On one hand NASA calls it ‘unprecedented’ and in the same breath they acknowledged that it happened last in 1889. It seems all what NASA was trying to say it is ‘unprecedented’ from the point of merely satellite data which was available only from 1979—for a period of 32 yearsRead more: http://moneylife.in/article/nasas-greenland-ice-complete-meltdown-claim-the-scientific-hoax-of-the-year/27376.html
Tuesday, July 31, 2012
RT @qinnairen: Nice early morning drizzle in #Delhi @weatherofindia 6:23am
Monday, July 30, 2012
@knowsnotmuch >> "Sun Halo" usually mean moisture at upper levels (or) caused by tiny ice crystals contained in high cirrostratus clouds.
@knowsnotmuch >> "Sun Halo" .. for more visit .. http://ow.ly/cADYI
#Delhi - only a 20% chance of rains for city till 5-Aug.. Bad again!
@akwaghmare >> #Pune - a good chance of rain in next 2 days (or) After that almost NO rains till 5/6-Aug
Bad!.. IMD GFS predicts almost NO rain for 90% of India after 4/5-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/Obhd
COLA models predicts Heavy rains along Madhyapradesh, Chatisgarh will persist for another 24hrs before going down.. http://ow.ly/i/ObhO
From 1-Aug, most of the rain will be along Foot hills of Himalayas, Nepal, N.UP and N.Bihar .. http://ow.ly/i/Obil
On 2/3-Aug.. Entire E.India may see a short Spike in showers, which may last for 2 days.. http://ow.ly/i/Obj8
Due to northward shift of the Western end of Monsoon axis .. Showers will push into Uttarakand, Himachal and into Punjab from 2/3-Aug.
The present weak Offshore trough along S-W coast is expected to weaken even more after 3-Aug !! .. http://ow.ly/i/Ob6C
Today's low level circulation can be seen extending from N-corner.Bay to E.Madhyapradesh .. along present monsoon axis. http://ow.ly/i/Ob7F
In next 36hrs, the present low level circulation will die over N.Chatisgarh & N-E.Madhyapradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/Ob8j
From 1/2-Aug, the western end of Monsoon axis will shift North towards Himalayan foot hills.. while East end is likely to reach N.Bay
Today, 2 UAC can be seen, 1 over N.Bay and another along S.Gujarat coast .. http://ow.ly/i/Obbi
Present N.Bay UAC will move West into Orissa & S.Chatisgarh and die along S.Orissa on 1-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/ObbW
Models suggest, After 2-Aug, NO UAC expected over both seas till 7-Aug..!! Bad for monsoon.
A low level circulation over N.corner.Bay & S.Bengal will persist from today till 5-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/ObeT
Today, Vertical.V will be high along S.Karantaka, N.Tamilnadu, S.Andhra & #chennai after 5pm.. T.showers possible .. http://ow.ly/i/OaYN
Entire E-central & Central India will have High Vertical.V for next 24hrs.. more showers forecast .. http://ow.ly/i/OaZY
#chennai - 3:30pm, NO sea breeze yet and Strong westerly winds in low levels have reduced in speed.
Sunday, July 29, 2012
Outlook For next 3 days, Monday, 30th July, Tuesday, 31st July and Wednesday 1st August:
Not a very august begining for the month...I do not know if I have got my basics right, but i see a break monsoon condition for Central, Western, Southern and peninsula India from Wednesday, 1st August.
Monday: Axis remains in the current position, along Northern Rajasthan/North MP/UP and W.Bengal....with the UAC weakening over N.Rajasthan. Embedded UAC over Up keeps the region active. Eastern off shore trough remains intact.
Heavy rainfall in the region where the 3 states of AP/Maharashtra/Chattisgarh merge. Some locations can get upto 100 mms in 24 hrs.The region around this area gets heavy rains, with Nagpur seeing some convective and heavy showers Monday and more in the night.
Konkan sees it usual medium rains, with precipitation measuring between 20-40 mms at some stations along the coastal belt.
Tuesday and Wednesday: MJO in our seas enters into a weak phase.
The axis shifts Northwards towards UP and Utteranchal. touching foothills of Himalayas by Wednesday.
