Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Weather analysis, forecast at 11pm, 16-Jul

Today morning analysis showed that low level circulation is seen over N-N-W Bay along Odisha coast.

Latest analysis show that the low level circulation is seen over S.Chatisgarh, E.Maharastra and over S.Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/2COnY 

Today, the upper level circulation is seen over N-E.Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/2COuN 

During next 2 days, the low level circulation is expected to persist over Chatisgarh and Jharkhand ... http://ow.ly/i/2COzL 

On 20-Jul, N-N-W Bay is expected to pop another circulation !! along with the existing one over Jharkhand,Bihar, E.Uttarpradesh.

With these circulations a LOW is seen over N-N-W.Bay and this is expected to deepen, drift into N.Odisha, S-W.Bengal http://ow.ly/i/2CORX 

Meanwhile the upper level circulation is expected to persist along N-E.Andhra and may drift into N.Odisha coast on 18-Jul.

During next 48hrs, High vorticity seen along S.Maharastra coast... and good offshore trough expected along S,central.Maharastra coast.

Rainfall forecast ::
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
In 24hrs, Heavy rain expected for E,N,N-E.Maharastra, S,central.Chatisgarh ... http://ow.ly/i/2CPe1 

Scattered rain expected for most of Madhyapradesh, E,N-E,S-E.Gujarat, S-E.Rajasthan, N,central.Chatisrgah and Jharkhand,Odisha for 2 days

On Friday, HEAVY and widespread expected for N,N-E.Madhyapradesh, central,E.Uttarpradesh, Chatisgarh, Bihar, Jharkand http://ow.ly/i/2CPnv 

In next 18hrs, Heavy rain expected for N.Maharastra coast, S,S-E.Gujarat coast .

During next 3 days, scattered rain for S.Maharastra coast, Karnataka coast, Goa and N,central Kerala to continue .

During next 2 days, No respite seen for showers over N.Bengal, Sikkim and central,N zones of N-E states.

#Delhi - to get more rain from 19-Jul... for 3 days.

#Kolkata - medium intensity rain expected till 20-Jul..and increase after that.

#Mumbai - No real spike in showers expected for city during next 3 days. Scattered medium intensity rain expected on a daily basis.

#Mumbai - during next 24hrs, there's a good chance of widespread intermittent rain.
#Chennai - 10:25pm, some scatterd low intensity showers are expected to push into N-W,W suburbs of city during next 1hr.

Weather update from around India

#Chennai - After yesterday evening, late evening T.shower.. today it was fully covered with a high cloud cover. Towards evening it was humid

High Intensity rain of 64mm/hr has been recorded from 16:45 to 17:00 at CHIKKA JALA Hobli in BANGALORE URBAN District http://ow.ly/n1dvr 

Malout - Good rain today from 5pm to 5:20pm... http://ow.ly/i/2CM9N >> Taken from http://ow.ly/n1eFf 

Kolkata - 4pm, "torrential rains through out the city of "... http://ow.ly/n1fTY 

RT @saifarash: 2am - Heavy rain here @ Areekode #Malappuram #Kerala #India #Weather 

RT @iamkanal: @weatherofindia Heavy Rain for last one week. Now Thunder storm.   #Kochi (4:39pm)

RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia its raining in south #delhi (2:49pm)

Satellite IR at 8:30pm

8:30pm, Showers seen over E.Rajasthan, E,N-E.Gujarat, W.Uttarpradesh, most of Madhyapradesh, N,central.Chatisgarh... http://ow.ly/i/2CKZ3 

8:30pm, Heavy rain over N,central.Maharastra, T.shower over N.coast Tamilnadu and HEAVY over most of central,N.Kerala http://ow.ly/i/2CKZ3

torrential rains through out the city of kolkata ,july 16th 2013


In the next 3 days from Tuesday, we see the UAC merging with the Monsoon Axis. But, another Low pops up over Orissa on Friday.
Tuesday, Wed/Thursday, we see nothing very unusual on the rain scene. Moderate to heavy rains will occur along a South shifted Axis. Rainfall will be occurring along  Gujarat/MP/Chattisgarh/Northern Vidarbha and Southern UP line. Also some thunder showers in Southern Haryana and Orissa. 
Heavy rains in Orissa from Thursday.
Uttarakhand and Nepal get heavy rains on Thursday. Kathmandu, as Neeraj informs, is deficient. With 121 mms in July so far, it has to catch up with the July normal of 363 mms.
Days in Kathmandu are at 29c, and nights at 20c. We can expect a slight increase in rains on Wed and Thursday.