Wednesday, December 31, 2014
95B has weakened to a Low pressure area and drift N-N-W, now pressure at 1006mb, located at 15.4N , 84.7E.. http://ow.ly/i/876JS
95B has started to fizzle out now. It'll continue to drift North towards Odisha coast as Easterlies trough in 24hrs http://ow.ly/i/87752
4:30pm, very less convective activity seen around 95B, cloudy with drizzle over Odisha, S Bengal, South N-E states http://ow.ly/i/8778p
4:30pm, http://ow.ly/i/8778p ... cloudy with light,moderate rain over Madhyapradesh, N,central Maharastra.
T showers over S Tamilnadu.
Before evening of 1-Jan-2015... showers expected along N,central coast Odisha and into S Bengal !
Wet New year's eve, early hrs for N-W,N,W,central,S Maharastra into S,S-W Madhyapradesh... http://ow.ly/i/877g0
New Year day T showers ...
for N,central,S Tamilnadu.
Some may creep into S,W suburbs of Chennai.
Upper-level W.D trough, low-level W.D circulation over N-E Arabian sea and interaction with easterlies will give rain, hails over Maharastra
Present upper-level W.D trough is seen dipping south upto 19N from N Pakistan. http://ow.ly/i/877LM
It'll drift east and weaken in 48hrs
New Year day..
Moderate rain/hail over S-E Gujarat, N,W,central, S Maharastra, S,W,central Madhyapradesh, N,N-W Andhra, N,N-E Karnataka.
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
95B - during past 12hrs has drifted North and intensified slightly.
Location 12.3N, 83.3E.. http://ow.ly/i/86k1y
95B - expected to drift N,N-N-E during next 24 to 48hrs without much intensification.
Weakening possibility is high http://ow.ly/i/86kde
2pm, Visible shows that 95B has started to drift away from Tamilnadu coast ... http://ow.ly/i/86kj0
Light rain possible for Chennai, N-coast Tamilnadu, S-coast Andhra during next 24hrs.
T showers for S,S-central, W-ghats Tamilnadu on today evening and on 31-Dec.
In the wake of 95B..
Scattered T showers expected to pop over Maharastra, Karnataka, Tamilnadu and Andhra on 1,2-Jan-2015.
1:30pm, Dense FOG still seen over parts of S-W,central Punjab and central,w-central Uttarpradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/86jKp
Today morning, most of N,N-W,N-central India recorded temps below 10 C.
Delhi-AP = 4 C
Udaipur = 3 C
Varanasi = 4 C (-5)
Due to foggy days, most places in N,N-central India recorded a low day temps as well..
Lucknow = 12C (-11)
Amristar = 12C (-7)
Around 3pm, IWM Polichalur recorded a low temp of 21.3 C ... http://ow.ly/Gysdp
Chennai - Polichalur zone got good steady rain from 4:30pm.
12:25am, during past 24hrs, IWM Polichalure has got 62.4mm of rainfall.
95B is now a Well Marked LOW with pressure around 1003/1004mb. It has drifted North and now at 10.2N , 83E ... http://ow.ly/i/85Xh0
11pm, Heavy convective activity near center and over N,N-E,S-E quadrants of "95B"... http://ow.ly/i/85XpK
In next 24hrs, the 95B is expected to drift North upto 13N and then drift N-N-E on 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85XzA
N-N-E movement of 95B is expected due to formation of mid,upper-level W.D trough from N Pakistan dipping South to 20N over N-E Arabian sea
Here's the upper-level chart showing the W.D trough (expected in next 18hrs)... http://ow.ly/i/85XT5
On 31-Dec and 1-Jan-2015, the weakened circulation of 95B is expected to reach S Odisha coast... http://ow.ly/i/85Y15
On 31-Dec, 1-Jan-2015, Heavy showers may push into central,N Odisha coast and into S coast Bengal, Kolkata ... http://ow.ly/i/85Y6T
Is it going to be a rainy NEW YEAR eve and new year day for Bhubaneshwar and Kolkata ??
All depends on LOW 95B's movement today !
Today, moderate rain expected to persist over N coast Tamilnadu, Chennai and S coast Andhra.
HEAVY scattered T Showers expected over S,S-tip and W-ghats Tamilnadu on today and 31-Dec... http://ow.ly/i/85YpK
Monday, December 29, 2014
This will enhance the rainfall for Chennai city.
The cold easterly trough brought day time cold in north coastal Tamil Nadu ,especially at Chennai, and the stratus clouds gave moderate to heavy rainfall.