Delhi NCR could see precipitation on Wednesday evening as the rains approach the adjoining Utteranchal regions. Increase in rainfall over Central Nepal as rainfall rushes to Utteranchal and adjoining UP.
We see rains decreasing from Chattisgarh/Vidharbha and Northern AP areas.
Further decrease in Konkan from Monday levels by Wednesday.
South,(Interior Karnataka and TN) the usual sporadic showers (some convective) and in very isolated pockets.
No meaningfull increase in intensity in Gujarat and rest interior Maharashtra.
citywise forecast on vagaries.
Showers along Maharastra coast will increase slightly from tomorrow till 1-Aug and then reduce again.. http://ow.ly/i/O5bk
Rains over central, E.India will go down drastically from 31-Jul.. and continue till 3/4-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/O5bW
Some rains may linger over N,N-W.Uttarpradesh, Uttarakand and into Himachal untill 3/4-Aug... http://ow.ly/i/O5cy
Today, the low level circulation can be seen over N-N-E.Madhyapradesh and it's extension can be seen upto Jharkand.. http://ow.ly/i/O54R
Today, the upper level circulation is over central.Chatisgarh .. http://ow.ly/i/O55C
The UAC is expected to move slightly to West and vanish over S.Madhyapradesh & N.Maharastra in another 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/O567
A fresh UAC over S.Gujarat may pop on 31-Jul and vanish in 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/O56y
The low level circulation is also expected to vanish in more or less the same zone, N,N-E.Madhyapradesh in 24 to 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/O57m
#chennai - 6:15pm, a sharp shower passed thru Tambaram and Tambaram W-S-W zone. Now it has moved into sea.
This is part of our continuous coverage of the on-going duel between the UK Met Office and Piers Corbyn on the accuracy of their weather forecasts during the Olympics.London has seen its warmest week of the year leading up to the start of the Olympics, but is the warm weather here to stay or will the Olympics be a complete washout?The UK Met Office promises dry and shiny weather all through the Olympics while we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy.
Also read our related posts: Click the Title to ReadWill rain washout the London Olympic Opening Ceremony? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn
Saturday, July 28, 2012
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 3.00pm, Dark passing clouds with slight drizzles at times. Widespread rain yesterday.
This is part of our continuous coverage of the on-going duel between the UK Met Office and Piers Corbyn on the accuracy of their weather forecasts during the Olympics.The UK Met Office promises dry and shiny weather all through the Olympics while we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy.
The UK Met Office took a 1-0 lead but only just. The organizers of the London Olympics also got very fortunate with the weather for the opening ceremony. A rainstorm passed overhead before the ceremony began, but it left as quickly as it came, and that was it. Talk about lucky breaks, especially when you build an open-air stadium in London in the summertime. By 8:45 p.m. in London, 15 minutes before the Ceremony was set to begin, the rain had stopped. At 8:55 p.m., it started again. On and off and on and off.
Considering that Piers Corbyn made his forecasts more than 40 days in advance, this was forecasting at its really best and he could be considered a trifle unlucky for missing the mark by a whisker the very first day of the Olympics.But the race is not over. In fact, it has just begun with 15 days left for the Olympics. And Piers Corbyn apparently holds the edge in the rounds ahead.
Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/07/london-olympics-weather-forecasting.html
Friday, July 27, 2012
Chennai - a sharp shower for 15min just lashed Polichalur zone. 10:29pm
#chennai - Another super Shower is approaching city from N-W.. now 6:30pm is nearing Thiruvallur, at 40km N-W from City
Today, again high Vertical.V possible over N.Tamilnadu, #chennai , S.Andhra from 6pm till 3am. Heavy rains possible.. http://ow.ly/i/NNVk
RT @am17s: Still no rains in #Mumbai :| “@ndtv: Rain in Delhi brings down temperature by a few notches http://t.co/KiXoIgsD”
This is what global warming looks like.
The last time London hosted the Olympics was in 1948. King George VI opened the games at the end of July in 35C weather.
After 74 years of unprecedented global warming, the forecast high in London for Sunday is 19C – a cool down of only 16 degrees coming on the heels of the worst first half of summer on record.
Read also: London Olympics Opening: Rain or Shine? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn, legendary weatherman
The Monsoon Trough runs through from Pakistan Punjab in the west thru Rajasthan (Jaipur) ,North MP and Jharkhand.
