Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Rain in Kerala today !!

RT @kiranvijay87: It's raining #kerala #home #pattambi http://t.co/Fifit93COOO  (3:56pm)

RT @1stepNorth: enjoying the #rain from inside the car #kerala #downpour http://vine.co/v/hTvOu6eJprU (1:17pm)

"30W" - drifting W-S-W and NO intensification seen

Latest 3:30pm, satellite visible shows good convective activity over and around the system.

Position as of 11:30am is 10.5 N , 86.8 E
Pressure is still around 1005mb

JTWC warning at 8am IST states that "THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS  
MEDIUM."

Latest model(s) suggest a slight intensification into Depression and expects it to move W, W-S-W and make landfall along Central Tamilnadu coast on 15-Nov-2013.

Due to "30W" LOW ... showers expected to start along Tamilnadu coast from 14-Nov, evening.
On 15-Nov, HEAVY and widespread rain expected along central,N coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai and into S Andhra coast.
Showers along Tamilnadu coast is expected to persist after 30W till 18-Nov... http://ow.ly/i/3HoN2 
On 18-Nov, S-S-E Bay is expected to pop another circulation, this can become Cyclone "HELEN"
Upper level W.D trough seen over N Pakistan, Kashmir ... and the circulation will push into N-W Kashmir in 18hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/3HojM 

Due to this W.D, Scattered rain / snow expected over Kashmir and N Himachal during next 24hrs.

Rain over central Kerala and DRY over rest of #India

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 2.10pm, Sunny n hot, development of clouds in the horizon..after a gap of two weeks.. will it rain today???!! 

RT @SalmanPM_: @weatherofindia still raining at #Kochi (2:55pm)

#Chennai - 3:10pm, Another DRY day with some low cloud formations. Temperature is 30.8 °C and pressure is 1008mb ... http://chennai.indianweatherman.com/

3:30pm, Showers seen over central Kerala and coastal Tamilnadu getting cloudy ... http://ow.ly/i/3HnJP 

Today, below normal COLD morning for W Rajasthan, Himachal, Kashmir, Punjab and Uttar Pradesh.

Adampur (Punjab) recorded a low of 6.6ÂșC

"30W" - moved W-S-W, now a LOW pressure system

During the past 12hrs, the circulation "30W" over S-E central Bay has moved W-S-W.
Now the pressure is around 1005mb.
Location is approximately around 11.4N , 88.4 E... still the system has an elongated low level circulation.


An intensification into a depression is expected on Wednesday, 13-Nov-2013 over S-W central Bay.
Latest GFS expects a landfall as Depression over Central Tamilnadu coast on 15-Nov.

Till evening of Wednesday, T showers expected over W-ghats of Kerala, W-ghats, S Tamilnadu.
For coastal Tamilnadu, #Chennai, S coast Andhra, HEAVY rain to start from evening of 14-Nov or morning of 15-Nov.

Latest satellite at 11pm (11-Nov) shows less convective activity seen around the LOW.