Monday, November 19, 2012
Isolated showers expected for S.Tamilnadu, S.Kerala during next 2/3 days.. may increase after that.
Showers expected along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast from evening of 20-Nov (or) from morning of 21-Nov http://ow.ly/foIms
Showers expected along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast from evening of 20-Nov (or) from morning of 21-Nov http://ow.ly/foIms
"03B" - Stationary, Dry and weakening. Rain expected !
4pm, Latest satellite IR shows some fresh convective activity around the core of "03B".
Positioned almost stationary at 15N, 86E.
IMD warning at 2pm
---------------------------------------
The depression over westcentral Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centred at
0
Under the influence of this system, moderate rainfall would occur at many places over south coastal
Positioned almost stationary at 15N, 86E.
IMD warning at 2pm
---------------------------------------
The depression over westcentral Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centred at
1130 hrs IST of today the 19
th
November 2012 near latitude 15.0
0
N and longitude 86.5
0
E, about 700 km
east-northeast of Chennai and 450 km southeast of Visakhapatnam. The system would move westsouthwestwards towards south Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts and weaken further during
next 24 hours.
Under the influence of this system, moderate rainfall would occur at many places over south coastal
Andhra Pradesh, north coastal Tamilnadu and Puducherry on 20
th
and 21
st
November. Sea condition along
and off Andhra Pradesh coast will be rough during next 24 hours. Fishermen along Andhra Pradesh, north
Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts are advised to be cautious while venturing into sea during next 24 hours
Both NOGAPS and COLA model suggest a S.coastal Andhra landfall as Depression or LOW on noon/evening of 21-Nov.
It may weaken to a LOW over sea itself on 20-Nov.
Showers expected along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast from evening of 20-Nov (or) from morning of 21-Nov.
"03B" is now a DRY Depression
"03B" is now a DRY Depression and have crawled S-W during the past 12hrs.
Now weakening fast.!
10am latest satellite IR shows the circulation with almost NO convective activity. Very rare to see this over Bay and that too this time of year !
JTWC warning at 8:30am IST
---------------------------------------------
Now weakening fast.!
10am latest satellite IR shows the circulation with almost NO convective activity. Very rare to see this over Bay and that too this time of year !
JTWC warning at 8:30am IST
---------------------------------------------
POSITION NEAR 15.2N 86.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 395 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) VOID OF CONVECTION AND RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA NOW SHOWS WIND SPEEDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. AN 182123Z AMSU IMAGE SHOWS DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM AND IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME ELONGATION OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS TC 03B REMAINS IN A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ENVIRONMENT. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS THE SYSTEM IN THIS HIGH VWS ENVIRONMENT, WHICH ALONG WITH THE IMMINENT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, WILL FURTHER DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET.
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