The crest in the west will be moisturized to give [dense] fog in North western parts of TamilNadu
S-W Bay LOW "95B" has intensified slightly and drifted North, now positioned at 9.1N , 83.3E ... http://ow.ly/i/85t2x
7:30am, visible shot shows, most of convective activity is over N,N-W,N-E from center of 95B... http://ow.ly/i/85t5p
8:10am, more rain pushing towards central,N Tamilnadu coast, Chennai ... this time it'll heavier ... http://ow.ly/i/85taf
As of now, In next 2 days, 95B is expected to drift North along Tamilnadu coast as a Well marked LOW.. http://ow.ly/i/85tiL
Sunday, December 28, 2014
BB-15 !The sysytem now as a Low at 7.7N and 84E, is around 1006 mb. Seeing the behaviour of the upper level winds, I expect this system to deepen stage wise to depression and track towards the TN coast. BB-15 is then expected, after traking along the coast, to weaken after Monday and fizzle out around 15N in the Bay.
29th December ; Heavy to Moderate Rainfall is expected : Along the North TN Coast. ( Chennai: Around 40-45 mms 29th Morning- 31st Morning).
Light rains in Central TN.
30th : Heavy to Moderate Rains in Coastal AP. Moderate Rains in Coastal Odisha, TN and Kerala. Drizzles in Bangalore.
New Year EVE: 31st December: Heavy Rains in Coastal AP/Odisha. Vizag: Around 40 mms 30th morning-1st Morning).
Moderate Rains in Interior Odisha and Parts of South Chattisgarh (Raipur: Upto 5 mms)).
Light showers in Aurangabad , Ahmednagar, Jalna and Western Vidarbha (Akola). (Rains in Central India due to an inland trough ). Drizzles in Bangalore.
Very Cilly Night with around freezing temperatures in Punjab/Haryana, parts of NCR and Rajasthan.
Mumbai will be pleasant and windy in the evening. Low at Santa Cruz around 16c and 19/20c at Colaba. Partly cloudy next few days.
Goa will be partly cloudy with light showers in the night or 1st morning.
Pakistan Northern plains and Sindh to face very cold temperatures from 31st for 2/3 days. Around freezing in Sindh plains and Punjab.
New Year: 1st January 2015: Heavy Rainfall in Coastal West Bengal and adjoining Odisha.
Moderate to light showers and hails in Marathwada (Aurangabad : Around 20 mms in 2 days. Very cold day)), West Vidarbha (Akola), North Maharashtra (Hails) (Pune/ Nasik), Interior Karnataka (Belgaum) ( Bangalore: Showers on 1st around 15 mms in some parts), Hyderabad, Parts of South Gujarat Coast (Surat: Upto 3 mms), Baroda).
Cold Wave in all of Northern regions continue and intensify from 2nd January. Gujarat and Kutch get cold from 1st January.
Karaikal - 2pm, it's been drizzling continuously with an occasional moderate shower.
RT @Serene_Meadows: @weatherofindia Delhi all fogged out this morning. Easily the worst fog of this season. 8:22am
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 10.00am.. Foggy, chilly, lazy Sunday..cloudy skies..a pic http://t.co/4SHGjOq2yu
From morning, showers seen over Central coast Tamilnadu... Now rain slowly creeping to N coast Tamilnadu.
Chennai - 1:15pm, again a cloudy day and bit humid, warm than yesterday. Rain nearing from SE, drizzle will push in after 4pm.
Saturday, December 27, 2014
At present, a low,mid-level circulation is seen over a Sea level LOW pressure system over S-W Bay near to East Srilanka coast.
Present pressure is around 1004mb
And location is 7.5N , 83.3E.
GFS model doesn't expect the system to deepen to Depression (or) move North or N-W before Monday morning. And after that, it'll deepen to a Depression or Well marked LOW and drift into central Tamilnadu coast on 30-Dec.
NAVGEM model almost similar to GFS, expects the system to become Well Marked LOW on Monday and drift into central Tamilnadu coast on 30-Dec.
On Tuesday, 30-Dec... an upper-level W.D trough is expected to drop upto 21N along S Pakistan, W,N-W Gujarat. This is expected to drift East into India in subsequent days, this can make the S-W Bay system to drift North initially and then N-E along S-E coast of India into N Bay.
According to GFS, Showers will reach central,N Tamilnadu coast and even Chennai after morning or noon of Sunday, 28-Dec.
On Monday, HEAVY rain expected along central,S-E,N Tamilnadu coast and moderate rain into Chennai.