As a result, precipitation was fairly active from North Pakistan and the region North of the axis. In HP, Kangra recieved a heavy downpour of 115 mms. Utteranchal recieved very good rains and Jharkhand too had good rains last 2 days.
This was a result of an embedded UAC in the axis over Jharkhand.
Weekend Estimate: Friday, 27th, Saturday 28th and Sunday 29th July:
Friday: The Monsoon trough remains roughly in the same position. The off shore trough off the west coast remains weak.
Rainfall will be heavy in Western MP. Rainfall will also be concentrated in West UP, and the Delhi-Kanpur corridor could recieve some heavy showers. North AP coast, around Srikakulam and Vizag regions get precipitation.
Precipitation along the west coast will be medium, stations getting between 20-40 mms.
Saturday: Rainfall will be concentrated in Western Rajasthan and Central UP regions. Jaipur gets a good thundershower.
Sunday: In all probibility, an embedded UAC in the axis could bring very heavy downpours to Western and Southern Rajasthan regions. The Eastern end of the trough may host an UAC b Sunday.
Parts of UP could get good rains.
West coast rains decrease, as trough weakens.
More and city wise weekend forecast on vagaries...
Thursday, July 26, 2012
Chennai - intermittent sharp showers witnessed for the past 3hrs over most parts of city. Now also 11:28pm over Polichalur zone.
#chennai - Fast moving showers possible over chennai city as well before 2am. Conditions are good !
Due to upcoming UAC over W.MP & Low circulation over N-E.MP & S.Uttarpradesh.. Showers may push into #Delhi on 28/29-Jul http://ow.ly/i/NASI
Showers may push into E,S-E.Rajasthan on 28,29,30-Jul.
Heavy rains for most of Madhyapradesh from tonight till 30-Jul.
Today, an UAC can be seen along Orissa coast and expected to vanish there in another 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/NALY
Tomorrow an UAC is expected over W.Madhyapradesh and its associated low level circulation will be over N-N-E.M.pradesh. http://ow.ly/i/NAML
The upcoming UAC over W.MP will slightly move West and vanish along E.Gujarat in 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/NANn
Fresh UAC along Orissa coast, N-W.Bay is expected on 30/31-Jul
Today there's a weak low level circulation N-E.MP & Adjoining S.Uttarpradesh .. expected to become strong in 12hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/NAOn
The low level circulation is expected to persist over S.Uttarpradesh & N-E.MP & N.Chatisgarh from 27 to 31-Jul .. http://ow.ly/i/NAQo
#chennai - 3:12pm, Strong low level winds from West is almost coming to a stop.. meaning Sea breeze is about to set in.
Today again, Vertical.V will be Very high over S,central.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu, #chennai ,Karnataka coast from 5pm.. http://ow.ly/i/NAIF
Heavy T.showers possible for S.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu & even for #chennai before 3am of 27-Jul.
RT @onlineobelix: Dark clouds atop the Sahyadri range in Palakkad... hot and sultry but with the constant promise of rain #Kerala
Wednesday, July 25, 2012
RT @vasudevan_k: . @ranganaathan @weatherofindia heavy rains in perambur. 11:40pm, Chennai
Chennai - sharp shower started at 11:25pm over Polichalur zone
RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia heavy rain since last 30 minutes ... Hyderabad 9pm
RT @satishalavandar: @weatherofindia light drizzle at Koyembedu , chennai 11:24pm
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Will rain washout the London Olympic Opening Ceremony? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn
Come 27th July, the London Olympics kick off with its Opening Ceremony. Weather can play a spoiler. The Chinese last time demonstrated during the last Olympics that they had the technology to even chase away the rain successfully. This time it is different since here it is the British we are talking of!
So what’s the weather like for the opening ceremony? Weather forecasts are divided. On one hand we have the UK Met Office who promises of dry and shiny weather. On the other hand we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy day.
Almost ZERO chance of rains for most of Rajasthan and Gujarat till 30-Jul.. NOT good signs !
Heavy & Widespread rains for most of E,E-central India for next 2 days.. break expected on 28,29-Jul and rains again.. http://ow.ly/i/NpOJ
Towards 31-Jul, more heavy rains coming up for E,E-central India .. as fresh UAC coming up over N.Bay.
