Update on TS 03A:
The depression over Arabian Sea remained practically stationary, but has intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 01st June, 2010, at 15.5°N and 63.5°E about 1050 km southwest of Mumbai. The winds are at 35 Knots and core pressure at 998 Hpa.
This system would intensify rapidly due to the low "aloft" at the rate of 15 Knots /day, into a cyclonic storm and move initially in a northwesterly/ north-northwesterly direction for next 24 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards India/Pakistan border. Re-curving will take effect as fresh western disturbance would affect Northwest India from tomorrow, 2nd. June onwards.
Rainfall effect at present on land is negligible, and will be between 10-20 mms over the Goa and Maharashtra coast from Wednesday, and Gujarat coast and Gujarat interior from Thursday.
Due to the W.D, dust raising winds would intensify over Rajasthan, Delhi and Gujarat during next 2 days.
Seems Gujrat in recent years is receiving excess rains. 2009 monsoons were excees in Gujrat, so where earlier years. While South peninsular India is receving less rain and becoming more dry. Will Bombay be affected by cyclone? We donot wish to see 2005 when 1000mm fell in 24hours!
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