Monday, December 07, 2015

Karaikal rain

EXERCISE CAUTION:

         The line squall like convective clouds just intruding from NE direction off  Karaikal coast is evident.  Karaikal, Nagapattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Trichy will be experiencing light intermittent
rainfall with coastal zones may get 65mm or
more rainfall


 

December 07, 2015 at 08:15PM


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December 07, 2015 at 08:08PM


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December 07, 2015 at 08:06PM


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Moderate rain for Chennai on 9,10-Dec. More rain for central,SE-coast Tamilnadu


As of 11:30am, today.. an elongated low-level circulation persists over 6th latitude from Comorin sea to S Srilanka  ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f1UW4.jpg
Latest, a circulation seen over S Arabian sea as well .. http://ow.ly/VzmRt 

In 36hrs, present Comorin sea, SW Bay circulation will fizzle and organized circulation expected over S Arabian sea .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f1VqD.jpg
On 9-Dec, Due to this S Arabian sea circulation a weak easterly will push moisture into Chennai, S Andhra ! http://ow.ly/VznRr 


Chennai - light / moderate passing showers expected on 9,10-Dec.
OR
It'll be cloudy with drizzles only. #chennairains
Chennai - GFS and BBC forecast is the same for Wednesday and Thursday ...  https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f1Xcc.jpg ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f1XeM.jpg

More heavy rain forecast for central,SE-coast Tamilnadu from Chidambaram to Rameswaram during next 2 days.
Scattered T showers will pop over S-tip,S,S-central, South W-ghats Tamilnadu on Tuesday, Wednesday.

DRY and slightly cold nights expected over most of N,central,S-central Tamilnadu and #Chennai from friday night / Saturday, 12-Dec.

December 07, 2015 at 06:38PM


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December 07, 2015 at 06:36PM


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December 07, 2015 at 06:34PM


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December 07, 2015 at 06:32PM


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WD to affect N,NW India from 9-Dec


An upper-level WD trough is expected to reach N,central Pakistan and N,N-W India on night of 8-Dec.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0Y5M.jpg
This WD trough will induce a low-level circulation, trough over NW India (N,NW Rajasthan, S,SW Punjab) on 9-Dec .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0YbU.jpg

Tamilnadu coast to get more Heavy rain till 10-Dec



After a long time.. the upper,low-level moisture has dried up considerably below Chennai latitude .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0U1J.jpg
Yesterday's circulation over Comorin sea persists and expected to persist till 9-Dec... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0UeL.jpg

Less or NO rain forecast for #Chennai , Suburbs from Monday noon to Tuesday evening !
..but HEAVY rain ahead along central Tamilnadu coast from Point Calimere to Chidambaram on Monday, Tuesday.
Scattered Heavy T showers are expected to continue for S,S-central,W, south-W-ghats of Tamilnadu, W-ghats kerala for 3 days.

9-Dec - GFS expects present comorin sea circulation to drift West and pop a better organized one over S Arabian sea .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0UUu.jpg
Due to "expected" S Arabian sea circulation.. the easterlies along Tamilnadu coast will pick speed again due to Pull on 9-Dec.
This Pull effect can "again" cause moderate/heavy rain along central,N-coast Tamilnadu and even for #Chennai on 9,10-Dec !
Latest run of GFS expects DRY winter conditions without "Rain scare" for Tamilnadu coast, Chennai only after friday, 11-Dec.

For Tamilnadu, this is NOT the end of NE-monsoon.
GFS expects another rainy period from 21-Dec !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0W91.jpg

@Chilipili > for 7-Dec
Bangalore - A cloudy day with a possibility of light rain in afternoon.
Mangalore - A good chance of evening T shower