Andhra coast after wednesday.

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Monday morning and before 3pm...
light / moderate rain possible along N-E,N-coast,SE-coast,S Tamilnadu and #Chennai.

On 25-Oct, N,W,NW zones of Maharastra got good T showers.
This is expected on Monday afternoon as well .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXMFJ.jpg