Entire S-W coast is getting active again, but it may last till 28-Jul and after that a Break is expected along S-W coast http://ow.ly/i/NpxD
Today, 2 low level circulations can be seen, one over N.Chatisgarh & another along S.Bengal coast .. http://ow.ly/i/NpEZ
The present low level circulation is expected to move towards #Delhi and die over N.Madhyapradesh on 27-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/NpGN
Today, the upper level circulation (UAC) is over N.Chatisgarh & E.Madhyapradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/NpIz
Tomorrow, a fresh UAC expected over Orissa coast & N-W.Bay.. and expected to move West .. http://ow.ly/i/NpJv
Remnant of previous UAC can be seen along S,S-E.Gujarat today.. expected to persist for another 36/48hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/NpL4
#chennai - So far 3:19pm, having a partly cloudy day, HOT & HUMID .. records 35.0°C at 2:40pm. No sea breeze yet, but showing signs of it!
Today as well after 5pm the Vertical.V will be HIGH along S.Andhra, N,N-E.Tamilnadu, #chennai. T.showers possible again. http://ow.ly/i/NpsC
RT @saifarash: Heavy rain here #Malappuram #Kerala #Weather http://t.co/QKmCbd7G (2:46pm)
RT @saifarash: Heavy rain here #Malappuram #Kerala #Weather http://t.co/saPurKCL (1:53pm)
Tuesday, July 24, 2012
Chennai - another strong t.shower is approaching Thiruvallur from n-w ..now it's at 65km n-w from Chennai city.
RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia south #delhi had light drizzle. Now its humid. (9.30 pm)
Chennai - expected t.shower has formed, now 11:20pm it's over 40km w-s-w from city
#chennai - 5:10pm, having good Sea breeze upto a height of 0.6km above sea. Good T.cell formations seen.
#chennai - T.shower possibility is very high now 5:17pm. Vertical.V will be high from now till midnight.. http://ow.ly/i/Nf9B
RT @shanpati: @weatherofindia what's the real update for rain in #Mumbai? .... No rains even today? Is it really a monsoon season? 9:30pm
Monday, July 23, 2012
From 25-Jul, showers will shift into N,N-E.Madhyapradesh, S,central Uttarpradesh due to upcoming circulation.. http://ow.ly/i/N6rr
Heavy & widespread rains forecast for S,E,central Uttarpradesh from evening of 24-Jul till 26-Jul .. http://ow.ly/i/N6sj
Showers will pickup along S,central.Maharastra coast, Karnataka coast, N. Kerala coast from 25-Jul .. till then very Less rains forecast.
Upcoming circulation over S.Uttarpradesh is expected to extend upto medium level heights .. http://ow.ly/i/N6ju >> expected to move West
Today's UAC over N-W.Maharastra is expected to die there in another 36hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/N6lb
N-N-W.Bay will pop another circulation on 27-Jul ... http://ow.ly/i/N6mL
Light rain or drizzles also possible for N-E.Tamilnadu coast & #chennai before morning .. http://ow.ly/i/N666
7:30pm, Heavy rains seen over W,S-W.Madhyapradesh, N,N-W Maharastra, W,S.Bihar and W,S-E.Uttarpradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/N6bA
Sunday, July 22, 2012
9:30pm, Already we have strong showers over N.Maharastra, central,S,W.Madhyapradesh.. rain also seen over S.Rajasthan.. http://ow.ly/i/MYYB
For next 2/3 days.. Less rains forecast for S-W coast and most of the rains will be over Madhyapradesh, S.Uttarpradesh. http://ow.ly/i/MYYY
IMD model expects the UAC to cross into Arabian sea along #Mumbai coast on 24-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MYUJ
Other models suggest the UAC will die along Maharastra coast on 24-Jul, a fresh UAC expected over Chatisgarh on 25-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/MYWA
All models suggest that another circulation will pop over N-N-W Bay on 27/28-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MYXa
RT @rajugana: Bangalore 3.50pm, Dark clouds lingering around with few drops of rain in between. It is drizzling now ! http://t.co/dbgimFn0
RT @ranganaathan: @weatherofindia Sudden outburst of rain in T-Nagar , Chennai, now 20.50 hrs...Hope it rains well, sultry day today.
