By morning "03B" will be just a circulation. Still heavy rain possible for s.coast andhra, Chennai and n.TN
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
11pm, "03B" has weakened even more in past 6hrs at the same location. Now almost no convective activity seen.
RT @akaasi: Heavy downpour along GST rd Perambalur dist, Tamilnadu @weatherofindia 10:15pm
RT @akaasi: Steady drizzle at thittakkudi kadalur dist, Tamilnadu @weatherofindia 10:05pm
Moved S-W during the past 12hrs.
Moving slowly to as it is expected with a LOW system.
Pressure is still around 1004mb.
Winds upto 45km/hr.
Landfall of the system is expected near Chennai in another 18 to 24hrs.
Heavy Rains with Winds gusts expected along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast within next 12hrs.
At 6pm, Some convective activity can be seen popping along N-N-W, N-E and East of Chennai.
It still maintains a circulation with good convective activity over N,N-E quadrant.
Convective activity over W,S,S-E quadrant are calm at this time.. expected to erupt again towards night today.
From tonight, Heavy Showers with winds upto 40 / 50km/hr expected along S,central.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast... Some showers are already seen along Central Andhra coast.
Showers for S.Tamilnadu & S.Kerala to continue for next 3 days.
Position plot on map as of 5:30am IST.
Pressure is at around 1004mb so it's a LOW pressure system.
8:30am, Satellite shot shows.. Deep convective activity from 17th parallel in North to south upto 11th parallel, this shows the elongation of the circulation.
NOGAPS and COLA model predicts that "03B" will make landfall along Chennai by early hrs of 22-Nov.
Isolated Very Heavy rainfall can also be expected along these zones tomorrow.
Wind gusts also predicted upto 40 or 50km/hr along these zones.