Sunday, December 06, 2015

The system in the Southern Bay moves West next week and embeds in the trough i the Southern Arabian Sea.

A Western Disturbance (D-1) is seen approaching the Northern Pakistan regions around the 9th of December, and moves into Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh on the 9th and 10th, and over the Uttarakhand Hills on the 11th. Snow in middle reaches (Gulmarg and Pahalgam). Possible first snow of the season in Srinagar. Rains in Jammu region.


Medium showers likely in Pak Punjab on the 9th and in Indian Punjab on the 10th.

Drop in night temperatures in Pak punjab plains and Sindh regions of Pakistan from Wednesday night. Gujrat (Pakistan ) may drop to 5c and Karachi can again see below 14c.

Rainfall decreasing considerably in Tami Nadu and Southern Peninsula from Monday 7th.


Cold conditions increase in Plains of Northern Pakistan, Sindh and NW India plains and in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Maharastra from the 10th.


From www.vagaries.in

December 06, 2015 at 11:02PM


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December 06, 2015 at 10:55PM


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December 06, 2015 at 10:54PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:35PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:32PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:28PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:17PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:07PM


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December 06, 2015 at 01:27AM


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December 06, 2015 at 01:25AM


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1:10am, HEAVY convective activity over SW-central Bay, some "will" push to central,N coast Tamilnadu, Chennai .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0hPq.jpg

12:45am, a heavy rain band is approaching N-coast Tamilnadu and South Chennai from SE.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0hw4.jpg
12:45am, already moderate rain seen along Chengelpet to Mahabalipuram zone.

HEAVY rain ahead for N,central-coast Tamilnadu, some for Chennai


Latest, the SW Bay circulation is now over Comorin sea, just South of kanyakumari ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0cRa.jpg
In 36hrs, this circulation is expected to drift West into SE corner Arabian sea and fizzle out over Maldives.


Meanwhile, the Easterlies will be strong upto 13/14 latitude (Chennai) till evening of Monday.
So more rain ahead ! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0djm.jpg
Low,mid-level anti-cyclone is expected to push into central India in next 24hrs... this'll push DRY cold winds South .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0dDN.jpg

#Chennai - On Today (Sunday) and till Monday evening, intermittent moderate / heavy rain expected 
Chennai latitude (13N) is going to be a boundary for dry and moist wind during next 36 hrs, before this dry air pushes South.
One can observe the high pressure contour and dry & moist air boundary along 13 N (or) Chennai latitude .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0gX9.jpg
#ALERT
Chennai - a 40% chance of getting "prolonged" HEAVY rain from noon/evening today to morning of Monday especially for South suburbs.

#Alert
For N,central-coast Tamilnadu upto Karaikal, HEAVY rain will continue on today, Monday, Tuesday !
Scattered HEAVY T shower #Alert for S,S-tip,central Tamilnadu today and on 7-Dec... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0h54.jpg