Today, the N-W bay low level circulation has moved west and now over Chatisgarh .. http://ow.ly/i/MX9U
The present circulation over Chatisgarh will move into E.Madhyapradesh and die there on 25/26-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MXb3
As the Low & medium level circulation is over Chatisgarh the UAC is over N-N-E.Andhra & adjoining E.Maharastra.. http://ow.ly/i/MXbu
RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia #delhi is hot and humid. Nor rain 10:47am
Saturday, July 21, 2012
Chennai - light rain or strong drizzle moving into s-w suburbs 11.20pm
#chennai - strong winds from W-S-W continues from a height of 0.3km above Sea and upto 1.8km above sea level.
By today evening Vertical.V will be high over S,central,N-E.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu, #chennai .. T.showers possible .. http://ow.ly/i/MRp2
Strong winds from West is prevailing over S.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu coast .. this may hinder the cloud formations towards evening.
Here's the wind analysis showing the strong winds along S,central.Andhra coast, N.Tamilnadu coast & S.tip Tamilnadu.. http://ow.ly/i/MRqM
RT @saifarash: 7.20am- Heavy rain here- nr #Calicut Airport #Kondotty #Kerala http://t.co/ICeQX8Y9
RT @renjith_b: http://t.co/Q27ioT46 - Woke up in morning hearing the sound of rain. . Somethin really unique :-) #kerala #palakkad (8:28am)
RT @aash_tvm: Gud morning! Cloudy #trivandrum. Hope it rains today. @weatherofindia 9am
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 9.40am, Cool and pleasant morning, Cloudy sky, windy. Awaiting for the rains!!
RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia 115 mm heavy rainfall recorded since last night, 9 people killed due to rain related incidents. Hyderabad
Friday, July 20, 2012
#chennai - 11pm, a mild sea breeze from East over low levels.. but strong winds from WEST continue over upper levels.
#chennai - may get a T.shower after 1am or strong drizzles towards morning.
The N.Bay low & medium level circulation will move West and it'll reach E.Madhyapradesh on 22-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/ML5K
On 23-Jul, Low level circulation from E.MP is expected to move N-N-E.. into Uttarpradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/ML7d
On 22-Jul, the present circulation over N-W.Bay is expected to drop a LOW along Orissa coast.. http://ow.ly/i/ML9A
N-W.Bay is expected to drop another LOW on 26/27-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MLbv
Today, the UAC is near N-E.Andhra coast & Orissa coast ... http://ow.ly/i/MLdG
In next 2 days, the UAC along N-E.Andhra coast will track West into N.Andhra & E.Maharastra on 22-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MLfx
After 23-Jul, the UAC will move from E,central Maharastra to N-W.Maharastra and into S-E.Gujarat on 24,25-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MLhJ
Thursday, July 19, 2012
Offshore trough along S-W coast now drops upto central Kerala coast... It's expected to persist & deepen till 23-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/Mvtz
On 21-Jul, N.Karnataka 7 Adjoining S.Maharastra, N-W.Andhra will have an UAC ... expected to bring in good rains.. http://ow.ly/i/MvxS
COLA model expects the N.Bay circulation to move inland thru N-E.Orissa on 21-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/Mvaj
Both COLA & IMD models expects 2 circulations, One over E.Uttarpradesh & another over N-N-W Bay on 20-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/Mvbw
COLA expects that N-W.Bay circulation will move upto E.Madhyapradesh and stay there from 23-Jul till 25-Jul !!.. http://ow.ly/i/MvcA
Analysis shows that an UAC has already popped over N-N-W corner Bay along S.Bengal .. http://ow.ly/i/MvdC
Most of the models predict that N-W.Bay circulation will move inland and travel West, and may stall around N.Chatisgarh & E.Madhyapradesh.
Due to the UAC over N-N-W.Bay, N,central Arabian sea Monsoon currents has become strong. It'll stay that way till 23-Jul http://ow.ly/i/Mvhl
#chennai - Had good breeze from W-S-W till 1pm after that the strength gone down. 3:59pm, there's NO sign of Sea breeze.
