Busted Myth: Himalayan Glacial melt will lead to a ‘catastrophic’ water crisis

 World Wildlife Fund (WWF) makes a remarkable statement:

“The glaciers supply 8.6 million cubic metres (303.6 million cubic feet) every year to Asian rivers, including the Yangtze and Yellow rivers in China, the Ganga in India, the Indus in Pakistan, the Brahmaputra in Bangladesh and Burma's Irrawaddy.”

Remarkable because to-date glaciologists have absolutely no idea how much water is contributed by mountain runoffs to downstream river users. No one really precisely knows how much is snow melt and how much   ice (glacier) melt or how much monsoons contribute as runoffs to rivers like the Ganges.

These are not the only problems with the WWF hysteria. The major arguments against it are discussed below:

1. The operating assumption of global warmist argument is that glaciers are melting because global temperatures are rising which in turn is attributed to increased CO2 being pumped into the atmosphere as an offshoot of  the industrial revolution. So higher the temperature, the more vulnerable glaciers are to melt and once they have completely melted, there would be no more water for our great rivers  and their tributaries like the Ganga, Brahmaputra, Rabi; Chenab; Jhelum; Beas; Sutlej etc.

 But history tells us that the cradle of Indian civilization 4,000 years ago was the Indus Valley watersheds of these same very rivers. Now if the retreat of the glaciers is only a recent phenomenon as global warming activists make them out to be, then where did the water for these rivers come from 4,000 years ago? The only way for that to happen is for the glaciers to have been in constant retreat even before the start of human history!

So what have we now? It’s clear that though glaciers are currently in retreat, industrial revolution and increase in C02 in the atmosphere logically do not seem to have anything to do with it.

If so, the bulk of the water has to come from somewhere and the only source that can provide such large amounts is the monsoons! The other complementary source to monsoons could be of course, seasonal snow melt.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/10/busted-myth-himalayan-glacial-melt-will.html?spref=gr#close=1

In next 24hrs.. Very heavy rain for S.tip Tamilnadu (Kanyakumari district) and S. Kerala expected .. http://ow.ly/i/k9HB

in 24hrs.. Heavy widespread rain for entire Tamilnadu coast .. http://ow.ly/i/k9Hb

IMD describes Arabian sea LOW "95A" as a Depression in its 2pm advisory... likely to move W-N-W towards Gulf of Aden in next 72hrs

6pm, Good Cloud activity continues over and around S-W Arabian sea system "95A" .. .. http://ow.ly/i/k9D7

6pm, Heavy T.showers over N,central Tamilnadu, Central, N. Kerala and isolated over S-W coast Maharastra.. http://ow.ly/i/k9D7

S-W Arabian sea LOW has weakened in past 12hrs... now pressure is at 1007mb, not even a LOW at this movement.

1:30pm, Sat shot shows heavy showers for entire Tamilnadu coast and active "95A" over central, S-W Arabian sea.. http://ow.ly/i/k90P

chennai - get ready to face intermittent sharp showers till monday morning .. and at times it'll be very HEAVY

Going to be a SUPER wet saturday and sunday for S. kerala and entire Tamilnadu coast .. http://ow.ly/i/k900

Latest IMD model suggests that NO NO let up in monsoon showers for entire S. Tamilnadu and Tamilnadu coast till 4-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/k8ZR

Both IMD and COLA models suggest a circulation will emerge along S-E corner Arabian sea on 1-Nov. http://ow.ly/i/k8Zl .. http://ow.ly/i/k8Zq

The S. Gulf Mannar circulation will slowly move W-N-W touching S.Tip Tamilnadu till 1-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/k8Z8

Today the circulation over South of Srilanka has slowly moved N-W into S.Gulf Mannar... http://ow.ly/i/k8YK

"95A" will become a well marked LOW in another 24 hrs.. and now it's over S-W.central Arabian sea.. http://ow.ly/i/k8YC

chennai - Heavy moisture has started entering along Coastal Tamilnadu... heavy showers forecast for entire coast till Monday

RT @hinduclassified: Rain hits road work at Sabarimala: Incessant rain at Sabarimala has disrupted the concreting... http://mtrm.nl/sfnLs

S.central Arabian sea LOW "95A"

Location :  13 0 N and 63 7 E
Pressure : 1004mb


Satellite IR at 7am
---------------------------------

JTWC warning
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 
64.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 64.5E, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST OF 
CAPE GUARDAFUI, SOMALIA . ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BROKEN, 
SCATTERED CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF A BROAD, SLIGHTLY 
ELONGATED, YET WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON DEPRESSION. A 280551Z ASCAT PASS CONFIRMS 
THE BROAD LLCC, WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTH, AND LIGHTER 
10 TO 15 KNOTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 
THAT THE LLCC IS IN A DIVERGENT REGION, SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL 
RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, 
WITH AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST PROVIDING AMPLE OUTFLOW. SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AREA ARE APPROXIMATELY 29 DEGREES 
CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.

COLA GFS model suggests that "95A" may become as a Depression and move very slowly in N-N-W direction for next 24hrs.