Monday, October 29, 2007

After that depression, what next?

Chennai recorded 12cm of rain in past 24 hrs, which is good.
So the numerical forecast for 27 & 28th october was correct.
Here is another numeric forecast for 31st october thru 1st november.... signs of another BAY LOW... Lets see

Proved wrong

Just go thru the REPORT & FORECAST published in IMD website (below), and this report would have been published in all local newspapers and even announced in RADIO & TV. Based on these report the Tamilnadu Govenment has announce FULL holiday for schools & colleges on 29-Oct-2007.

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
REGIONAL METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE, 6, COLLEGE ROAD, CHENNAI - 600 006.
REGIONAL DAILY WEATHER REPORT FOR TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY, ANDHRAPRADESH, KARNATAKA, KERALA AND LAKSHADWEEP

SUNDAY, 28TH OCTOBER 2007 / 6TH KARTIKA 1929 (SAKA)

SUMMARY OF OBSERVATIONS RECORDED AT 0830 HRS IST:
Yesterday's low pressure area over Southeast and adjoining Southwest Bay concentrated into a depression and lies centered at 28/0830 IST over Southwest Bay at about 480 kilometres Southeast of Chennai. It is likely to intensify further and move in a West-Northwesterly direction and cross the coast between Puducherry and Kavali by tomorrow evening the 29th October 2007.

North East monsoon has been active over Tamilnadu and Kerala.


But what happened is.... The DEPRESSION crossed tamilnadu coast YESTERDAY (28-Oct-2007) itself, not on the date anounced by IMD (29-Oct-2007, Evening).
We know the reason for this sudden generation of depression and quick crossing into land is due to the tropical cyclone development over the Arabian Sea.

Lots more to come.
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