2:30pm, 99B has intensified into a Cyclone and now tracked as 03B.
It might get its name #Kyant before midnight.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/ojcUF.gif
03B, during past 12 hrs it has tracked West and then WSW.
Present position is plotted in map.
ADT analysis says pressure around 990mb .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ojdzI.jpg
03B, Now ALL models suggest a #Diwali menace from Bay for zones from N-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai to central-coast Andhra ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ojdY1.jpg
Models also suggest a weakening of this Cyclone to depression after 48hrs while nearing Andhra coast due to Dry air from NW and high shear ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/ojg1x.gif
03B, already we can see DRY air from North #India is starting to entrain into NW,W,SW quadrants of the system ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ojgHB.jpg
Due to 03B Cyclone, As of now, on #Diwali day, 29-Oct, there's a 50% chance of Rain and Winds for S-coast Andhra and #Chennai.
Due to mid-level circulation over Lakshadweep .. scattered T showers possible for S,central Kerala and into S,SE Tamilnadu in next 30hrs.