Vertical.V will be high along N.coast Tamilnadu & S.Coast Andhra after 6pm today.. chance of T.showers towards midnight. http://ow.ly/i/Mv6x
T.showers possible for N.Tamilnadu coast, #chennai around midnight or into early hrs of 20-Jul.
RT @gw1962: Mourners bid farewell to 'first Bollywood superstar': Mourners gathered in Mumbai under heavy monsoon rain http://t.co/bzeTOpko
RT @virenj: if u r driving on Mumbai nashik highway drive safely 2 much of rain,some pot holes r develop,keep the speed limit of 100 & enjoy
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Heavy rains forecast for entire E.India till 22-Jul, On 20/21-Jul heavy rains forecast for E.Uttarpradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/Mk3f
From 20-Jul, Heavy rains for Orissa, S.Chatisgarh and into E.Maharastra .. http://ow.ly/i/Mk41
If the N-W Bay low forms and moves west then Heavy rains forecast for Chatisgarh, E,central maharastra from 21-24-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/Mk6k
@akwaghmare >> Very less rains forecast for West Maharastra (rain shadow of W.Ghats) till 20-Jul
Monsoon showers are expected to push into North India, #Delhi from evening of 20-Jul .
The Maharastra coast UAC will persist along #Mumbai for another 24hrs... http://ow.ly/i/MjD8
On 20/21-Jul a UAC is also expected over N.Karnataka, N-W.Andhra & S.Maharastra .. http://ow.ly/i/MjDR
Strong monsoon current is seen reaching coastal Maharastra, S.coastal Gujarat. In next 2 days it's expected to be strong http://ow.ly/i/MjEq
On 21-Jul, IMD WRF models does not support a strong N-W Bay circulation but IMD GFS supports a good circulation.. http://ow.ly/i/MjET
Most models suggest a N-W corner Bay circulation on 21-Jul and a weaker circulation over E.Uttarpradesh on the same day !!
Offshore trough along S-W coast persists and seen upto S.Karnataka coast .. will persist for another 3 days.. http://ow.ly/i/Mjr4
A LOW pressure is expected over E.Uttarpradesh on 20-Jul and will move West .. http://ow.ly/i/Mjs4
Today, Vertical.V is mild over S.Karnataka, S,central.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu & #chennai .. so less possibility of rain.
A slightly high Vertical.V along Coastal Andhra after 6pm .. this may lead to some T.showers over S,central,coastal Andhra.
For next 24hrs, Vertical.V is HIGH along N.Maharastra coast, Foot hills of Himalayas and entire N-E states.. Heavy rains ahead.!
RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia No Rain in #Delhi, sunshine Records 34 (10.30 am)
Sikkim cut off from rest of the country after landslides ... http://ow.ly/cjCpx
More Heavy rains coming up in next 48hrs for Sikkim, N.Bengal and North N-E states.. http://ow.ly/i/MjdW
Floods in North Bengal affect 80,000 ... http://ow.ly/cjCAv
Just when it looked as if a traditional El Niño was getting its sea legs, the event is now looking a bit less canonical. This prompted the following analysis. This post is jointly written by Rajan Alexander who administers the blog Rajan’s Take: Climate Change and Rajesh Kapadia who administers the blog, Vagaries of the Weather.If we take a look at last week’s US-CFS v2 forecasts for Niño regions 1+2 it could be observed that the warmest anomalies have been centred in the eastern portion of the ENSO monitoring area.However, also seen in the forecast, there is now more of a potential for the temperatures to be much lower. One explanation is that the Niño maybe dying off!! The only other explanation is that the heat is merely transferring westwards - a fact validated through the latest Sea Surface Temperatures (STT) departures.Till recently, it was thought that the El Niño had only one mode - a periodic warming in the eastern tropical Pacific that occurs along the coast of South America. In 2004, it was discovered to have also a second mode that occurs around 12% of the time.A Japanese team led by T. Yamagata (that included a prominent Indian climatologist, Dr Venkata Ratnam) noticed the 2004 El Niño was warming more strongly in the Central Pacific region and accordingly stumbled on the discovery of its second mode by sheer accident. They called such an El Nino as Modokai, which is a classical Japanese word which means “similar but different”. The phenomenon is also known as a Pseudo or Central Pacific (CP) El Niño.Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/07/indian-monsoon-whats-brewing-in-pacific.html