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 3.45pm, After a hot and breezy day, now the sky appears partially cloudy with high broken clouds...
Important update regarding SW bay low and circulation 95B, and its impact for Tamilnadu... Coming up at around 9:30pm !
Friday, December 26, 2014
Wednesday, December 24, 2014
On 25-Dec, Christmas day, this circulation is expected to become strong over South bay above 5th parallel.. http://ow.ly/i/83b92
GFS expects this system to become Depression / Cyclone and drift N-W upto central Tamilnadu coast on 28/29-Dec.. http://ow.ly/i/83bjd
A mid,upper-level W.D trough travelling East over North India can make the upcoming cyclone to drift N-E on 29-Dec http://ow.ly/i/83btu
NAVGEM suggests, that circulation will pop along S-E srilanka coast, move N-W and cross central Tamilnadu on 27-Dec http://ow.ly/i/83bEX
Remember In 2011, Cyclone Thane also started as a circulation on 25-Dec and tracked N-W then W to hit central TN... http://ow.ly/Gmx7e
Meanwhile, next 2 days - partly cloudy, dry days and cold morning expected for N,central Tamilnadu and cloudy, warm day for S,S-E Tamilnadu.
Chennai - Morning temp expected to be around 20/21 C for next 2/3 mornings.
Day will be around 28 C, more DRY and partly cloudy.
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
1pm, FOGgy conditions over N Rajasthan, S Punjab and N,central Bihar ... http://ow.ly/i/82F3q
Again, day temps across most of N,N-W,N-central India remained well below normal...
Lucknow = 13C (-10)
Delhi = 16C (-6)
Amristar = 13C (-7)
Present weak W.D system is expected to vanish in next 12hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/82FrI
Next W.D system is expected to reach N-W,N India on Christmas day... that too is expected to be weak... http://ow.ly/i/82Fz9
Monday, December 22, 2014
RT @Serene_Meadows: @weatherofindia Cold freezes North, spreads to south now http://t.co/F1tQg9bzzk
RT @SkymetWeather: #NewDelhi city enveloped in Dense #fog, atleast 12 #flights and 50 #trains delayed. http://t.co/RlktdnEiHt
During next 2 days... moderate rain will reach, pop along S-E,S coast Tamilnadu due to easterlies and circulation.
GFS models continue to project a consolidation of S-W Bay circulation around 25-Dec and drift N,N-W !! http://ow.ly/i/81qAu
Chennai - Expected to have 50% cloudy days with 21 C morning during next 2 days !
Jaipur = 5C (-4)
Udaipur = 3C (-5)
On Saturday, the day temp across N,N-W India fell...
Ambala = 10 C (-11)
Chandigarh = 9 C (-12)
Delhi AP = 16 C (-6)
Lucknow = 14 C (-10)
Sunday again there was very dense FOG from central Pakistan to central, E Uttarpradesh...
Day temps were below normal.
Sunday's below normal day temps were...
Patiala = 9.7 C
Delhi = 17.5 C
Lucknow = 16.1 C
Patna = 16.6 C
A moderate W.D is nearing N,N-W India.... The system will affect Kashmir, N Himachal today.. http://ow.ly/i/81q2x
Snow, moderate rain, cloudy skies expected over Kashmir, N Himachal on today till noon of Tuesday.
Next, upper,mid-level W.D trough is expected to reach N,N-W India on noon, 24-Dec ... http://ow.ly/i/81q68
Sunday, December 21, 2014
Couttesy: BBC NEWS
Thursday, December 18, 2014
DRY next 2 days ahead for most of Tamilnadu, except S,S-E coast !
More easterlies pushing into S,S-E Bay... a low-level circulation is expected over S-W Bay along E,S-E Srilanka on 20-Dec.
This circulation is expected to affect S,S-E,central coast Tamilnadu on Monday ... http://ow.ly/i/7ZhYb
This upcoming circulation can bring showers upto N-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai on Tuesday !!
Most of the rain will be below 12th parallel.
Followed by this... GFS models suggest more easterlies this time with a Depression over S,S-W Bay on 23/24-Dec.
GFS expects the next LOW / Depression will cross S,S-tip Tamilnadu on Christmas day! Giving HEAVY rain on that day. http://ow.ly/i/7ZieB
Chennai - Almost NO rain expected from tomorrow noon till Monday.
DRY days ahead with COLD mornings.
Drizzle possible on Friday before 2pm.
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
During next 2 days, the easterlies is expected to affect only below 12th parallel. Moderate rain expected for central coast Tamilnadu.
Heavy T showers expected for S,S-E coast Tamilnadu on Thursday and Friday.
On 20-Dec, a low-level circulation is expected over S-W Bay along E,N-E Srilanka coast !
This S-W Bay circulation along with easterlies can whip rain upto Chennai on Sunday into Monday http://ow.ly/i/7Yo4J
For Chennai, S-coast Andhra and N-coast Tamilnadu ... Only scattered light / moderate rain expected for next 2 days.
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Easterlies has reached Tamilnadu coast ... showers will pick strength as the day progresses... http://ow.ly/i/7Xdwy
Chennai - 11:34am, scattered Drizzles so far. And now moderate/light scattered showers forecast before Wednesday morning.
Reason? coming up!
As of now, moderate rain seen from Marakkanam (100km South from chennai) to Cuddalore zone only.. http://ow.ly/i/7XdD7
In the North, the upper level W.D trough has weakened and now over East India... giving way to an anti-cyclone over N-W,central India.
This anti-cyclone has started to drive DRY winds from N-W India to N,N-W Bay and eventually to S-E coast India.. (cont.)
.. this will make N-W,N,central,E-central India COLD
Dry up easterlies moisture near S coast Andhra, N,N-coast Tamilnadu and Chennai...
... So present easterlies may not bring heavy showers for N,N-coast Tamilnadu and Chennai during next 2 days !
Heavy scattered rain for central, S-E coast Tamilnadu and central,S-central,S Tamilnadu .. http://ow.ly/i/7XdOe
By Thursday, a LOW / depression is expected to form over S Arabian sea and drift West towards Somali coast !
More easterlies expected to affect Tamilnadu coast before end of December.
Next expected to reach on 22-Dec !
These continuous easterly wave "can" pop a Depression or Cyclone over S,S-central Bay during last week of December.
Remember Cyclone Thane ?
Remember Cyclone Thane ?? check here for more ... http://indianweatherman.blogspot.in/search?q=thane
Monday, December 15, 2014
Sunday, December 14, 2014
RT @Serene_Meadows: @weatherofindia
Raining quite heavily now in Delhi. 9:05pm
For South India, another easterlies is speeding towards Tamilnadu coast... http://ow.ly/i/7VXdc
A low-level circulation also expected to pop over S-W Bay along Srilanka coast tomorrow... http://ow.ly/i/7VXkU
Showers expected to start along central,S-E,N coast of Tamilnadu from early hrs of Tuesday.
Easterlies is expected to persist along Tamilnadu coast from Tuesday even till 21-Dec !!
"More heavy rain ahead for interior, coast"
RT @Serene_Meadows: @weatherofindia Cold winds, unseasonal rain heralds winter in Capital - Hindustan Times http://t.co/HiXkMAntLe
RT @SkymetWeather: #Hailstorm in #nashik damages #grape production worth 18 crore. READ FULL REPORT: http://t.co/UcNxo85IrS @weatherofindia
RT @SkymetWeather: Maximums in #Delhi drop, colder days ahead. http://t.co/ErkiymYOrh #WinterIsComing #Winter @weatherofindia @WeatherDelhi
Yesterday across N India, the day temps dropped...
Ambala = 15C (-7)
Chandigarh = 15C (-7)
Shimla = 7C (-5)
Lucknow = 19C (-6)
Scattered heavy rain over N,N-central India due to W.D...
Ambala = 39.8mm
Chandigarh = 74.3mm
Bhuntar = 77mm
Shimla = 62.4mm
Now, the upper-level W.D trough is seen along N-W India dipping South upto 21N ... continue to drift East.. http://ow.ly/i/7VWFr
By morning of 16-Dec, the present W.D trough is expected to drift East and move along north zones of E,N-E India.
Before Monday morning...
Scattered showers over N-E Madhyapradesh, N Chatisgarh, W,central,E Uttarpradesh, W Bihar.. http://ow.ly/i/7VWUL
Monday, thru the day into midnight..
Scattered rain for N Chatisgarh, E Uttarpradesh, Bihar, N Jharkhand, N Bengal and Sikkim.
Scattered rain for Northern zones of N-E states of India.
That'll be the end of present W.D system !
Saturday, December 13, 2014
Chennai - 1pm, heavy rain now over Polichalur zone. Dark as 6pm.
- · East of about 77 Degree E and unto North of about 10 Degree N, the prevailing wind is predominantly NEly.
- · Elsewhere in Arabian Sea & Indian Ocean it is SEly turning to SWly and engulfing the entire India.