Sunday, July 29, 2012

Outlook For next 3 days, Monday, 30th July, Tuesday, 31st July and Wednesday 1st August:
Not a very august begining for the month...I do not know if I have got my basics right, but i see a break monsoon condition for Central, Western, Southern and peninsula India from Wednesday, 1st August.

Monday: Axis remains in the current position, along Northern Rajasthan/North MP/UP and W.Bengal....with the UAC weakening over N.Rajasthan. Embedded UAC over Up keeps the region active. Eastern off shore trough remains intact.
Heavy rainfall in the region where the 3 states of AP/Maharashtra/Chattisgarh merge. Some locations can get upto 100 mms in 24 hrs.The region around this area gets heavy rains, with Nagpur seeing some convective and heavy showers Monday and more in the night.
Konkan sees it usual medium rains, with precipitation measuring between 20-40 mms at some stations along the coastal belt.

Tuesday and Wednesday: MJO in our seas enters into a weak phase.
The axis shifts Northwards towards UP and Utteranchal. touching foothills of Himalayas by Wednesday.
Delhi NCR could see precipitation on Wednesday evening as the rains approach the adjoining Utteranchal regions. Increase in rainfall over Central Nepal as rainfall rushes to Utteranchal and adjoining UP.
We see rains decreasing from Chattisgarh/Vidharbha and Northern AP areas.
Further decrease in Konkan from Monday levels by Wednesday.
South,(Interior Karnataka and TN) the usual sporadic showers (some convective) and in very isolated pockets.
No meaningfull increase in intensity in Gujarat and rest interior Maharashtra.

citywise forecast on vagaries.
Heavy rains to continue for W,N-W,N.Madhyapradesh, E.Rajasthan for another 24hrs..

Showers along Maharastra coast will increase slightly from tomorrow till 1-Aug and then reduce again..

Rains over central, E.India will go down drastically from 31-Jul.. and continue till 3/4-Aug..

Some rains may linger over N,N-W.Uttarpradesh, Uttarakand and into Himachal untill 3/4-Aug... 
RT @kavismusings: Blinding rain.  Mumbai-Pune Highway. (5:14pm)
Offshore trough along S-W coast persists but weak.. and will continue till 1-Aug..

Today, the low level circulation can be seen over N-N-E.Madhyapradesh and it's extension can be seen upto Jharkand..

Today, the upper level circulation is over central.Chatisgarh ..

The UAC is expected to move slightly to West and vanish over S.Madhyapradesh & N.Maharastra in another 48hrs..

A fresh UAC over S.Gujarat may pop on 31-Jul and vanish in 24hrs ..

The low level circulation is also expected to vanish in more or less the same zone, N,N-E.Madhyapradesh in 24 to 48hrs.. 
After 6pm, High Vertical.V seen over N,N-E.Tamilnadu, S.Andhra and #chennai.. T.showers possible before 2am in this zone

Till tomorrow noon, Vertical.V is high over Central,E-central India, and over N-E.Rajasthan.. more showers expected.. 
5:30pm, Heavy rains over E,N-E.Rajasthan, N,E.Madhyapradesh, N.Chatisgarh, and into Jharkand ..

6:30pm, N.Bay is very active .. 
RT @samrat_indian: @weatherofindia pouring heavily from last 30 mins at barrackpore, 23 km from kolkata (12:22pm)

#chennai - 6:15pm, a sharp shower passed thru Tambaram and Tambaram W-S-W zone. Now it has moved into sea.

London Olympics bracing for rain & hail just as Piers Corbyn, Weather Action predicted

This is part of our continuous coverage of the on-going duel between the UK Met Office and Piers Corbyn on the accuracy of their weather forecasts during the Olympics.
London has seen its warmest week of the year leading up to the start of the Olympics, but is the warm weather here to stay or will the Olympics be a complete washout?

The UK Met Office promises dry and shiny weather all through the Olympics while we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy.
Read more:   
Also read our related posts: Click the Title to Read

London Olympics Weather Forecasting Duel: UK Met office and Piers Corbyn ties 1-1

Will rain washout the London Olympic Opening Ceremony? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn